L’École des cotes

Cruzeiro v Botafogo

2026-07-26 19:00 UTC — Brazil Série A

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cruzeiro (Local)

Prévision 53.40%1.87cote équitable
EV -3.34%
Avantage -1.85%
Kelly -4.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.13%53.41%53.53%55.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.641.741.751.8160.98%57.60%57.14%55.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Botafogo (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.07%4.75cote équitable
EV +3.25%
Avantage +0.664%
Kelly +0.835%
Croissance +0.027%

avec la cote maximale 4.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.70%21.06%21.00%22.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.904.464.454.9025.64%22.45%22.47%20.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.53%3.92cote équitable
EV +0.828%
Avantage +0.210%
Kelly +0.281%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.61%25.53%25.48%26.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.453.683.703.9528.99%27.18%27.03%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.55%EV -6.55%E -3.74%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.84%EV +3.25%E +0.664%K +0.835%G +0.027%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.61%EV +0.828%E +0.210%K +0.281%G +0.002%2.9%2026-07-26 00:59
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.55%EV -6.55%E -3.74%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.84%EV +3.25%E +0.664%K +0.835%G +0.027%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.61%EV +0.828%E +0.210%K +0.281%G +0.002%2.9%2026-07-26 01:00
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.64%EV -5.48%E -3.10%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV +0.094%E +0.020%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 23:25
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -9.22%E -5.42%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV +0.094%E +0.020%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.00%E -0.790%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 01:00
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -9.22%E -5.42%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV +0.094%E +0.020%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.00%E -0.790%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 01:00
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -9.22%E -5.42%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV +0.094%E +0.020%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.00%E -0.790%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 01:00
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -9.22%E -5.42%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV +0.094%E +0.020%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.00%E -0.790%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 01:00
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -9.22%E -5.42%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV +0.094%E +0.020%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.00%E -0.790%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 00:59
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -9.22%E -5.42%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.83%EV +0.094%E +0.020%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.00%E -0.790%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 01:00
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 55.69%EV -10.29%E -6.12%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV +0.094%E +0.020%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.00%E -0.790%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 04:45
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -10.29%E -6.12%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -0.960%E -0.204%K -0.259%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -4.28%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 00:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.54%EV -10.82%E -6.48%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -0.960%E -0.204%K -0.259%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -4.28%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 01:00
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 53.67%EV -3.88%E -2.15%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.91%EV -2.65%E -0.573%K -0.731%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV -3.00%E -0.790%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-25 21:05
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 53.69%EV -4.41%E -2.46%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV -3.07%E -0.667%K -0.852%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.42%EV -3.51%E -0.929%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 19:05
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 53.53%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -3.07%E -0.667%K -0.852%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -5.55%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 14:39
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 53.53%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -3.07%E -0.667%K -0.852%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -5.55%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 14:45
BetAnything1.78I 56.18%NM 53.53%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -3.07%E -0.667%K -0.852%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -5.55%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 14:40
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -12.42%E -7.57%K -19.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -3.07%E -0.667%K -0.852%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -5.55%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 01:00
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -12.42%E -7.57%K -19.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -3.07%E -0.667%K -0.852%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -5.55%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 01:00
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -12.42%E -7.57%K -19.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -3.07%E -0.667%K -0.852%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -5.55%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 01:00
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 53.02%EV -3.34%E -1.85%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.18%EV -4.54%E -1.00%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.80%EV -5.04%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-24 02:40
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.61%EV -5.48%E -3.10%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -5.17%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.28%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 19:00
Codere (IT)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.57%EV -6.01%E -3.42%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -5.17%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -5.55%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 10:19
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -6.55%E -3.74%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -5.17%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.55%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 10:20
betano_uk1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -6.55%E -3.74%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -5.17%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.55%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 19:04
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -6.55%E -3.74%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -5.17%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.55%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 19:04
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -6.55%E -3.74%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -5.17%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.55%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 10:20
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.22%E -5.42%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -5.17%E -1.15%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 17:50
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 52.68%EV -4.41%E -2.46%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.19%EV -6.23%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.12%EV -7.85%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 10:25
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.55%E -3.74%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -6.23%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -9.38%E -2.64%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-24 07:50
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.55%E -3.74%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -6.23%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -9.38%E -2.64%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-24 07:49
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.11%EV -3.88%E -2.15%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -7.28%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.16%EV -3.00%E -0.790%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 19:05
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -3.88%E -2.15%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -7.28%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -4.28%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 07:45
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.39%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -7.28%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -3.00%E -0.790%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-24 07:45
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -5.48%E -3.10%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%EV -7.28%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV -4.28%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 12:09
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -6.55%E -3.74%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -7.28%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.28%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 12:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -6.55%E -3.74%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -7.28%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.55%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 12:09
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -6.55%E -3.74%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -7.28%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.55%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 12:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -6.55%E -3.74%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -7.28%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.55%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 12:09
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.02%EV -6.01%E -3.42%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -7.28%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.78%EV -7.60%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 02:35
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.03%EV -8.68%E -5.08%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -7.28%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -5.55%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 07:43
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.38%EV -12.42%E -7.57%K -19.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.50%EV -8.34%E -1.92%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.12%EV -9.38%E -2.64%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-25 19:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -6.55%E -3.74%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -8.76%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.55%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 19:00
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -7.62%E -4.40%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -8.76%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 05:10
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 52.82%EV -6.55%E -3.74%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -9.39%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 21:20
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 53.43%EV -9.75%E -5.77%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.00%EV -9.39%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.58%EV -9.89%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-25 10:19
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 52.59%EV -5.48%E -3.10%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -10.44%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -6.83%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-24 07:45
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -5.48%E -3.10%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -10.44%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 05:34
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.81%EV -5.48%E -3.10%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -4.28%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 19:05
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.13%EV -4.95%E -2.78%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 05:34
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -7.62%E -4.40%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 07:45
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -7.62%E -4.40%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 07:42
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.55%E -3.74%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 23:45
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.55%E -3.74%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 23:45
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.55%E -3.74%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 23:45
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.55%E -3.74%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 23:45
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -7.62%E -4.40%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -11.50%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-24 05:54
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.29%EV -10.29%E -6.12%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -13.60%E -3.32%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-25 10:20
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -9.22%E -5.42%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -15.71%E -3.93%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-24 07:45
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 52.75%EV -12.42%E -7.57%K -19.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.18%EV -17.82%E -4.57%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.07%EV -11.94%E -3.46%K -4.87%G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-25 10:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.62%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49%0.6%2026-07-26 01:35
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 54.44%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-07-26 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.58%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.66%1.2%2026-07-26 01:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.58%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.66%1.2%2026-07-26 01:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.58%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.66%1.2%2026-07-26 01:30
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.91%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-07-26 00:10