La escuela de los momios

Cruzeiro v Botafogo

2026-07-26 19:00 UTC — Brazil Série A

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cruzeiro (Local)

Predicción 53.39%1.87momio equitativo
EV -3.37%
Ventaja -1.86%
Kelly -4.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.13%53.39%53.50%55.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.641.741.751.8160.98%57.51%57.14%55.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Botafogo (Visitante)

Predicción 21.10%4.74momio equitativo
EV +3.40%
Ventaja +0.694%
Kelly +0.872%
Crecimiento +0.030%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.73%21.09%21.03%22.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.904.464.434.9025.64%22.43%22.60%20.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.51%3.92momio equitativo
EV -1.79%
Ventaja -0.464%
Kelly -0.627%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.68%25.52%25.47%26.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.453.673.703.8528.99%27.25%27.03%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 55.06%EV -6.04%E -3.43%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.78%EV +3.40%E +0.694%K +0.872%G +0.030%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.17%EV -1.79%E -0.464%K -0.627%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-26 03:29
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 55.06%EV -6.04%E -3.43%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.78%EV +3.40%E +0.694%K +0.872%G +0.030%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.17%EV -1.79%E -0.464%K -0.627%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-26 03:29
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.64%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV +0.235%E +0.049%K +0.063%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 23:25
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.07%EV -8.71%E -5.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV +0.235%E +0.049%K +0.063%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -4.34%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 03:29
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.07%EV -8.71%E -5.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV +0.235%E +0.049%K +0.063%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -4.34%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 03:29
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.07%EV -8.71%E -5.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV +0.235%E +0.049%K +0.063%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -4.34%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 03:29
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.07%EV -8.71%E -5.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV +0.235%E +0.049%K +0.063%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -4.34%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 03:29
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 55.07%EV -8.71%E -5.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV +0.235%E +0.049%K +0.063%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -4.34%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 03:29
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.07%EV -8.71%E -5.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV +0.235%E +0.049%K +0.063%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -4.34%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 03:34
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 55.10%EV -9.24%E -5.44%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -0.820%E -0.175%K -0.222%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.98%EV -4.34%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 03:29
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -10.31%E -6.14%K -15.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -0.820%E -0.175%K -0.222%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -5.61%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 03:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -10.31%E -6.14%K -15.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -0.820%E -0.175%K -0.222%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -5.61%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 03:29
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.95%EV -4.44%E -2.48%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.64%EV -1.24%E -0.265%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.41%EV -3.06%E -0.806%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-26 03:39
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.95%EV -4.44%E -2.48%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.64%EV -1.24%E -0.265%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.41%EV -3.06%E -0.806%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-26 03:39
BetAnything1.79I 55.87%NM 53.95%EV -4.44%E -2.48%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.64%EV -1.24%E -0.265%K -0.338%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.41%EV -3.06%E -0.806%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-26 03:39
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 53.67%EV -3.90%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.91%EV -2.51%E -0.543%K -0.693%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV -3.06%E -0.806%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-25 21:05
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 53.69%EV -4.44%E -2.48%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV -2.93%E -0.637%K -0.814%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.42%EV -3.57%E -0.945%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 19:05
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -11.91%E -7.22%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -2.93%E -0.637%K -0.814%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -6.89%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 03:29
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -11.91%E -7.22%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -2.93%E -0.637%K -0.814%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -6.89%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 03:29
PMU (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -11.91%E -7.22%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -2.93%E -0.637%K -0.814%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -6.89%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-26 03:29
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 53.02%EV -3.37%E -1.86%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.18%EV -4.41%E -0.973%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.80%EV -5.10%E -1.37%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-24 02:40
Codere (IT)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.57%EV -6.04%E -3.43%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -5.61%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 10:19
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.61%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 10:20
betano_uk1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.61%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 19:04
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.61%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 19:04
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.61%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 10:20
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.24%E -5.44%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -5.04%E -1.12%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 17:50
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 52.68%EV -4.44%E -2.48%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.19%EV -6.10%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.12%EV -7.91%E -2.19%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 10:25
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -6.10%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -9.44%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-24 07:50
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -6.10%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -9.44%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-24 07:49
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -3.90%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -4.34%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 07:45
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -3.90%E -2.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -4.34%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 04:05
SportsBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.39%EV -4.97%E -2.79%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -3.06%E -0.806%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-24 07:45
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV -4.34%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 12:09
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.61%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 04:04
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.34%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 12:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.61%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 12:09
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.61%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 12:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.61%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 12:09
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.02%EV -6.04%E -3.43%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.78%EV -7.65%E -2.11%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 02:35
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.03%EV -8.71%E -5.09%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -7.15%E -1.63%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -5.61%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 07:43
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 52.76%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -8.21%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -9.44%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 03:29
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.38%EV -12.44%E -7.59%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.50%EV -8.21%E -1.89%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.12%EV -9.44%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-25 19:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -8.63%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.61%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 19:00
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 53.19%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -8.63%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 05:10
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 53.43%EV -9.77%E -5.78%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.00%EV -9.26%E -2.15%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.58%EV -9.95%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-25 10:19
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 52.59%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -10.32%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -6.89%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-24 07:45
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -10.32%E -2.43%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 05:34
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -5.50%E -3.11%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -3.06%E -0.806%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 04:09
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.13%EV -4.97%E -2.79%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-23 05:34
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 07:45
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 07:42
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 23:45
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 23:45
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 23:45
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -6.57%E -3.75%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 23:45
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -7.64%E -4.42%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -11.37%E -2.71%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-24 05:54
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.29%EV -10.31%E -6.14%K -15.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -13.48%E -3.29%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -8.16%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-25 10:20
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -9.24%E -5.44%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -15.59%E -3.90%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-24 07:45
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 52.75%EV -12.44%E -7.59%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.18%EV -17.70%E -4.54%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.07%EV -11.99%E -3.48%K -4.89%G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-25 10:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.31%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-07-26 04:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.31%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-07-26 04:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.31%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-07-26 04:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.31%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-07-26 04:05
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 54.09%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-07-26 03:59
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.91%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-07-26 00:10