Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Coritiba v Chapecoense

Inizio: 2026-08-08 23:30 UTC

Finale: Coritiba 2–1 Chapecoense

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

56 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Coritiba (Casa)

Previsione 56.85%1.76quota equa
EV -2.78%
Vantaggio -1.63%
Kelly -3.92%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.71

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.75%56.77%56.88%58.08%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.551.631.621.7164.52%61.30%61.73%58.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Chapecoense (Trasferta)

Previsione 17.60%5.68quota equa
EV +4.71%
Vantaggio +0.792%
Kelly +0.952%
Crescita +0.045%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.25%17.55%17.61%19.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.805.325.255.9520.83%18.79%19.05%16.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 25.55%3.91quota equa
EV -1.64%
Vantaggio -0.427%
Kelly -0.576%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.82%25.68%25.50%27.54%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.283.633.653.8530.49%27.56%27.40%25.97%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Coritiba (Casa): 56.85%; Chapecoense (Trasferta): 17.60%; Pareggio: 25.55%. Per Chapecoense (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.68. 8 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 5.95, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.71%.

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.90%EV -5.05%E -3.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.25%EV +4.71%E +0.792%K +0.952%G +0.045%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.85%EV -4.45%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-08 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.90%EV -5.05%E -3.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.25%EV +4.71%E +0.792%K +0.952%G +0.045%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.85%EV -4.45%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-08 23:04
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.90%EV -5.05%E -3.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.25%EV +4.71%E +0.792%K +0.952%G +0.045%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.85%EV -4.45%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-08 23:04
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.75%EV -3.35%E -1.97%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.92I 16.89%NM 16.30%EV +4.19%E +0.707%K +0.851%G +0.036%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.95%EV -8.54%E -2.39%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-08 23:15
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.68%EV -2.78%E -1.63%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.91I 16.92%NM 16.40%EV +4.01%E +0.679%K +0.817%G +0.033%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-08 23:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.08%EV -5.05%E -3.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.72%EV +2.07%E +0.358%K +0.432%G +0.009%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.19%EV -1.64%E -0.427%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-08 23:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.08%EV -5.05%E -3.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.72%EV +2.07%E +0.358%K +0.432%G +0.009%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.19%EV -1.64%E -0.427%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-08 23:25
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.48%EV -5.62%E -3.39%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.74%EV +0.315%E +0.055%K +0.067%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -5.47%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 23:09
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.87%EV -1.45%E -0.258%K -0.314%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 23:19
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.90%EV -7.90%E -4.87%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -1.45%E -0.258%K -0.314%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -5.47%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 23:08
Coolbet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.32%EV -5.62%E -3.39%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -3.21%E -0.583%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -4.20%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 06:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.28%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -3.21%E -0.583%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.47%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 15:20
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -3.21%E -0.583%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 23:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.52%EV -7.90%E -4.87%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -3.21%E -0.583%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 23:25
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.52%EV -7.90%E -4.87%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -3.21%E -0.583%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 23:25
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.52%EV -7.90%E -4.87%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -3.21%E -0.583%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 23:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.52%EV -7.90%E -4.87%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -3.21%E -0.583%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 23:25
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.52%EV -7.90%E -4.87%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -3.21%E -0.583%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 23:25
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.52%EV -7.90%E -4.87%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -3.21%E -0.583%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 23:25
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -9.03%E -5.65%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -3.21%E -0.583%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 22:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -9.03%E -5.65%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -3.21%E -0.583%K -0.712%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 14:39
Codere (IT)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV -4.97%E -0.919%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -5.47%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 15:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.21%EV -5.62%E -3.39%K -8.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -4.97%E -0.919%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -10.07%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 23:15
GTbets🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.65%EV -9.03%E -5.65%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.36I 18.66%NM 17.21%EV -5.67%E -1.06%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.14%EV -6.24%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 15:25
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.90%EV -5.05%E -3.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.60%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -2.92%E -0.768%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 20:35
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.90%EV -5.05%E -3.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.60%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -2.92%E -0.768%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 17:15
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.71%EV -5.05%E -3.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV -7.60%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -4.20%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 21:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -7.60%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -4.20%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 22:14
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.32%EV -5.05%E -3.03%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -7.60%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 22:19
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -7.60%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.47%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 23:08
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -7.60%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.47%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 23:04
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -7.90%E -4.87%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -7.60%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -5.47%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 22:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -7.90%E -4.87%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -7.60%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -5.47%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 12:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -7.90%E -4.87%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -7.60%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -5.47%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 22:04
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -6.76%E -4.12%K -10.56%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -8.48%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.47%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 22:19
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.07%EV -9.03%E -5.65%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.56%EV -8.48%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 23:00
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -9.03%E -5.65%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -8.48%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -9.31%E -2.62%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 23:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.65%EV -11.88%E -7.66%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.18%EV -8.48%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.17%EV -9.31%E -2.62%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.75%EV -6.19%E -3.75%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.71%EV -10.24%E -2.01%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.54%EV -16.20%E -4.94%K -7.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 23:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -10.74%E -6.84%K -18.84%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.59%EV -10.24%E -2.01%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.27%EV -9.31%E -2.62%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 22:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.88%EV -11.31%E -7.25%K -20.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.40%EV -10.24%E -2.01%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -11.86%E -3.44%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-08 23:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.88%EV -11.31%E -7.25%K -20.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.40%EV -10.24%E -2.01%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -11.86%E -3.44%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-08 23:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -9.03%E -5.65%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -6.75%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 15:19
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -7.90%E -4.87%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.58%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 22:24
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -7.90%E -4.87%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.58%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 14:34
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -8.47%E -5.26%K -13.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.58%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 14:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -8.47%E -5.26%K -13.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.58%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 14:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -8.47%E -5.26%K -13.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.58%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 14:35
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -9.03%E -5.65%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -10.58%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -9.03%E -5.65%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -10.58%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 23:19
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -9.03%E -5.65%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -13.14%E -3.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 23:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.89%EV -11.31%E -7.25%K -20.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -12.00%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.36%EV -10.58%E -3.02%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-08 23:25
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -12.88%E -2.60%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.47%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 23:05
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -12.88%E -2.60%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -5.47%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 23:15
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -4.49%E -2.67%K -6.60%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.04%EV -14.64%E -3.02%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -9.31%E -2.62%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.56%EV -10.17%E -6.44%K -17.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.62%EV -15.52%E -3.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -8.03%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 15:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.55%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.4%2026-08-08 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.55%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.4%2026-08-08 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.55%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.4%2026-08-08 23:25
Matchbook◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.21%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.5%2026-08-08 23:25
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-08-08 23:25
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.50%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-08-08 23:25