La scuola delle quote

Corinthians v Palmeiras

Inizio: 2026-04-12 21:32 UTC

Finale: Corinthians 0–0 Palmeiras

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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57 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Corinthians (Casa)

Previsione 34.72%2.88quota equa
EV +2.42%
Vantaggio +0.819%
Kelly +1.24%
Crescita +0.030%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.52%34.62%34.81%35.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.722.702.9540.00%36.78%37.04%33.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Palmeiras (Trasferta)

Previsione 33.26%3.01quota equa
EV -3.20%
Vantaggio -1.10%
Kelly -1.68%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.91

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.59%33.36%33.19%34.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.772.802.9140.00%36.06%35.71%34.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 32.02%3.12quota equa
EV -2.34%
Vantaggio -0.767%
Kelly -1.14%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.82%32.03%32.00%33.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.882.903.0538.46%34.77%34.48%32.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV +2.42%E +0.819%K +1.24%G +0.030%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.10%EV -5.20%E -1.82%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-12 21:30
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV +2.42%E +0.819%K +1.24%G +0.030%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.10%EV -5.20%E -1.82%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-12 21:30
1xBet2.91I 34.36%NM 33.32%EV +1.03%E +0.353%K +0.537%G +0.006%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.88%EV -7.53%E -2.71%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.79%EV -2.34%E -0.767%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-12 21:29
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -0.015%E -0.005%K -0.008%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 21:29
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -0.015%E -0.005%K -0.008%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 21:29
Casumo2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -0.015%E -0.005%K -0.008%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 21:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -0.015%E -0.005%K -0.008%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 21:30
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -0.015%E -0.005%K -0.008%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 21:29
betPARX2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -0.015%E -0.005%K -0.008%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 21:29
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -1.06%E -0.371%K -0.571%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -10.19%E -3.77%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 21:20
GTbets2.82I 35.46%NM 34.19%EV -2.10%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.19%EV -6.20%E -2.20%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.34%E -0.767%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 21:29
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -2.79%E -0.997%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.50%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 21:29
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -2.79%E -0.997%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.19%E -3.77%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 21:30
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -2.79%E -0.997%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -11.85%E -4.47%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 21:29
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -2.79%E -0.997%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -11.85%E -4.47%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -11.95%E -4.34%K -6.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 21:29
Pinnacle2.78I 35.97%NM 34.77%EV -3.49%E -1.25%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.22%EV -3.20%E -1.10%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.01%EV -3.30%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-12 21:29
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -4.53%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -5.20%E -1.82%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 21:29
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -4.53%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -5.20%E -1.82%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 21:29
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -4.53%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 21:30
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -4.53%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 21:29
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -4.53%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.86%EV -4.53%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.86%EV -8.10%E -2.82%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 21:30
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -4.53%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.74%EV -10.19%E -3.77%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -11.95%E -4.34%K -6.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 21:30
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -4.53%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -13.52%E -5.20%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.95%E -4.34%K -6.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 21:29
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.64%EV -4.53%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.12%EV -12.52%E -4.76%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.24%EV -13.55%E -5.02%K -7.97%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 21:30
BetOnline.ag2.73I 36.63%NM 34.88%EV -5.22%E -1.91%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.06%EV -4.20%E -1.46%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.06%EV -4.90%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 21:30
LowVig.ag2.73I 36.63%NM 34.88%EV -5.22%E -1.91%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.06%EV -4.20%E -1.46%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.06%EV -4.90%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 21:30
Marathon Bet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -5.57%E -2.05%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.97%EV -5.86%E -2.07%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 21:29
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.20%E -1.82%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 21:29
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.20%E -1.82%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 21:29
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 21:29
BetAnything2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.02%EV -5.20%E -1.82%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.12%EV -6.18%E -2.11%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 21:29
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.76%EV -4.53%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 21:30
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -5.20%E -1.82%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 21:29
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -5.20%E -1.82%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 21:29
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 21:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 21:29
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.87%EV -6.96%E -2.60%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.13%EV -6.20%E -2.20%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.00%EV -6.50%E -2.23%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 21:29
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -8.00%E -3.02%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 21:30
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -8.00%E -3.02%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 21:30
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.75%EV -8.00%E -3.02%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 21:30
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -9.04%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 21:29
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 35.01%EV -9.04%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 21:29
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.04%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 21:29
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.04%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 21:29
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.04%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 21:29
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.62%EV -9.04%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.40%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 21:30
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.42%EV -9.04%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.79%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.79%EV -11.95%E -4.34%K -6.83%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-12 21:30
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -9.74%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 21:29
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -9.74%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 21:29
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.12%EV -9.74%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.84%EV -7.53%E -2.71%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 21:30
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -9.74%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -10.19%E -3.77%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.51%EV -11.95%E -4.34%K -6.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 21:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.89%EV -9.74%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.21%EV -16.84%E -6.74%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.89%EV -16.75%E -6.44%K -10.47%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-12 21:24
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -11.47%E -4.50%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 21:30
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.02%EV -11.47%E -4.50%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.08%EV -10.19%E -3.77%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.90%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-12 21:21
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -13.21%E -5.28%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -10.19%E -3.77%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-12 21:29
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.03%EV -13.21%E -5.28%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -13.52%E -5.20%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.28%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.75%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-12 21:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.77%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08%0.6%2026-04-12 21:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.93%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.00%0.8%2026-04-12 21:30
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%1.0%2026-04-12 21:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.25%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%1.3%2026-04-12 21:30
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.40%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.57%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.03%2.4%2026-04-12 21:30
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 34.61%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.75%3.9%2026-04-12 21:30