Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Corinthians v Palmeiras

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 21:32 UTC

Score final : Corinthians 0–0 Palmeiras

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Corinthians (Local)

Prévision 34.72%2.88cote équitable
EV +2.42%
Avantage +0.819%
Kelly +1.24%
Croissance +0.030%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.52%34.62%34.81%35.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.722.702.9540.00%36.78%37.04%33.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Palmeiras (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.26%3.01cote équitable
EV -3.20%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -1.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.59%33.36%33.19%34.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.772.802.9140.00%36.06%35.71%34.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 32.02%3.12cote équitable
EV -2.34%
Avantage -0.767%
Kelly -1.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.82%32.03%32.00%33.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.882.903.0538.46%34.77%34.48%32.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Corinthians (Local) : 34.72% ; Palmeiras (Visiteur) : 33.26% ; Match nul : 32.02%. Pour Corinthians (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.88. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.95, soit une espérance positive de +2.42%.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV +2.42%E +0.819%K +1.24%G +0.030%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.10%EV -5.20%E -1.82%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-12 21:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV +2.42%E +0.819%K +1.24%G +0.030%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.10%EV -5.20%E -1.82%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-12 21:30
1xBet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 33.32%EV +1.03%E +0.353%K +0.537%G +0.006%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.88%EV -7.53%E -2.71%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.79%EV -2.34%E -0.767%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-12 21:29
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -0.015%E -0.005%K -0.008%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 21:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -0.015%E -0.005%K -0.008%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 21:29
Casumo🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -0.015%E -0.005%K -0.008%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 21:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -0.015%E -0.005%K -0.008%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 21:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -0.015%E -0.005%K -0.008%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 21:29
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -0.015%E -0.005%K -0.008%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 21:29
BetRivers🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -1.06%E -0.371%K -0.571%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -10.19%E -3.77%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 21:20
GTbets🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.19%EV -2.10%E -0.744%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.19%EV -6.20%E -2.20%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.34%E -0.767%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 21:29
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -2.79%E -0.997%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.50%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 21:29
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -2.79%E -0.997%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.19%E -3.77%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 21:30
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -2.79%E -0.997%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -11.85%E -4.47%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 21:29
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.52%EV -2.79%E -0.997%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -11.85%E -4.47%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.11%EV -11.95%E -4.34%K -6.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 21:29
Pinnacle🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.77%EV -3.49%E -1.25%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.22%EV -3.20%E -1.10%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.01%EV -3.30%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-12 21:29
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -4.53%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -5.20%E -1.82%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 21:29
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -4.53%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.12%EV -5.20%E -1.82%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.55%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 21:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -4.53%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 21:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -4.53%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 21:29
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -4.53%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.86%EV -4.53%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.86%EV -8.10%E -2.82%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 21:30
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -4.53%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.74%EV -10.19%E -3.77%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -11.95%E -4.34%K -6.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 21:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -4.53%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.59%EV -13.52%E -5.20%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.95%E -4.34%K -6.83%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 21:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.64%EV -4.53%E -1.65%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.12%EV -12.52%E -4.76%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.24%EV -13.55%E -5.02%K -7.97%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 21:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.88%EV -5.22%E -1.91%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.06%EV -4.20%E -1.46%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.06%EV -4.90%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 21:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.88%EV -5.22%E -1.91%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.06%EV -4.20%E -1.46%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.06%EV -4.90%E -1.65%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 21:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -5.57%E -2.05%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.97%EV -5.86%E -2.07%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 21:29
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.20%E -1.82%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 21:29
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -5.20%E -1.82%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 21:29
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 21:29
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.02%EV -5.20%E -1.82%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.12%EV -6.18%E -2.11%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 21:29
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.76%EV -4.53%E -1.58%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 21:30
Everygame🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -5.20%E -1.82%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 21:29
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -5.20%E -1.82%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 21:29
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 21:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -6.26%E -2.32%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 21:29
Betsson🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.87%EV -6.96%E -2.60%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.13%EV -6.20%E -2.20%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.00%EV -6.50%E -2.23%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 21:29
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -8.00%E -3.02%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 21:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -8.00%E -3.02%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 21:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.75%EV -8.00%E -3.02%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 21:30
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -9.04%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 21:29
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.01%EV -9.04%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.36%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 21:29
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.04%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 21:29
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.04%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 21:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.04%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 21:29
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.62%EV -9.04%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.40%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 21:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.42%EV -9.04%E -3.45%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.79%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.79%EV -11.95%E -4.34%K -6.83%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-12 21:30
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -9.74%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 21:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -9.74%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 21:29
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.12%EV -9.74%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.84%EV -7.53%E -2.71%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.04%EV -8.74%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 21:30
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -9.74%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -10.19%E -3.77%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.51%EV -11.95%E -4.34%K -6.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 21:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 32.89%EV -9.74%E -3.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.21%EV -16.84%E -6.74%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.89%EV -16.75%E -6.44%K -10.47%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-12 21:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -11.47%E -4.50%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.09%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 21:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.02%EV -11.47%E -4.50%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.08%EV -10.19%E -3.77%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.90%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-12 21:21
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -13.21%E -5.28%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -10.19%E -3.77%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.75%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-12 21:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.03%EV -13.21%E -5.28%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -13.52%E -5.20%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.28%EV -10.34%E -3.69%K -5.75%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-12 21:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.77%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.15%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08%0.6%2026-04-12 21:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.93%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.00%0.8%2026-04-12 21:30
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.46%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%1.0%2026-04-12 21:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.25%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%1.3%2026-04-12 21:30
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.40%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.57%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.03%2.4%2026-04-12 21:30
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 34.61%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.75%3.9%2026-04-12 21:30