L’École des cotes

Corinthians v Flamengo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 23:32 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Corinthians (Local)

Prévision 28.13%3.56cote équitable
EV +4.06%
Avantage +1.10%
Kelly +1.51%
Croissance +0.061%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.92%28.10%28.08%29.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.953.343.303.7033.90%29.96%30.30%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Flamengo (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.20%2.43cote équitable
EV -2.35%
Avantage -0.990%
Kelly -1.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.10%41.20%41.29%42.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.242.252.3748.78%44.65%44.44%42.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.67%3.26cote équitable
EV -2.16%
Avantage -0.678%
Kelly -0.987%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.19

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.62%30.70%30.63%31.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.003.003.1937.04%33.30%33.33%31.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.06%EV +4.06%E +1.10%K +1.51%G +0.061%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.85%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.10%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-22 23:30
Unibet (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV +1.25%E +0.348%K +0.482%G +0.006%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -9.35%E -4.25%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 23:30
betPARX3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV +1.25%E +0.348%K +0.482%G +0.006%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -9.35%E -4.25%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 23:30
1xBet3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%EV +0.408%E +0.114%K +0.159%G +0.001%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.39%EV -5.64%E -2.46%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.43%EV -2.16%E -0.678%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 23:29
Svenska Spel3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%EV -0.154%E -0.043%K -0.061%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.63%EV -4.41%E -1.90%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.16%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -0.154%E -0.043%K -0.061%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.72%EV -11.00%E -5.09%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 23:30
LeoVegas3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -1.56%E -0.446%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -11.41%E -5.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 23:30
TABtouch3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -1.56%E -0.446%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.79%EV -12.65%E -5.97%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 23:30
Pinnacle3.49I 28.65%NM 27.74%EV -1.84%E -0.528%K -0.740%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.03%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.23%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-22 23:29
Coolbet3.48I 28.74%NM 27.39%EV -2.12%E -0.610%K -0.856%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.36%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.26%EV -3.39%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 23:28
BetOnline.ag3.46I 28.90%NM 27.52%EV -2.69%E -0.776%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.76%EV -6.05%E -2.66%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:29
LowVig.ag3.46I 28.90%NM 27.52%EV -2.69%E -0.776%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.76%EV -6.05%E -2.66%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:30
BetAnything3.46I 28.90%NM 27.52%EV -2.69%E -0.776%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.76%EV -6.05%E -2.66%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:29
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -2.97%E -0.860%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 23:29
Unibet (NL)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -2.97%E -0.860%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 23:29
Grosvenor3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -2.97%E -0.860%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 23:29
Casumo3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -2.97%E -0.860%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 23:30
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -2.97%E -0.860%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 23:15
LiveScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -2.97%E -0.860%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -13.47%E -6.41%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 23:30
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.37%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 23:29
BetUS3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.37%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -6.46%E -2.12%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 23:29
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.37%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 23:30
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -4.37%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -9.35%E -4.25%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 23:30
Codere (IT)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.50%EV -6.47%E -2.85%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 23:29
Everygame3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 23:29
GTbets3.32I 30.12%NM 28.17%EV -6.62%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.27%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 23:29
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.28%EV -3.17%E -1.35%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -6.46%E -2.12%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 23:29
Bet Victor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 23:29
Bovada3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 23:30
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 23:30
Bet Right3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 23:29
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 23:29
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 23:30
Marathon Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.07%EV -6.47%E -2.85%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -6.76%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 23:29
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 23:29
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 23:30
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 23:29
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 23:29
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.48%EV -10.59%E -4.88%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -11.67%E -4.05%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 23:30
Coral3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.10%EV -2.35%E -0.990%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 23:30
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -4.41%E -1.90%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -8.60%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 23:30
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -4.41%E -1.90%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -8.60%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 23:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 23:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 23:29
Neds3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 23:29
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -9.35%E -4.25%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 23:29
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.35%E -4.25%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 23:30
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 23:29
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 23:29
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.35%E -4.25%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.67%E -4.05%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 23:30
Betclic (FR)3.17I 31.55%NM 28.12%EV -10.84%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 41.86%EV -12.23%E -5.74%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.02%EV -8.91%E -3.00%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 23:27
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -11.40%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -9.35%E -4.25%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 23:30
Unibet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -11.40%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.39%EV -14.71%E -7.10%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-22 23:29
Parions Sport (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -11.40%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.63%EV -15.53%E -7.58%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-22 23:29
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.35%E -4.25%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -11.67%E -4.05%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 23:28
Fliff3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -13.47%E -6.41%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -14.12%E -5.04%K -7.85%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-22 23:30
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -14.22%E -4.66%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -11.41%E -5.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.67%EV -12.59%E -4.42%K -6.81%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-22 23:30
PMU (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 28.32%EV -17.03%E -5.77%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 40.75%EV -15.53%E -7.58%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.94%EV -17.19%E -6.37%K -10.11%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-22 23:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.14%0.4%2026-03-22 23:30
Matchbook3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%0.7%2026-03-22 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%0.8%2026-03-22 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%0.8%2026-03-22 23:30
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-03-22 23:30
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 27.50%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.01%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49%2.4%2026-03-22 23:30