La escuela de los momios

Corinthians v Flamengo

Inicio: 2026-03-22 23:32 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Corinthians (Local)

Predicción 28.13%3.56momio equitativo
EV +4.06%
Ventaja +1.10%
Kelly +1.51%
Crecimiento +0.061%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.92%28.10%28.08%29.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.343.303.7033.90%29.96%30.30%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Flamengo (Visitante)

Predicción 41.20%2.43momio equitativo
EV -2.35%
Ventaja -0.990%
Kelly -1.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.10%41.20%41.29%42.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.242.252.3748.78%44.65%44.44%42.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.67%3.26momio equitativo
EV -2.16%
Ventaja -0.678%
Kelly -0.987%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.19

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.62%30.70%30.63%31.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.003.003.1937.04%33.30%33.33%31.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.06%EV +4.06%E +1.10%K +1.51%G +0.061%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.85%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.10%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-22 23:30
Unibet (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV +1.25%E +0.348%K +0.482%G +0.006%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -9.35%E -4.25%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 23:30
betPARX3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV +1.25%E +0.348%K +0.482%G +0.006%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -9.35%E -4.25%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 23:30
1xBet3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%EV +0.408%E +0.114%K +0.159%G +0.001%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.39%EV -5.64%E -2.46%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.43%EV -2.16%E -0.678%K -0.987%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-22 23:29
Svenska Spel3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%EV -0.154%E -0.043%K -0.061%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.63%EV -4.41%E -1.90%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.16%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -0.154%E -0.043%K -0.061%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.72%EV -11.00%E -5.09%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 23:30
LeoVegas3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -1.56%E -0.446%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -11.41%E -5.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 23:30
TABtouch3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -1.56%E -0.446%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.79%EV -12.65%E -5.97%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 23:30
Pinnacle3.49I 28.65%NM 27.74%EV -1.84%E -0.528%K -0.740%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.03%EV -2.76%E -1.17%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.23%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-22 23:29
Coolbet3.48I 28.74%NM 27.39%EV -2.12%E -0.610%K -0.856%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.36%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.26%EV -3.39%E -1.08%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-22 23:28
BetOnline.ag3.46I 28.90%NM 27.52%EV -2.69%E -0.776%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.76%EV -6.05%E -2.66%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:29
LowVig.ag3.46I 28.90%NM 27.52%EV -2.69%E -0.776%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.76%EV -6.05%E -2.66%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:30
BetAnything3.46I 28.90%NM 27.52%EV -2.69%E -0.776%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.76%EV -6.05%E -2.66%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 23:29
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -2.97%E -0.860%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 23:29
Unibet (NL)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -2.97%E -0.860%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 23:29
Grosvenor3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -2.97%E -0.860%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 23:29
Casumo3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -2.97%E -0.860%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 23:30
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -2.97%E -0.860%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 23:15
LiveScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -2.97%E -0.860%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -13.47%E -6.41%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.04%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 23:30
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.37%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 23:29
BetUS3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.37%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -6.46%E -2.12%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 23:29
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.37%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 23:30
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -4.37%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -9.35%E -4.25%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 23:30
Codere (IT)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.50%EV -6.47%E -2.85%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 23:29
Everygame3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -5.78%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 23:29
GTbets3.32I 30.12%NM 28.17%EV -6.62%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.27%EV -5.23%E -1.69%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 23:29
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.28%EV -3.17%E -1.35%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -6.46%E -2.12%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 23:29
Bet Victor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 23:29
Bovada3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 23:30
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 23:30
Bet Right3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 23:29
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 23:29
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 23:30
Marathon Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.07%EV -6.47%E -2.85%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -6.76%E -2.22%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 23:29
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 23:29
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 23:30
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 23:29
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.06%E -3.81%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-22 23:29
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -7.19%E -2.18%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.48%EV -10.59%E -4.88%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.25%EV -11.67%E -4.05%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 23:30
Coral3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.10%EV -2.35%E -0.990%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 23:30
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -4.41%E -1.90%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -8.60%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 23:30
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -4.41%E -1.90%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.24%EV -8.60%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 23:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 23:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 23:29
Neds3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 23:29
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -9.35%E -4.25%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 23:29
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.35%E -4.25%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-22 23:30
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.92%E -1.59%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 23:29
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.99%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 23:29
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.35%E -4.25%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -11.67%E -4.05%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 23:30
Betclic (FR)3.17I 31.55%NM 28.12%EV -10.84%E -3.42%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 41.86%EV -12.23%E -5.74%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.02%EV -8.91%E -3.00%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 23:27
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -11.40%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -9.35%E -4.25%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-22 23:30
Unibet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -11.40%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.39%EV -14.71%E -7.10%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-22 23:29
Parions Sport (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -11.40%E -3.62%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.63%EV -15.53%E -7.58%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -9.52%E -3.23%K -4.88%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-22 23:29
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.35%E -4.25%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -11.67%E -4.05%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 23:28
Fliff3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -13.47%E -6.41%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -14.12%E -5.04%K -7.85%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-22 23:30
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -14.22%E -4.66%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -11.41%E -5.31%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.67%EV -12.59%E -4.42%K -6.81%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-22 23:30
PMU (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 28.32%EV -17.03%E -5.77%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 40.75%EV -15.53%E -7.58%K -14.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.94%EV -17.19%E -6.37%K -10.11%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-22 23:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.68%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.14%0.4%2026-03-22 23:30
Matchbook3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%0.7%2026-03-22 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%0.8%2026-03-22 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48%0.8%2026-03-22 23:30
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-03-22 23:30
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 27.50%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.01%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.49%2.4%2026-03-22 23:30