Language:English
Chapecoense v Bahia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chapecoense (Local)
Prediction 27.33%3.66fair odd
EV +2.47%
Edge +0.659%
Kelly +0.898%
Growth +0.022%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.88%27.30%27.32%28.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.423.403.7531.25%29.23%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bahia (Visit)
Prediction 44.54%2.25fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -2.87%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.23%44.55%44.52%45.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.092.102.1751.02%47.91%47.62%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.14%3.55fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -0.763%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.27%28.15%28.17%29.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.283.303.4632.26%30.45%30.30%28.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chapecoense (Local): 27.33%; Bahia (Visit): 44.54%; Draw: 28.14%. For Chapecoense (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.66. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.47%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV +2.47%E +0.659%K +0.898%G +0.022% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.88%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.19%EV -2.92%E -0.847%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-16 13:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.30%EV +0.831%E +0.225%K +0.309%G +0.003% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -4.25%E -1.98%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 13:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.35%EV -0.262%E -0.072%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.29%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 13:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%EV -0.262%E -0.072%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.33%EV -6.48%E -3.08%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.59%EV -6.30%E -1.89%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 09:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -1.63%E -0.452%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 13:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -1.63%E -0.452%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -1.63%E -0.452%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 13:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -1.63%E -0.452%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 13:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.03%EV -2.17%E -0.608%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.59%EV -3.36%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.38%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-16 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.97%EV -2.17%E -0.608%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.71%EV -3.80%E -1.76%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.32%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-16 13:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.97%EV -2.17%E -0.608%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.71%EV -3.80%E -1.76%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.32%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.97%EV -2.17%E -0.608%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.71%EV -3.80%E -1.76%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.32%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-16 13:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -2.99%E -0.844%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.04%EV -7.81%E -3.77%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 13:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -2.99%E -0.844%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.04%EV -7.81%E -3.77%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 13:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.36%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -4.25%E -1.98%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 13:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.36%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -4.25%E -1.98%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 13:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.36%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.48%E -3.08%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 13:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.36%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -10.93%E -5.46%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 13:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -5.73%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.38%EV -5.14%E -2.41%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 13:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.73%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -6.48%E -3.08%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -5.73%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -10.04%E -4.97%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 13:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -5.73%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -10.93%E -5.46%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -11.36%E -3.61%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-16 13:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.44%EV -6.00%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.31%EV -5.14%E -2.41%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.26%EV -6.02%E -1.80%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 13:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.59%EV -6.55%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -6.92%E -3.31%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.27%EV -2.64%E -0.763%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 13:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -6.55%E -1.91%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.48%E -3.08%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.25%E -1.98%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.48%E -3.08%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 13:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.48%E -3.08%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.48%E -3.08%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -6.48%E -3.08%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -6.48%E -3.08%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.73%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 13:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.48%E -3.08%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.48%E -3.08%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.48%E -3.08%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.48%E -3.08%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.48%E -3.08%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -10.93%E -5.46%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -11.36%E -3.61%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-16 13:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -10.93%E -5.46%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.56%EV -11.36%E -3.61%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-16 13:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.27%EV -12.71%E -6.48%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-16 13:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -7.09%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.27%EV -12.71%E -6.48%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-16 13:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -8.46%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 13:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -8.46%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.25%E -1.98%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.48%E -3.08%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.48%E -3.08%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -4.25%E -1.98%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 13:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 13:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 44.45%EV -9.59%E -4.73%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-16 13:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-16 13:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -9.83%E -2.98%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.20%EV -12.26%E -6.23%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.82%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -11.19%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.25%E -1.98%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 13:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -11.19%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.25%E -1.98%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -11.19%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.25%E -1.98%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 13:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -11.19%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -6.48%E -3.08%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -11.19%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.48%E -3.08%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-16 13:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -11.19%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-16 13:38 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -11.19%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -10.93%E -5.46%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -7.14%E -2.16%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-16 13:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -11.19%E -3.44%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -12.77%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-16 13:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -12.56%E -3.92%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.93%E -5.46%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -8.55%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-16 13:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.96% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.94% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10% | 0.2% | 2026-08-16 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.96% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.94% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.10% | 0.2% | 2026-08-16 13:49 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.59% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.32% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.09% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.77% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 13:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.77% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.02% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 28.22% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 13:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 13:50 |
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