语言:简体中文
Chapecoense v Bahia
胜负盘
Chapecoense (主队)
预测 27.67%3.61公平赔率
EV -3.15%
优势 -0.900%
Kelly -1.26%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.50
博彩公司预测分布
26.15%27.66%27.68%28.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.303.303.5033.33%30.28%30.30%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
Bahia (客队)
预测 45.35%2.21公平赔率
EV -3.86%
优势 -1.82%
Kelly -3.45%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.12
博彩公司预测分布
44.26%45.36%45.27%46.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.872.022.042.1253.48%49.58%49.14%47.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 26.98%3.71公平赔率
EV -2.87%
优势 -0.798%
Kelly -1.11%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.60
博彩公司预测分布
26.20%26.98%27.05%27.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.393.403.6031.25%29.50%29.41%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Chapecoense (主队)：27.67%；Bahia (客队)：45.35%；平局：26.98%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.71。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为3.60，期望值为-2.87%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (20 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.43%EV -3.15%E -0.900%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.29%EV -3.86%E -1.82%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.03%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 14:20 |
| LeoVegas | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -3.15%E -0.900%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -11.57%E -5.93%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-02 14:40 |
| SportsBet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -2.87%E -0.798%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 12:54 |
| Coolbet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -2.87%E -0.798%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| FanDuel | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.29%EV -6.58%E -3.19%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.28%EV -7.73%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 14:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -8.39%E -4.16%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 12:54 |
| NordicBet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -8.39%E -4.16%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -4.22%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-02 16:40 |
| Betsson | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -8.39%E -4.16%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -4.22%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-02 16:40 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.69%E -2.63%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-02 13:54 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.69%E -2.63%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-02 13:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.69%E -2.63%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-02 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.69%E -2.63%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-02 13:55 |
| Bet Right | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 12:54 |
| Paddy Power | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.21%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.58%EV -13.38%E -7.01%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.21%EV -13.66%E -4.27%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-08-02 12:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.95%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.11%EV -15.20%E -8.13%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.95%EV -13.66%E -4.27%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-08-02 12:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.82%EV -12.84%E -4.08%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.63%EV -12.93%E -6.73%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-02 12:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.89%EV -14.22%E -4.59%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 45.51%EV -13.84%E -7.28%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.60%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-08-02 12:54 |
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.77%EV -16.99%E -5.66%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.26%EV -11.57%E -5.93%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.97%EV -13.66%E -4.27%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-08-02 12:54 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。