Chapecoense v Atletico Mineiro

开赛时间： 2026-04-01 20:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

24 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

32%

39%

29%

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

Chapecoense (主队)

预测 31.70%3.15公平赔率

EV -1.72%

优势 -0.555%

Kelly -0.820%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.10

博彩公司预测分布

30.42%31.64%31.52%32.93%MIN均值中位数MAX

赔率分布

2.602.852.903.1038.46%35.05%34.48%32.26%MIN均值中位数MAX

Atletico Mineiro (客队)

预测 39.40%2.54公平赔率

EV -3.46%

优势 -1.41%

Kelly -2.39%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.45

博彩公司预测分布

38.14%39.54%39.47%41.00%MIN均值中位数MAX

赔率分布

2.102.302.302.4547.62%43.52%43.48%40.82%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 28.89%3.46公平赔率

EV -1.76%

优势 -0.517%

Kelly -0.733%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.40

博彩公司预测分布

28.09%28.82%29.01%30.65%MIN均值中位数MAX

赔率分布

2.803.123.103.4035.71%32.08%32.26%29.41%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	平局	利润率	更新时间
Fanatics	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -1.72%E -0.555%K -0.820%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -9.37%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-20 14:35
1xBet	3.08I 32.47%NM 31.17%EV -2.36%E -0.765%K -1.13%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.19%EV -3.46%E -1.41%K -2.39%G +0.000%	3.24I 30.86%NM 29.63%EV -6.38%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-23 00:30
Betway	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -9.37%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-03-20 17:40
Marathon Bet	2.99I 33.44%NM 31.20%EV -5.21%E -1.74%K -2.62%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-03-23 00:29
Betsson	2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -5.53%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-20 18:24
NordicBet	2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -5.53%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-20 18:24
Coolbet	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.98%EV -3.46%E -1.41%K -2.39%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -1.76%E -0.517%K -0.733%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-03-22 21:49
SportsBet	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.43%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-22 21:49
FanDuel	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.43%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-03-22 21:49
Codere (IT)	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 39.20%EV -7.01%E -2.97%K -5.15%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.91%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-03-21 00:59
888sport	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.37%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-03-20 18:19
William Hill	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.37%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-03-20 18:19
888sport (SE)	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.37%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-03-21 00:25
Mr Green (SE)	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.37%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-03-21 00:25
Fliff	2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -9.65%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.37%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-03-20 17:29
BoyleSports	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -11.23%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.37%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-03-21 01:00
Paddy Power	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.23%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.37%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000%	11.5%	2026-03-22 21:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	2.75I 36.36%NM 31.21%EV -12.82%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 38.14%EV -11.34%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 30.65%EV -19.10%E -6.82%K -10.61%G +0.000%	16.5%	2026-03-22 21:49
Sky Bet	2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -14.40%E -5.33%K -8.47%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -11.34%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%	14.8%	2026-03-22 21:50
Winamax (DE)	2.70I 37.04%NM 32.13%EV -14.40%E -5.33%K -8.47%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 39.43%EV -13.31%E -6.05%K -11.10%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 28.44%EV -11.87%E -3.89%K -5.79%G +0.000%	15.3%	2026-03-21 00:55
Parions Sport (FR)	2.70I 37.04%NM 31.54%EV -14.40%E -5.33%K -8.47%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 39.60%EV -15.28%E -7.11%K -13.29%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 28.86%EV -14.76%E -5.00%K -7.57%G +0.000%	17.4%	2026-03-21 00:55
Unibet (FR)	2.65I 37.74%NM 31.43%EV -15.99%E -6.03%K -9.69%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 39.66%EV -17.25%E -8.22%K -15.69%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 28.92%EV -16.78%E -5.83%K -8.93%G +0.000%	20.1%	2026-03-21 01:04
Winamax (FR)	2.60I 38.46%NM 32.36%EV -17.57%E -6.76%K -10.98%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 39.13%EV -15.28%E -7.11%K -13.29%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 28.52%EV -14.76%E -5.00%K -7.57%G +0.000%	18.9%	2026-03-21 00:55
PMU (FR)	2.60I 38.46%NM 32.20%EV -17.57%E -6.76%K -10.98%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 38.94%EV -15.28%E -7.11%K -13.29%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 28.87%EV -16.21%E -5.59%K -8.53%G +0.000%	19.5%	2026-03-22 21:49

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。