La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Chapecoense v Atletico Mineiro
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Chapecoense (Casa)
Previsione 31.70%3.15quota equa
EV -1.72%
Vantaggio -0.555%
Kelly -0.820%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.42%31.64%31.52%32.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.852.903.1038.46%35.05%34.48%32.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Atletico Mineiro (Trasferta)
Previsione 39.40%2.54quota equa
EV -3.46%
Vantaggio -1.41%
Kelly -2.39%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.14%39.54%39.47%41.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.302.302.4547.62%43.52%43.48%40.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 28.89%3.46quota equa
EV -1.76%
Vantaggio -0.517%
Kelly -0.733%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.09%28.82%29.01%30.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.123.103.4035.71%32.08%32.26%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (24 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -1.72%E -0.555%K -0.820%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -9.37%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-20 14:35 |
| 1xBet | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.17%EV -2.36%E -0.765%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.19%EV -3.46%E -1.41%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.63%EV -6.38%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-23 00:30 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -4.89%E -1.63%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -9.37%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-20 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.20%EV -5.21%E -1.74%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-23 00:29 |
| Betsson | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -5.53%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-20 18:24 |
| NordicBet | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -5.53%E -1.85%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-20 18:24 |
| Coolbet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.98%EV -3.46%E -1.41%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -1.76%E -0.517%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 21:49 |
| SportsBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.43%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 21:49 |
| FanDuel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.43%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -4.65%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 21:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.20%EV -7.01%E -2.97%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.91%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 00:59 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.37%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-20 18:19 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.37%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-20 18:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.37%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.06%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.37%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 00:25 |
| Fliff | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -9.65%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.37%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-20 17:29 |
| BoyleSports | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -11.23%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.37%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -7.54%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-21 01:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.23%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.37%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -10.43%E -3.36%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-22 21:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.21%EV -12.82%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.14%EV -11.34%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.65%EV -19.10%E -6.82%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-03-22 21:49 |
| Sky Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -14.40%E -5.33%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -11.34%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -13.32%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-22 21:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.13%EV -14.40%E -5.33%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.43%EV -13.31%E -6.05%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.44%EV -11.87%E -3.89%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.54%EV -14.40%E -5.33%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.60%EV -15.28%E -7.11%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.86%EV -14.76%E -5.00%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 31.43%EV -15.99%E -6.03%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.66%EV -17.25%E -8.22%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.92%EV -16.78%E -5.83%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-03-21 01:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.36%EV -17.57%E -6.76%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.13%EV -15.28%E -7.11%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.52%EV -14.76%E -5.00%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-03-21 00:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.20%EV -17.57%E -6.76%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 38.94%EV -15.28%E -7.11%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.87%EV -16.21%E -5.59%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 19.5% | 2026-03-22 21:49 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.