Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.65
assuming max odds 2.33
assuming max odds 3.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chapecoense (Local): 28.30%; Atletico Mineiro (Visit): 42.49%; Draw: 29.22%. For Chapecoense (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.53. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.29%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV +3.29%E +0.901%K +1.24%G +0.041% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.68%EV -5.68%E -2.56%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.75%EV -4.75%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-02 21:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.46%EV -0.391%E -0.111%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.16%EV -4.83%E -2.16%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.38%EV -3.88%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-02 21:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%EV -0.957%E -0.273%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.93%EV -4.83%E -2.16%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.59%EV -5.05%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-02 21:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.53%EV -3.79%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.63%EV -1.01%E -0.433%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.84%EV -5.05%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-02 21:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.53%EV -3.79%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.63%EV -1.01%E -0.433%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.84%EV -5.05%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-02 21:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.79%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.51%E -2.03%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-02 21:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.79%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.58%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 21:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.79%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.95%EV -6.96%E -3.18%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.51%E -2.03%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-02 21:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.79%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.95%EV -6.96%E -3.18%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.51%E -2.03%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-02 21:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.79%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.43%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-02 21:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -3.79%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.43%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-02 21:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.24%EV -4.92%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.74%EV -5.68%E -2.56%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.02%EV -4.46%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 21:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.20%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.04%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -3.58%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-02 21:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.20%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.51%E -2.03%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-02 21:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -5.20%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.38%E -3.39%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.97%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 21:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -5.20%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.38%E -3.39%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.97%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 21:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.58%EV -5.77%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.11%EV -4.46%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 21:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.58%EV -5.77%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.11%EV -4.46%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-02 21:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.62%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.51%E -2.03%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-02 21:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -6.62%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -5.26%E -2.36%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -6.51%E -2.03%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-02 21:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.62%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -7.97%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 21:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.62%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -7.97%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 21:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.62%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -7.97%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 21:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.62%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -7.97%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 21:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.62%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -7.97%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 21:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.62%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -7.97%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-02 21:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.62%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.51%E -2.03%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 21:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.62%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.51%E -2.03%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 21:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -6.62%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -7.81%E -3.60%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -5.34%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-02 21:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.62%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.97%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-02 21:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -6.62%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.78%E -5.13%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.35%E -4.12%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-02 21:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.03%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.97%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 21:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.03%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.35%E -4.12%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-02 21:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.03%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.35%E -4.12%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-02 21:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.03%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.35%E -4.12%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-02 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.03%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.35%E -4.12%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-02 21:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -9.45%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -2.28%E -0.993%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.58%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-02 21:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -9.45%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -3.58%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-02 21:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.45%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.58%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 21:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -9.45%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -5.26%E -2.36%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -9.43%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-02 21:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.45%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.43%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-02 21:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.45%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.78%E -5.13%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -12.35%E -4.12%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-02 21:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -9.45%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.75%EV -15.03%E -7.51%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.53%EV -18.19%E -6.50%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-04-02 21:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -10.86%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -3.58%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 21:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -10.86%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -3.58%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 21:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.86%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -6.51%E -2.03%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-02 21:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -10.86%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%EV -7.38%E -3.39%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.70%EV -10.89%E -3.57%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-02 21:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -10.86%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%EV -7.38%E -3.39%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.70%EV -10.89%E -3.57%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-02 21:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.50%EV -10.86%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.57%EV -8.23%E -3.81%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -12.35%E -4.12%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-02 21:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.50%EV -10.86%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.57%EV -8.23%E -3.81%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -12.35%E -4.12%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-02 21:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.36%EV -10.86%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.54%EV -10.78%E -5.13%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 29.10%EV -10.30%E -3.36%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-02 21:33 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -10.86%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46%EV -10.78%E -5.13%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -10.89%E -3.57%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-02 21:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.28%E -3.96%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.05%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.28%E -3.96%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.05%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.28%E -3.96%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.05%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-02 21:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.28%E -3.96%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.43%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-02 21:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -15.11%E -5.04%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.45%EV -12.91%E -6.30%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.53%EV -10.89%E -3.57%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-02 21:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.05% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.51% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.44% | -0.1% | 2026-04-02 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.57% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-04-02 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.57% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-04-02 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.57% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-04-02 21:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.57% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.70% | 1.1% | 2026-04-02 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.43% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.30% | 1.9% | 2026-04-02 21:45 |