A Escola das Odds

Chapecoense v Atletico Mineiro

Início: 2026-04-02 22:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Chapecoense (Local)

Previsão 28.30%3.53odd justa
EV +3.29%
Vantagem +0.901%
Kelly +1.24%
Crescimento +0.041%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.57%28.29%28.32%30.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.273.303.6533.33%30.55%30.30%27.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Atletico Mineiro (Visitante)

Previsão 42.49%2.35odd justa
EV -1.01%
Vantagem -0.433%
Kelly -0.759%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.35%42.48%42.48%43.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.202.202.3350.00%45.44%45.45%42.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.22%3.42odd justa
EV -3.58%
Vantagem -1.09%
Kelly -1.56%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.19%29.23%29.20%30.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.163.153.3035.71%31.65%31.75%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.57%EV +3.29%E +0.901%K +1.24%G +0.041%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.68%EV -5.68%E -2.56%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.75%EV -4.75%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-02 21:55
Pinnacle3.52I 28.41%NM 27.46%EV -0.391%E -0.111%K -0.155%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.16%EV -4.83%E -2.16%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.38%EV -3.88%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-02 21:50
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%EV -0.957%E -0.273%K -0.383%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.93%EV -4.83%E -2.16%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.59%EV -5.05%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-02 21:34
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 28.53%EV -3.79%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.63%EV -1.01%E -0.433%K -0.759%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.84%EV -5.05%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-02 21:35
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.53%EV -3.79%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.63%EV -1.01%E -0.433%K -0.759%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.84%EV -5.05%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-02 21:35
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.79%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.51%E -2.03%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-02 21:39
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -3.79%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.58%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 21:53
BetUS3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.79%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.95%EV -6.96%E -3.18%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.51%E -2.03%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 21:45
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.79%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.95%EV -6.96%E -3.18%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.51%E -2.03%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 21:49
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -3.79%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.43%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 21:39
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -3.79%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.43%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 21:34
GTbets3.36I 29.76%NM 28.24%EV -4.92%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.74%EV -5.68%E -2.56%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.02%EV -4.46%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 21:35
DraftKings3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.20%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.04%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -3.58%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-02 21:35
Everygame3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.20%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.51%E -2.03%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-02 21:35
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -5.20%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.38%E -3.39%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.97%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 21:44
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -5.20%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.38%E -3.39%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.97%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 21:45
BetOnline.ag3.33I 30.03%NM 28.58%EV -5.77%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.11%EV -4.46%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 21:35
LowVig.ag3.33I 30.03%NM 28.58%EV -5.77%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.11%EV -4.46%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 21:35
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.62%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.51%E -2.03%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 21:35
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -6.62%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.15%EV -5.26%E -2.36%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -6.51%E -2.03%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 21:35
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.62%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -7.97%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 21:35
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.62%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -7.97%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 21:35
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.62%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -7.97%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 21:35
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.62%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -7.97%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 21:35
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.62%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -7.97%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 21:35
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.62%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -7.97%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 21:35
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.62%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.51%E -2.03%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 21:35
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.62%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.51%E -2.03%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 21:35
Marathon Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -6.62%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -7.81%E -3.60%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -5.34%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-02 21:35
PlayUp3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.62%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.97%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-02 21:44
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -6.62%E -2.00%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.78%E -5.13%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.35%E -4.12%K -6.17%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-02 21:40
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.03%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -7.97%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 21:35
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.03%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.35%E -4.12%K -6.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-02 21:54
William Hill3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.03%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.35%E -4.12%K -6.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-02 21:54
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.03%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.35%E -4.12%K -6.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-02 21:55
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.03%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -12.35%E -4.12%K -6.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-02 21:54
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -9.45%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -2.28%E -0.993%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.85%EV -3.58%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 21:25
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -9.45%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -3.58%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 21:25
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.45%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.58%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 21:35
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -9.45%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -5.26%E -2.36%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -9.43%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-02 21:35
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.45%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.43%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-02 21:35
Sky Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.45%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.78%E -5.13%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -12.35%E -4.12%K -6.17%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-02 21:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -9.45%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.75%EV -15.03%E -7.51%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.53%EV -18.19%E -6.50%K -10.11%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-02 21:40
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -10.86%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -3.58%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 21:35
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -10.86%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -6.53%E -2.97%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -3.58%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 21:35
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.86%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -6.51%E -2.03%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-02 21:35
PMU (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -10.86%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%EV -7.38%E -3.39%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.70%EV -10.89%E -3.57%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-02 21:35
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -10.86%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.55%EV -7.38%E -3.39%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.70%EV -10.89%E -3.57%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-02 21:35
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.50%EV -10.86%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.57%EV -8.23%E -3.81%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -12.35%E -4.12%K -6.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-02 21:35
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.50%EV -10.86%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.57%EV -8.23%E -3.81%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -12.35%E -4.12%K -6.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-02 21:35
Betclic (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.36%EV -10.86%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.54%EV -10.78%E -5.13%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 29.10%EV -10.30%E -3.36%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-02 21:33
Unibet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -10.86%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.46%EV -10.78%E -5.13%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -10.89%E -3.57%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-02 21:35
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.28%E -3.96%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.05%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 21:25
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.28%E -3.96%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.05%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 21:25
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.28%E -3.96%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -4.41%E -1.96%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.05%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 21:25
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -12.28%E -3.96%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.66%E -4.03%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.43%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-02 21:15
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -15.11%E -5.04%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.45%EV -12.91%E -6.30%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.53%EV -10.89%E -3.57%K -5.31%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-02 21:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 27.05%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.51%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.44%-0.1%2026-04-02 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.57%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-04-02 21:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.57%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-04-02 21:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.57%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%0.7%2026-04-02 21:45
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.57%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.70%1.1%2026-04-02 21:55
Smarkets3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.43%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.30%1.9%2026-04-02 21:45