默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Bragantino-SP v Flamengo

开赛时间: 2026-04-03 00:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

57 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Bragantino-SP (主队)

预测 25.54%3.91公平赔率
EV +9.58%
优势 +2.23%
Kelly +2.91%
增长率 +0.279%

假设最高赔率为 4.29

博彩公司预测分布
22.63%25.42%25.68%26.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.423.733.704.2929.24%26.80%27.03%23.31%最小值均值中位数最大值

Flamengo (客队)

预测 44.96%2.22公平赔率
EV -3.79%
优势 -1.77%
Kelly -3.33%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.14

博彩公司预测分布
44.05%45.09%44.80%47.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.832.052.062.1454.64%48.71%48.54%46.73%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 29.50%3.39公平赔率
EV -2.65%
优势 -0.802%
Kelly -1.15%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.30

博彩公司预测分布
28.36%29.50%29.53%30.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.883.123.153.3034.72%32.02%31.75%30.30%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Bragantino-SP (主队):25.54%;Flamengo (客队):44.96%;平局:29.50%。 对于“Bragantino-SP (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.91。 当时有13家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.29,对应+9.58%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (57 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯4.29I 23.31%NM 22.63%EV +9.58%E +2.23%K +2.91%G +0.279%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.59%EV -8.29%E -4.06%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.78%EV -3.83%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-03 00:24
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.61%EV +4.73%E +1.15%K +1.53%G +0.072%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.66%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.73%EV -7.07%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-03 00:25
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.61%EV +4.73%E +1.15%K +1.53%G +0.072%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.66%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.73%EV -7.07%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-03 00:25
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV +2.17%E +0.544%K +0.725%G +0.016%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.40%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 00:20
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV +2.17%E +0.544%K +0.725%G +0.016%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -10.09%E -5.04%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 00:25
BetUS🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV +2.17%E +0.544%K +0.725%G +0.016%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -10.09%E -5.04%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 00:15
Grosvenor🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV +0.897%E +0.227%K +0.304%G +0.003%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.52%EV -7.39%E -3.59%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -10.02%E -3.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 00:25
Unibet (NL)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV +0.897%E +0.227%K +0.304%G +0.003%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.52%EV -7.39%E -3.59%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -10.02%E -3.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 00:25
Casumo🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV +0.897%E +0.227%K +0.304%G +0.003%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.52%EV -7.39%E -3.59%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -10.02%E -3.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 00:24
Unibet (SE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV +0.897%E +0.227%K +0.304%G +0.003%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.52%EV -7.39%E -3.59%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -10.02%E -3.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 00:25
Unibet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV +0.897%E +0.227%K +0.304%G +0.003%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.52%EV -7.39%E -3.59%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -10.02%E -3.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 00:25
betPARX🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV +0.897%E +0.227%K +0.304%G +0.003%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.52%EV -7.39%E -3.59%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -10.02%E -3.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 00:25
Pinnacle🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.66%EV +0.131%E +0.033%K +0.045%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.04%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -2.65%E -0.802%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-03 00:20
Everygame🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -1.66%E -0.430%K -0.581%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -7.84%E -3.82%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -7.07%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -1.66%E -0.430%K -0.581%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.48%EV -8.29%E -4.06%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.42%EV -10.02%E -3.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 00:25
LeoVegas🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -1.66%E -0.430%K -0.581%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -9.19%E -4.55%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 00:25
LowVig.ag🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -2.93%E -0.772%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.71%EV -4.24%E -1.99%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -7.07%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 00:00
BetOnline.ag🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -2.93%E -0.772%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.71%EV -4.24%E -1.99%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -7.07%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 00:00
BetAnything🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -2.93%E -0.772%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.71%EV -4.24%E -1.99%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -7.07%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 00:00
SportsBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.93%E -0.772%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -7.84%E -3.82%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 00:25
FanDuel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -2.93%E -0.772%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.84%E -3.82%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 00:24
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -2.93%E -0.772%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -10.09%E -5.04%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 00:20
Unibet (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -2.93%E -0.772%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.24%EV -15.03%E -7.95%K -16.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -10.02%E -3.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-03 00:24
Winamax (DE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.09%EV -12.79%E -6.59%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 00:25
PMU (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.83%EV -11.44%E -5.81%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.09%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-03 00:24
TABtouch🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.83%EV -11.44%E -5.81%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.09%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-03 00:24
LiveScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.47%EV -10.99%E -5.55%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.52%EV -12.97%E -4.40%K -6.65%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-03 00:25
Virgin Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.60%EV -11.44%E -5.81%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.45%EV -12.97%E -4.40%K -6.65%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-03 00:24
BetRivers🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -5.49%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -10.02%E -3.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 23:45
888sport🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -5.49%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.84%E -3.82%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 00:24
William Hill🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -5.49%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.84%E -3.82%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 00:20
888sport (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -5.49%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.84%E -3.82%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 00:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -5.49%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.84%E -3.82%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 00:20
GTbets🎯3.69I 27.10%NM 25.86%EV -5.74%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.59%EV -3.79%E -1.77%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.54%EV -4.71%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 00:14
DraftKings🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -6.77%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 00:01
Codere (IT)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.19%EV -3.79%E -1.77%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.55%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 00:00
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 00:20
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.84%E -3.82%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -2.65%E -0.802%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 00:20
Marathon Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.40%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.70%EV -7.37%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 00:24
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -10.09%E -5.04%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 00:19
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.09%E -5.04%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-02 23:09
Winamax (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.76%EV -15.48%E -8.24%K -17.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -10.02%E -3.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-03 00:24
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -9.32%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.07%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 00:25
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -9.32%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.07%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 00:25
Bet Right🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -9.32%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.84%E -3.82%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -4.12%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 00:25
PlayUp🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -9.32%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 00:25
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.65%E -0.802%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 00:20
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.65%E -0.802%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 00:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.12%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 00:25
Neds🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.12%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.12%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 00:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.12%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 00:15
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 00:20
Betr (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 00:25
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.09%E -5.04%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-03 00:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.23%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.33%EV -17.73%E -9.69%K -21.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.44%EV -15.04%E -5.22%K -8.00%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-03 00:24
Betclic (FR)🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 26.17%EV -12.64%E -3.70%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.30%EV -9.19%E -4.55%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.53%EV -10.61%E -3.50%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-03 00:09
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.05%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.69%0.5%2026-04-03 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.05%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.69%0.5%2026-04-03 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-04-03 00:25
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.84%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%1.0%2026-04-03 00:25
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.80%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70%2.0%2026-04-03 00:20
Kalshi4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.63%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13%3.1%2026-04-03 00:10