L’École des cotes

Bragantino-SP v Flamengo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-03 00:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Bragantino-SP (Local)

Prévision 25.54%3.91cote équitable
EV +9.58%
Avantage +2.23%
Kelly +2.91%
Croissance +0.279%

avec la cote maximale 4.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.63%25.42%25.68%26.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.423.733.704.2929.24%26.80%27.03%23.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Flamengo (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.96%2.22cote équitable
EV -3.79%
Avantage -1.77%
Kelly -3.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.05%45.09%44.80%47.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.832.052.062.1454.64%48.71%48.54%46.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.50%3.39cote équitable
EV -2.65%
Avantage -0.802%
Kelly -1.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.36%29.50%29.53%30.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.123.153.3034.72%32.02%31.75%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet4.29I 23.31%NM 22.63%EV +9.58%E +2.23%K +2.91%G +0.279%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.59%EV -8.29%E -4.06%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.78%EV -3.83%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-03 00:24
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.61%EV +4.73%E +1.15%K +1.53%G +0.072%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.66%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.73%EV -7.07%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-03 00:25
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.61%EV +4.73%E +1.15%K +1.53%G +0.072%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.66%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.73%EV -7.07%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-03 00:25
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV +2.17%E +0.544%K +0.725%G +0.016%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.40%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 00:20
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV +2.17%E +0.544%K +0.725%G +0.016%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -10.09%E -5.04%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 00:25
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV +2.17%E +0.544%K +0.725%G +0.016%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -10.09%E -5.04%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 00:15
Grosvenor3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV +0.897%E +0.227%K +0.304%G +0.003%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.52%EV -7.39%E -3.59%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -10.02%E -3.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 00:25
Unibet (NL)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV +0.897%E +0.227%K +0.304%G +0.003%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.52%EV -7.39%E -3.59%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -10.02%E -3.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 00:25
Casumo3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV +0.897%E +0.227%K +0.304%G +0.003%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.52%EV -7.39%E -3.59%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -10.02%E -3.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 00:24
Unibet (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV +0.897%E +0.227%K +0.304%G +0.003%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.52%EV -7.39%E -3.59%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -10.02%E -3.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 00:25
Unibet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV +0.897%E +0.227%K +0.304%G +0.003%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.52%EV -7.39%E -3.59%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -10.02%E -3.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 00:25
betPARX3.95I 25.32%NM 23.74%EV +0.897%E +0.227%K +0.304%G +0.003%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.52%EV -7.39%E -3.59%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -10.02%E -3.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 00:25
Pinnacle3.92I 25.51%NM 24.66%EV +0.131%E +0.033%K +0.045%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.04%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.30%EV -2.65%E -0.802%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-03 00:20
Everygame3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -1.66%E -0.430%K -0.581%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.80%EV -7.84%E -3.82%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -7.07%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -1.66%E -0.430%K -0.581%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.48%EV -8.29%E -4.06%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.42%EV -10.02%E -3.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 00:25
LeoVegas3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -1.66%E -0.430%K -0.581%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.50%EV -9.19%E -4.55%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 00:25
LowVig.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -2.93%E -0.772%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.71%EV -4.24%E -1.99%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -7.07%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 00:00
BetOnline.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -2.93%E -0.772%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.71%EV -4.24%E -1.99%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -7.07%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 00:00
BetAnything3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -2.93%E -0.772%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.71%EV -4.24%E -1.99%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.23%EV -7.07%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 00:00
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.93%E -0.772%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -7.84%E -3.82%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 00:25
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -2.93%E -0.772%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.84%E -3.82%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 00:24
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -2.93%E -0.772%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -10.09%E -5.04%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 00:20
Unibet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -2.93%E -0.772%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.24%EV -15.03%E -7.95%K -16.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -10.02%E -3.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-03 00:24
Winamax (DE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.09%EV -12.79%E -6.59%K -13.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 00:25
PMU (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.83%EV -11.44%E -5.81%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.09%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-03 00:24
TABtouch3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.83%EV -11.44%E -5.81%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.09%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-03 00:24
LiveScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.47%EV -10.99%E -5.55%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.52%EV -12.97%E -4.40%K -6.65%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-03 00:25
Virgin Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.60%EV -11.44%E -5.81%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.45%EV -12.97%E -4.40%K -6.65%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-03 00:24
BetRivers3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -5.49%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -10.02%E -3.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 23:45
888sport3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -5.49%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.84%E -3.82%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 00:24
William Hill3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -5.49%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.84%E -3.82%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 00:20
888sport (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -5.49%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.84%E -3.82%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 00:24
Mr Green (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -5.49%E -1.48%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.84%E -3.82%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 00:20
GTbets3.69I 27.10%NM 25.86%EV -5.74%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.59%EV -3.79%E -1.77%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.54%EV -4.71%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 00:14
DraftKings3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -6.77%E -1.85%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 00:01
Codere (IT)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.19%EV -3.79%E -1.77%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.55%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 00:00
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 00:20
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.84%E -3.82%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -2.65%E -0.802%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 00:20
Marathon Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.40%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.70%EV -7.37%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 00:24
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -10.09%E -5.04%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 00:19
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.09%E -5.04%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-02 23:09
Winamax (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -8.04%E -2.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.76%EV -15.48%E -8.24%K -17.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -10.02%E -3.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-03 00:24
NordicBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -9.32%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.07%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 00:25
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -9.32%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -4.69%E -2.21%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.07%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 00:25
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -9.32%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.84%E -3.82%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -4.12%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 00:25
PlayUp3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -9.32%E -2.63%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.07%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 00:25
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.65%E -0.802%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 00:20
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.65%E -0.802%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 00:19
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.12%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 00:25
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.12%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.12%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 00:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.12%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 00:15
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 00:20
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -5.59%E -2.66%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 00:25
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.09%E -5.04%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-03 00:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.23%EV -10.60%E -3.03%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.33%EV -17.73%E -9.69%K -21.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.44%EV -15.04%E -5.22%K -8.00%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-03 00:24
Betclic (FR)3.42I 29.24%NM 26.17%EV -12.64%E -3.70%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.30%EV -9.19%E -4.55%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.53%EV -10.61%E -3.50%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-03 00:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.05%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.69%0.5%2026-04-03 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.05%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.69%0.5%2026-04-03 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.54%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%0.7%2026-04-03 00:25
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.84%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%1.0%2026-04-03 00:25
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.80%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70%2.0%2026-04-03 00:20
Kalshi4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.63%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13%3.1%2026-04-03 00:10