The School of Odds

Bragantino-SP v Corinthians

2026-08-09 21:30 UTC — Brazil Série A

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Bragantino-SP (Local)

Prediction 44.26%2.26fair odd
EV -3.08%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -2.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%44.17%44.22%44.94%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.942.082.102.1951.55%48.08%47.62%45.66%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Corinthians (Visit)

Prediction 26.88%3.72fair odd
EV -4.83%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -1.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.37%26.84%26.88%27.91%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.103.403.423.5432.26%29.42%29.24%28.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 28.86%3.47fair odd
EV -4.76%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -2.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.96%28.99%28.90%30.20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.003.153.203.3033.33%31.75%31.25%30.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.78%EV -3.08%E -1.41%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.08%EV -4.83%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.14%EV -5.05%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 17:00
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -4.85%E -2.25%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 14:51
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -4.85%E -2.25%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 14:50
Marathon Bet2.13I 46.95%NM 43.77%EV -5.73%E -2.69%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.10%EV -7.52%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 16:50
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.18%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-27 16:25
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.18%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-27 16:24
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-27 14:49
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-27 15:10
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-27 14:50
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.42%E -4.47%K -6.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-27 15:25
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.42%E -4.47%K -6.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-27 15:25
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.42%E -4.47%K -6.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-27 15:25
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.42%E -4.47%K -6.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-27 15:25
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -7.95%E -3.82%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 14:50
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.80%EV -8.83%E -4.29%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-27 14:50
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.29%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.54%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-27 15:09
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -11.49%E -5.74%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -16.66%E -5.37%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -13.42%E -4.47%K -6.71%G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-27 14:50
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.94%EV -13.26%E -6.76%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -12.63%E -3.89%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.96%EV -9.09%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-27 16:50
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.62%EV -13.70%E -7.03%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -11.29%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -13.42%E -4.47%K -6.71%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-27 14:50
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 44.60%EV -14.14%E -7.29%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.04%EV -13.97%E -4.37%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.37%EV -11.98%E -3.93%K -5.84%G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-27 16:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-27 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-27 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-27 15:10