La scuola delle quote

Bragantino-SP v Corinthians

2026-08-09 21:30 UTC — Brazil Série A

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20 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Bragantino-SP (Casa)

Previsione 44.26%2.26quota equa
EV -3.08%
Vantaggio -1.41%
Kelly -2.59%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.19

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.15%44.17%44.22%44.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.942.082.102.1951.55%48.08%47.62%45.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Corinthians (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.88%3.72quota equa
EV -4.83%
Vantaggio -1.37%
Kelly -1.90%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.37%26.84%26.88%27.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.403.423.5432.26%29.42%29.24%28.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.86%3.47quota equa
EV -4.76%
Vantaggio -1.44%
Kelly -2.07%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.96%28.99%28.90%30.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.153.203.3033.33%31.75%31.25%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (20 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.78%EV -3.08%E -1.41%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.08%EV -4.83%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.14%EV -5.05%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 17:00
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -4.85%E -2.25%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 14:51
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -4.85%E -2.25%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 14:50
Marathon Bet2.13I 46.95%NM 43.77%EV -5.73%E -2.69%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.10%EV -7.52%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 16:50
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.18%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-27 16:25
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -6.18%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-27 16:24
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-27 14:49
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.76%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-27 15:10
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -7.25%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-27 14:50
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.42%E -4.47%K -6.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-27 15:25
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.42%E -4.47%K -6.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-27 15:25
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.42%E -4.47%K -6.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-27 15:25
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.42%E -4.47%K -6.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-27 15:25
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -7.95%E -3.82%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.60%E -2.53%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 14:50
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.80%EV -8.83%E -4.29%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -5.91%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -7.65%E -2.39%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-27 14:50
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.29%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.54%E -3.40%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-27 15:09
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -11.49%E -5.74%K -11.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -16.66%E -5.37%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -13.42%E -4.47%K -6.71%G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-27 14:50
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.94%EV -13.26%E -6.76%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -12.63%E -3.89%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.96%EV -9.09%E -2.89%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-27 16:50
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.62%EV -13.70%E -7.03%K -14.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -11.29%E -3.42%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -13.42%E -4.47%K -6.71%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-27 14:50
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 44.60%EV -14.14%E -7.29%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.04%EV -13.97%E -4.37%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.37%EV -11.98%E -3.93%K -5.84%G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-27 16:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-27 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-27 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-27 15:10