Language:English
Bragantino-SP v Bahia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bragantino-SP (Local)
Prediction 45.77%2.18fair odd
EV -3.88%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -3.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.92%45.73%45.78%46.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.032.042.1051.28%49.32%49.02%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bahia (Visit)
Prediction 27.37%3.65fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -0.403%
Kelly -0.558%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.31%27.36%27.37%28.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.403.403.6032.26%29.40%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.85%3.72fair odd
EV -0.649%
Edge -0.175%
Kelly -0.240%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.69%26.91%26.85%28.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.433.453.7031.75%29.19%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bragantino-SP (Local): 45.77%; Bahia (Visit): 27.37%; Draw: 26.85%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.72. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -0.649%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.80%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -1.45%E -0.403%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-03 14:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.80%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -1.45%E -0.403%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-03 14:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.92%EV -3.88%E -1.85%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -6.93%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -7.36%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 03:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.22%EV -4.33%E -2.07%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.39%EV -5.56%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.39%EV -7.36%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 03:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -4.79%E -2.30%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -6.93%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -3.33%E -0.926%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 03:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.79%E -2.30%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.93%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 03:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.25%E -2.54%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -3.64%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.37%EV -2.26%E -0.621%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 05:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.06%EV -5.25%E -2.54%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.09%EV -3.64%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -4.19%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.33%E -0.926%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 06:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -4.19%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -3.33%E -0.926%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-02 06:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -6.93%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -0.649%E -0.175%K -0.240%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 03:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.19%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-03 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.19%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.93%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.33%E -0.926%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 03:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.56%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 09:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.70%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.56%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.36%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.70%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.56%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.36%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 01:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -4.19%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -4.19%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 14:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -4.19%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 14:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -4.19%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 14:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -4.19%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -4.19%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 14:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.93%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.93%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 11:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.93%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-03 13:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -9.66%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 03:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.11%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.36%EV -7.47%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.52%EV -9.78%E -2.91%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-04 03:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -4.19%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -14.07%E -4.40%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.70%EV -6.62%E -3.25%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.54%EV -1.72%E -0.480%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.76%EV -4.41%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.70%EV -6.62%E -3.25%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.54%EV -1.72%E -0.480%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.76%EV -4.41%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.70%EV -6.62%E -3.25%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.54%EV -1.72%E -0.480%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.76%EV -4.41%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 01:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.70%EV -6.62%E -3.25%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.54%EV -1.72%E -0.480%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.76%EV -4.41%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-02 13:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -7.54%E -3.73%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.29%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.36%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-04 05:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -7.54%E -3.73%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -8.29%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.36%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-04 05:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.54%E -3.73%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -8.29%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-03 13:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -7.54%E -3.73%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -8.29%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -12.73%E -3.92%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.39%EV -8.00%E -3.98%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.27%EV -6.38%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.34%EV -4.94%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-04 05:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -8.45%E -4.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.51%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -7.36%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-02 19:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -8.45%E -4.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -5.56%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.45%E -4.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.93%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.29%EV -8.45%E -4.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -8.29%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-03 19:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.45%E -4.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.66%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -3.33%E -0.926%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-04 07:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.45%E -4.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.66%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -3.33%E -0.926%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-04 03:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.45%E -4.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.66%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 03:28 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -8.45%E -4.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.66%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-03 19:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -8.45%E -4.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.66%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-03 15:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -8.45%E -4.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.66%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-03 15:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -8.45%E -4.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.66%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-03 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -8.45%E -4.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.66%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-03 15:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.20%EV -8.45%E -4.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -8.29%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -12.73%E -3.92%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-03 14:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.45%E -4.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.40%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -10.05%E -3.00%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-04 03:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.45%E -4.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -8.29%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -14.07%E -4.40%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-03 14:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.45%E -4.23%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -8.29%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -14.07%E -4.40%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-03 14:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.58%EV -9.83%E -4.99%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.38%EV -10.21%E -3.11%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.05%EV -10.85%E -3.27%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 05:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.12%EV -10.28%E -5.25%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.08%EV -13.77%E -4.37%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-04 03:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.12%EV -10.28%E -5.25%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -9.66%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.08%EV -15.42%E -4.89%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-03 14:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.12%EV -10.28%E -5.25%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -9.66%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.08%EV -15.42%E -4.89%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-03 14:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.40%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-04 05:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -15.14%E -4.88%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-04 03:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.07%EV -10.74%E -5.51%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -12.40%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -14.07%E -4.40%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-04 03:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.99% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.99% | 0.1% | 2026-09-04 07:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.73% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.63% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.63% | 2.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92% | 3.2% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92% | 3.2% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.22% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.08% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.70% | 4.0% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.04% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |