默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Bragantino-SP v Bahia

2026-09-05 19:00 UTC — Brazil Série A

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Bragantino-SP (主队)

预测 43.03%2.32公平赔率
EV -4.47%
优势 -2.01%
Kelly -3.66%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.22

博彩公司预测分布
41.66%42.96%43.06%44.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.962.122.152.2251.02%47.07%46.51%45.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

Bahia (客队)

预测 29.23%3.42公平赔率
EV -2.96%
优势 -0.892%
Kelly -1.28%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.32

博彩公司预测分布
27.84%29.25%29.22%30.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.143.103.3234.48%31.90%32.26%30.12%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.74%3.61公平赔率
EV -2.92%
优势 -0.833%
Kelly -1.17%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.50

博彩公司预测分布
27.14%27.79%27.72%28.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.073.293.253.5032.57%30.42%30.77%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Bragantino-SP (主队):43.03%;Bahia (客队):29.23%;平局:27.74%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.61。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为3.50,期望值为-2.92%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.24%EV -4.47%E -2.01%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.18%EV -3.84%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.58%EV -3.47%E -0.997%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-25 14:04
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%EV -4.47%E -2.01%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -10.85%E -3.56%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.46%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-25 13:19
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.66%EV -4.47%E -2.01%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -10.85%E -3.56%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.46%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-25 13:19
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -5.01%E -1.54%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -2.92%E -0.833%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-25 13:15
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -6.47%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -2.92%E -0.833%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 13:15
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.47%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.69%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 13:24
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -9.39%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.30%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-25 17:31
Marathon Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.21%EV -7.05%E -3.26%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.47%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.62%EV -6.24%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-25 13:55
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.47%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.69%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-25 13:13
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.39%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.85%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-25 14:44
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.39%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.85%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-25 14:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.39%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.85%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-25 14:43
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.39%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.85%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-25 14:44
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -8.77%E -4.14%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -5.01%E -1.54%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.85%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-25 20:08
MyBookie.ag🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.88%EV -9.20%E -4.36%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.89%EV -2.96%E -0.892%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.23%EV -9.02%E -2.75%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-25 12:43
Codere (IT)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.69%EV -9.20%E -4.36%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -3.55%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -9.85%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-25 12:44
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.63%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.39%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.85%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-25 13:19
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.63%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.31%E -4.10%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.46%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-25 13:13
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.23%EV -11.78%E -5.75%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.85%EV -15.24%E -5.25%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.92%EV -14.01%E -4.52%K -6.67%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-25 13:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -13.93%E -6.97%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -9.39%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -11.24%E -3.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-25 12:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 43.50%EV -14.79%E -7.47%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.71%EV -12.31%E -4.10%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.79%EV -14.01%E -4.52%K -6.67%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-25 12:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.16%EV -15.66%E -7.99%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.92%EV -9.39%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.92%EV -14.01%E -4.52%K -6.67%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-25 12:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.04%EV -15.66%E -7.99%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.84%EV -9.39%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 28.12%EV -14.84%E -4.84%K -7.17%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-25 12:43
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.91%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.05%7.1%2026-08-25 20:55
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 43.18%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.17%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.64%16.4%2026-08-25 12:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 32.72%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%180.4%2026-08-25 13:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 32.72%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%180.4%2026-08-25 13:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-25 12:49