A Escola das Odds

Botafogo v Coritiba

Início: 2026-04-12 19:02 UTC

Final: Botafogo 2–2 Coritiba

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Botafogo (Local)

Previsão 50.21%1.99odd justa
EV -4.09%
Vantagem -2.14%
Kelly -4.50%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.50%50.18%50.20%52.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.691.831.851.9159.17%54.62%54.05%52.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Coritiba (Visitante)

Previsão 21.90%4.57odd justa
EV +7.29%
Vantagem +1.49%
Kelly +1.87%
Crescimento +0.136%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.73%21.89%21.92%23.42%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.344.304.9026.67%23.02%23.26%20.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.89%3.59odd justa
EV -0.993%
Vantagem -0.280%
Kelly -0.389%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.04%27.92%27.88%29.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.343.353.5534.72%29.99%29.85%28.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.94%EV -8.11%E -4.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.77%EV +7.29%E +1.49%K +1.87%G +0.136%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.29%EV -0.993%E -0.280%K -0.389%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 19:00
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.94%EV -8.11%E -4.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.77%EV +7.29%E +1.49%K +1.87%G +0.136%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.29%EV -0.993%E -0.280%K -0.389%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-12 19:00
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -10.62%E -5.97%K -13.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV +4.01%E +0.844%K +1.07%G +0.043%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -3.78%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 19:00
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -10.62%E -5.97%K -13.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV +4.01%E +0.844%K +1.07%G +0.043%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -3.78%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 19:00
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -10.62%E -5.97%K -13.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV +4.01%E +0.844%K +1.07%G +0.043%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -3.78%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 19:00
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -10.62%E -5.97%K -13.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV +4.01%E +0.844%K +1.07%G +0.043%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -3.78%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 19:00
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -10.62%E -5.97%K -13.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV +4.01%E +0.844%K +1.07%G +0.043%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -3.78%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 19:00
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%EV -10.62%E -5.97%K -13.61%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV +4.01%E +0.844%K +1.07%G +0.043%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -3.78%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.99%EV -12.13%E -6.93%K -16.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV +2.91%E +0.620%K +0.787%G +0.023%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -5.18%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 19:00
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.90%EV -4.59%E -2.42%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.98%EV +0.942%E +0.204%K +0.261%G +0.002%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.12%EV -4.06%E -1.18%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-12 18:59
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 52.70%EV -12.63%E -7.26%K -17.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV +0.723%E +0.157%K +0.201%G +0.001%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -6.57%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 19:00
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 52.98%EV -13.63%E -7.93%K -18.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV +0.723%E +0.157%K +0.201%G +0.001%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -6.57%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 19:00
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.98%EV -13.63%E -7.93%K -18.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV +0.723%E +0.157%K +0.201%G +0.001%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -6.57%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 18:59
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.81%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.38%EV -0.590%E -0.130%K -0.167%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.81%EV -2.67%E -0.764%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 18:59
GTbets1.86I 53.76%NM 51.60%EV -6.60%E -3.55%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.14%EV -0.590%E -0.130%K -0.167%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.26%EV -1.83%E -0.520%K -0.726%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 19:00
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.07%EV -1.03%E -0.228%K -0.292%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -5.18%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 18:59
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.07%EV -1.03%E -0.228%K -0.292%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -5.18%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 18:59
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.07%EV -1.03%E -0.228%K -0.292%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -5.18%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 18:59
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.58%EV -6.60%E -3.55%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -1.47%E -0.326%K -0.419%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.97%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 19:00
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.83%EV -14.64%E -8.61%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -1.47%E -0.326%K -0.419%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -7.97%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 19:00
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.83%EV -14.64%E -8.61%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -1.47%E -0.326%K -0.419%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -7.97%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 19:00
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.15%EV -4.59%E -2.42%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.41%EV -2.56%E -0.576%K -0.742%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -6.57%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 18:58
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 50.81%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.12%EV -2.56%E -0.576%K -0.742%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -6.57%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 18:46
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -3.66%E -0.831%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.57%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 18:59
BetUS1.86I 53.76%NM 50.34%EV -6.60%E -3.55%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -3.66%E -0.831%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -7.97%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 18:57
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -8.11%E -4.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -3.66%E -0.831%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.97%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 19:00
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -3.66%E -0.831%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.97%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 19:00
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -5.85%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.18%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 19:00
Codere (IT)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.85%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.18%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 19:00
Marathon Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.70%EV -7.61%E -4.13%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -5.85%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -5.73%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 19:00
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.11%E -4.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -5.85%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -5.18%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 19:00
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -5.60%E -2.98%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -6.94%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.57%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 18:59
PointsBet (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.70%EV -5.60%E -2.98%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.94%E -1.63%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.97%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 18:59
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -8.04%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.18%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 19:00
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -8.04%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.18%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -8.04%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.18%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 19:00
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%EV -6.10%E -3.26%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -8.04%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.18%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 18:59
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -8.11%E -4.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.04%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.97%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 18:59
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -8.04%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -13.54%E -4.37%K -6.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 18:59
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -8.04%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -13.54%E -4.37%K -6.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 18:59
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -8.04%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -13.54%E -4.37%K -6.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 19:00
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -8.04%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -13.54%E -4.37%K -6.45%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-12 19:00
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.65%EV -5.60%E -2.98%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -9.13%E -2.20%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.57%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 19:00
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.65%EV -5.60%E -2.98%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -9.13%E -2.20%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.57%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.25%EV -4.59%E -2.42%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.57%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 18:58
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 49.25%EV -4.59%E -2.42%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.57%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 18:59
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 49.51%EV -5.60%E -2.98%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -6.57%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 18:59
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -5.60%E -2.98%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -7.97%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 18:59
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.74%EV -11.62%E -6.60%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -9.36%E -2.88%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-12 18:59
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.19%EV -10.62%E -5.97%K -13.61%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.06%EV -11.32%E -2.79%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.75%EV -10.20%E -3.17%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 19:00
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -4.09%E -2.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.18%E -1.52%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 18:59
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -4.59%E -2.42%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.97%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 19:00
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -7.10%E -3.84%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.75%E -3.36%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 19:00
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.32%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -6.57%E -1.96%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 19:00
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.25%EV -9.61%E -5.34%K -12.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.16%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -13.54%E -4.37%K -6.45%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-12 19:00
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 50.91%EV -15.14%E -8.96%K -21.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.78%EV -13.51%E -3.42%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.31%EV -12.15%E -3.86%K -5.65%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-12 19:00
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.18%EV -11.62%E -6.60%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -14.60%E -3.74%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -9.36%E -2.88%K -4.16%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-12 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.50%EV -13.13%E -7.59%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.37%EV -17.89%E -4.77%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.13%EV -19.68%E -6.83%K -10.47%G +0.000%19.2%2026-04-12 19:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.68%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.80%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.52%0.2%2026-04-12 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.45%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-04-12 19:00
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 50.12%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%0.8%2026-04-12 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71%1.0%2026-04-12 19:00
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 49.70%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.65%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.65%2.7%2026-04-12 19:00
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.72%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.31%6.1%2026-04-12 19:00