La scuola delle quote

Botafogo v Corinthians

Inizio: 2026-05-17 19:00 UTC

Finale: Botafogo 3–1 Corinthians

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Botafogo (Casa)

Previsione 35.76%2.80quota equa
EV -0.589%
Vantaggio -0.212%
Kelly -0.331%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.78

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.70%35.76%35.74%37.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.582.602.7841.67%38.70%38.46%35.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Corinthians (Trasferta)

Previsione 33.88%2.95quota equa
EV +1.64%
Vantaggio +0.546%
Kelly +0.818%
Crescita +0.013%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.43%33.90%33.82%35.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.772.763.0041.67%36.08%36.23%33.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.36%3.29quota equa
EV -2.84%
Vantaggio -0.888%
Kelly -1.29%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.22%30.34%30.44%31.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.703.063.103.2037.04%32.71%32.26%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 37.06%EV -5.95%E -2.26%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.49%EV +1.64%E +0.546%K +0.818%G +0.013%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.46%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-17 18:55
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 37.06%EV -5.95%E -2.26%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.49%EV +1.64%E +0.546%K +0.818%G +0.013%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.46%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-17 18:55
GTbets2.62I 38.17%NM 36.74%EV -6.31%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.19%EV -1.75%E -0.604%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.08%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 18:34
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -8.81%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -1.75%E -0.604%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 18:55
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -8.81%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -1.75%E -0.604%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 18:55
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -8.81%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -1.75%E -0.604%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 18:55
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -8.81%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -1.75%E -0.604%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 18:55
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -8.81%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -1.75%E -0.604%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 18:55
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -8.81%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -1.75%E -0.604%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 18:55
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.53%EV -7.03%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -3.45%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -4.36%E -1.38%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 18:44
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -8.81%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -3.45%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 18:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -3.45%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 18:55
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -11.32%E -4.56%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -3.45%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.30%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 18:55
Pinnacle2.74I 36.50%NM 35.31%EV -2.02%E -0.737%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.07%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.62%EV -4.06%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 18:50
1xBet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.87%EV -0.589%E -0.212%K -0.331%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.26%EV -4.12%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.87%EV -4.66%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 18:55
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -3.45%E -1.28%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 18:45
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -3.45%E -1.28%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 18:45
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -7.03%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 18:30
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%EV -5.24%E -1.98%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 18:36
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%EV -5.24%E -1.98%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 18:30
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.45%E -1.28%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 18:55
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.45%E -1.28%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 18:55
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -7.03%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 18:35
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 18:25
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.36%E -1.38%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 18:45
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 18:55
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 18:55
Bovada2.68I 37.31%NM 35.09%EV -4.17%E -1.55%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.07%EV -6.49%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 18:48
BetUS2.68I 37.31%NM 35.09%EV -4.17%E -1.55%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.07%EV -6.49%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 18:55
BetAnything2.68I 37.31%NM 35.09%EV -4.17%E -1.55%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.07%EV -6.49%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 18:50
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -7.03%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 18:35
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -5.24%E -1.98%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 18:44
Marathon Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -5.24%E -1.98%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -8.31%E -2.75%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 18:34
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -8.81%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.36%E -1.38%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 18:25
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -8.81%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 18:36
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -8.81%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 18:36
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 18:25
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.03%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -10.43%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 18:40
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 36.94%EV -13.10%E -5.39%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.64%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.43%EV -10.43%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-17 18:55
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 36.94%EV -13.10%E -5.39%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.64%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.43%EV -10.43%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-17 18:55
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -4.17%E -1.55%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.40%EV -7.85%E -2.89%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 18:35
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -4.17%E -1.55%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.40%EV -7.85%E -2.89%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 18:35
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -6.31%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -8.53%E -3.16%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 18:53
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -3.45%E -1.28%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -8.53%E -3.16%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 18:35
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -5.24%E -1.98%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.53%E -3.16%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 18:36
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.31%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.53%E -3.16%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 18:40
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.31%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.53%E -3.16%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 18:40
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.31%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.53%E -3.16%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 18:40
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.31%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.53%E -3.16%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 18:39
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.72%EV -6.31%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.53%E -3.16%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -12.56%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 18:55
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.43%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.31%EV -9.20%E -3.43%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -10.43%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 18:35
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.19%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -10.22%E -3.86%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-17 18:35
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.28%EV -7.03%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.89%EV -10.90%E -4.14%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -14.99%E -5.35%K -8.33%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 18:40
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -7.03%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -11.24%E -4.29%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 18:35
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.35%EV -14.18%E -5.91%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.56%EV -11.91%E -4.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.09%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-17 18:35
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.30%EV -14.18%E -5.91%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.17%EV -13.61%E -5.34%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.53%EV -10.43%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-17 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.70%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.10%EV -18.69%E -7.79%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.20%EV -18.02%E -6.68%K -10.60%G +0.000%18.7%2026-05-17 18:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.40%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%0.2%2026-05-17 18:55
Matchbook2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-05-17 18:55
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.16%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.45%1.0%2026-05-17 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.16%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.45%1.0%2026-05-17 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.16%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.45%1.0%2026-05-17 18:55
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38%1.9%2026-05-17 18:45