L’École des cotes

Botafogo v Corinthians

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 19:00 UTC

Score final : Botafogo 3–1 Corinthians

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Botafogo (Local)

Prévision 35.76%2.80cote équitable
EV -0.589%
Avantage -0.212%
Kelly -0.331%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.70%35.76%35.74%37.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.582.602.7841.67%38.70%38.46%35.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Corinthians (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.88%2.95cote équitable
EV +1.64%
Avantage +0.546%
Kelly +0.818%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.43%33.90%33.82%35.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.772.763.0041.67%36.08%36.23%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.36%3.29cote équitable
EV -2.84%
Avantage -0.888%
Kelly -1.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.22%30.34%30.44%31.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.063.103.2037.04%32.71%32.26%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 37.06%EV -5.95%E -2.26%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.49%EV +1.64%E +0.546%K +0.818%G +0.013%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.46%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-17 18:55
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 37.06%EV -5.95%E -2.26%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.49%EV +1.64%E +0.546%K +0.818%G +0.013%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.46%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-17 18:55
GTbets2.62I 38.17%NM 36.74%EV -6.31%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.19%EV -1.75%E -0.604%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.08%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 18:34
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -8.81%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -1.75%E -0.604%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 18:55
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -8.81%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -1.75%E -0.604%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 18:55
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -8.81%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -1.75%E -0.604%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 18:55
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -8.81%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -1.75%E -0.604%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 18:55
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -8.81%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -1.75%E -0.604%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 18:55
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -8.81%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -1.75%E -0.604%K -0.922%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 18:55
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.53%EV -7.03%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -3.45%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -4.36%E -1.38%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 18:44
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -8.81%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -3.45%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-17 18:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -3.45%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 18:55
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -11.32%E -4.56%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -3.45%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.30%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 18:55
Pinnacle2.74I 36.50%NM 35.31%EV -2.02%E -0.737%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.07%EV -3.78%E -1.33%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.62%EV -4.06%E -1.28%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 18:50
1xBet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.87%EV -0.589%E -0.212%K -0.331%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.26%EV -4.12%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.87%EV -4.66%E -1.49%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 18:55
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -3.45%E -1.28%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 18:45
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -3.45%E -1.28%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 18:45
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -7.03%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 18:30
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%EV -5.24%E -1.98%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 18:36
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.70%EV -5.24%E -1.98%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 18:30
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.45%E -1.28%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 18:55
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.45%E -1.28%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 18:55
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -7.03%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 18:35
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 18:25
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.36%E -1.38%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 18:45
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 18:55
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -5.14%E -1.84%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 18:55
Bovada2.68I 37.31%NM 35.09%EV -4.17%E -1.55%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.07%EV -6.49%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 18:48
BetUS2.68I 37.31%NM 35.09%EV -4.17%E -1.55%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.07%EV -6.49%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 18:55
BetAnything2.68I 37.31%NM 35.09%EV -4.17%E -1.55%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.07%EV -6.49%E -2.35%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 18:50
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -7.03%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 18:35
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -5.24%E -1.98%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 18:44
Marathon Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.20%EV -5.24%E -1.98%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -8.31%E -2.75%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 18:34
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -8.81%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -4.36%E -1.38%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 18:25
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -8.81%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 18:36
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -8.81%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 18:36
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 18:25
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.03%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -10.43%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 18:40
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 36.94%EV -13.10%E -5.39%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.64%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.43%EV -10.43%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-17 18:55
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 36.94%EV -13.10%E -5.39%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.64%EV -6.83%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.43%EV -10.43%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-17 18:55
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -4.17%E -1.55%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.40%EV -7.85%E -2.89%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 18:35
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -4.17%E -1.55%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.40%EV -7.85%E -2.89%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 18:35
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -6.31%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -8.53%E -3.16%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 18:53
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -3.45%E -1.28%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -8.53%E -3.16%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 18:35
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -5.24%E -1.98%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -8.53%E -3.16%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -8.91%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 18:36
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.31%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.53%E -3.16%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 18:40
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.31%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.53%E -3.16%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 18:40
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.31%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.53%E -3.16%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 18:40
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.31%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.53%E -3.16%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 18:39
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.72%EV -6.31%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.53%E -3.16%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -12.56%E -4.36%K -6.68%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 18:55
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.43%EV -12.39%E -5.06%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.31%EV -9.20%E -3.43%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.26%EV -10.43%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 18:35
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.19%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -10.22%E -3.86%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-17 18:35
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.28%EV -7.03%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.89%EV -10.90%E -4.14%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -14.99%E -5.35%K -8.33%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 18:40
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -7.03%E -2.70%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -11.24%E -4.29%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 18:35
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.35%EV -14.18%E -5.91%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.56%EV -11.91%E -4.58%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.09%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-17 18:35
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.30%EV -14.18%E -5.91%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.17%EV -13.61%E -5.34%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.53%EV -10.43%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-17 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.70%EV -10.60%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.10%EV -18.69%E -7.79%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.20%EV -18.02%E -6.68%K -10.60%G +0.000%18.7%2026-05-17 18:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.40%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%0.2%2026-05-17 18:55
Matchbook2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-05-17 18:55
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.16%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.45%1.0%2026-05-17 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.16%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.45%1.0%2026-05-17 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.16%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.45%1.0%2026-05-17 18:55
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38%1.9%2026-05-17 18:45