Школа коэффициентов

Bahia v Santos

Начало: 2026-04-25 21:30 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

59 букмекерских контор (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Bahia (Хозяева)

Прогноз 52.87%1.89справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.082%
Преимущество -0.044%
Kelly -0.092%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.89

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
50.82%52.88%52.86%54.15%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.661.771.761.8960.24%56.46%56.82%52.91%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Santos (Гости)

Прогноз 21.01%4.76справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.07%
Преимущество +0.223%
Kelly +0.282%
Рост +0.003%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.81

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.81%21.04%21.02%22.24%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.904.364.404.8125.64%22.95%22.73%20.79%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 26.12%3.83справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.05%
Преимущество -0.546%
Kelly -0.745%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.75

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.97%26.08%26.13%27.82%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.533.553.7532.26%28.33%28.17%26.67%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (59 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 54.15%EV -6.95%E -3.95%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.81%EV +1.07%E +0.223%K +0.282%G +0.003%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.04%EV -4.40%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 13:59
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 53.95%EV -8.01%E -4.60%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -1.24%E -0.263%K -0.335%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 14:14
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 53.95%EV -8.01%E -4.60%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -1.24%E -0.263%K -0.335%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 13:54
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 53.00%EV -4.31%E -2.38%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.72%EV -2.71%E -0.585%K -0.746%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.28%EV -4.66%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-24 01:44
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -10.13%E -5.96%K -14.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -3.34%E -0.726%K -0.928%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-24 03:10
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 52.02%EV -3.25%E -1.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 13:05
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47%EV -5.90%E -3.31%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -2.05%E -0.546%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 03:49
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 03:50
Codere (IT)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.37%E -3.00%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.99%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 00:35
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -7.48%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.05%E -0.546%K -0.745%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 03:50
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-24 03:50
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.48%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 13:28
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -6.95%E -3.95%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 13:04
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 03:49
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.48%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 03:50
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.48%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 03:50
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.48%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 03:50
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.48%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 03:50
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -9.07%E -5.27%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 13:04
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 52.56%EV -4.31%E -2.38%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -6.49%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -4.66%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 16:49
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 52.56%EV -4.31%E -2.38%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -6.49%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -4.66%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 16:49
BetAnything1.81I 55.25%NM 52.56%EV -4.31%E -2.38%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -6.49%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -4.66%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 16:54
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.48%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -6.49%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 12:59
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.48%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -6.49%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 12:59
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -0.082%E -0.044%K -0.092%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%EV -7.54%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 20:10
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -0.082%E -0.044%K -0.092%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%EV -7.54%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 20:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.54%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.90%E -3.31%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -7.54%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 03:49
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.90%E -3.31%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -7.54%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 03:50
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.90%E -3.31%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -7.54%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 00:34
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -7.54%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 13:15
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.03%EV -9.60%E -5.61%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -7.54%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -3.35%E -0.907%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 03:50
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 52.57%EV -7.48%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -8.59%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 12:59
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.54%E -4.94%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -9.01%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 13:05
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -3.25%E -1.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -9.64%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 11:29
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.82%EV -7.48%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -9.64%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 03:50
Unibet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -2.73%E -1.48%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -10.69%E -2.52%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 20:09
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -3.25%E -1.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -10.69%E -2.52%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 20:09
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -3.25%E -1.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -10.69%E -2.52%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 20:09
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -3.25%E -1.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -10.69%E -2.52%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 20:09
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -3.25%E -1.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -10.69%E -2.52%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 20:09
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -3.25%E -1.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -10.69%E -2.52%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 20:09
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -3.25%E -1.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -10.69%E -2.52%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 20:09
PointsBet (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -7.48%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -10.69%E -2.52%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -3.35%E -0.907%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-24 03:50
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 52.73%EV -6.95%E -3.95%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -10.69%E -2.52%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -4.66%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-24 03:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.14%EV -4.31%E -2.38%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -11.74%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 20:09
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 51.27%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.97%EV -11.74%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 20:09
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -8.54%E -4.94%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -11.74%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-24 03:49
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -8.54%E -4.94%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -11.74%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-24 03:49
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -10.13%E -5.96%K -14.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -11.74%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-24 00:35
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.80%EV -11.18%E -6.66%K -16.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -11.74%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-24 00:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64%EV -11.71%E -7.01%K -17.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.53%EV -11.74%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -19.03%E -6.14%K -9.06%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-24 03:49
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -5.90%E -3.31%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -13.85%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 20:09
PMU (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -5.90%E -3.31%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -13.85%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 20:09
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.16%EV -6.95%E -3.95%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -13.85%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -12.50%E -3.73%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 20:09
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.16%EV -6.95%E -3.95%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -13.85%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -12.50%E -3.73%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 20:09
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -10.13%E -5.96%K -14.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -15.95%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-24 00:35
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -7.48%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -15.95%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -13.80%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-24 01:45
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 52.05%EV -12.24%E -7.37%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.16%EV -18.05%E -4.63%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.79%EV -12.50%E -3.73%K -5.32%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-24 00:35
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.34%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.17%0.6%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.75%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.67%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.58%1.7%2026-04-23 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.75%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.67%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.58%1.7%2026-04-23 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.75%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.67%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.58%1.7%2026-04-23 23:25
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.86%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.64%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%1.8%2026-04-24 03:50
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40%2.4%2026-04-24 03:50