مدرسة الاحتمالات

Bahia v Santos

البداية: 2026-04-25 21:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Bahia (المضيف)

التنبؤ 52.87%1.89السعر العادل
EV -0.082%
الأفضلية -0.044%
Kelly -0.092%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.89

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.82%52.88%52.86%54.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.661.771.761.8960.24%56.46%56.82%52.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Santos (الضيف)

التنبؤ 21.01%4.76السعر العادل
EV +1.07%
الأفضلية +0.223%
Kelly +0.282%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.81

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.81%21.04%21.02%22.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.904.364.404.8125.64%22.95%22.73%20.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.12%3.83السعر العادل
EV -2.05%
الأفضلية -0.546%
Kelly -0.745%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.97%26.08%26.13%27.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.533.553.7532.26%28.33%28.17%26.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 54.15%EV -6.95%E -3.95%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.81%EV +1.07%E +0.223%K +0.282%G +0.003%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.04%EV -4.40%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 13:59
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 53.95%EV -8.01%E -4.60%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -1.24%E -0.263%K -0.335%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 14:14
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 53.95%EV -8.01%E -4.60%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -1.24%E -0.263%K -0.335%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 13:54
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 53.00%EV -4.31%E -2.38%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.72%EV -2.71%E -0.585%K -0.746%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.28%EV -4.66%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-24 01:44
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -10.13%E -5.96%K -14.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -3.34%E -0.726%K -0.928%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-24 03:10
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 52.02%EV -3.25%E -1.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 13:05
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47%EV -5.90%E -3.31%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -2.05%E -0.546%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 03:49
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 03:50
Codere (IT)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.37%E -3.00%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.99%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 00:35
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -7.48%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.05%E -0.546%K -0.745%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 03:50
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-24 03:50
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.48%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 13:28
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -6.95%E -3.95%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 13:04
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 03:49
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.48%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 03:50
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.48%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 03:50
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.48%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 03:50
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.48%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 03:50
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -9.07%E -5.27%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 13:04
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 52.56%EV -4.31%E -2.38%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -6.49%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -4.66%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 16:49
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 52.56%EV -4.31%E -2.38%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -6.49%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -4.66%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 16:49
BetAnything1.81I 55.25%NM 52.56%EV -4.31%E -2.38%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -6.49%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -4.66%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 16:54
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.48%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -6.49%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 12:59
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.48%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -6.49%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 12:59
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -0.082%E -0.044%K -0.092%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%EV -7.54%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 20:10
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -0.082%E -0.044%K -0.092%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%EV -7.54%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 20:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.54%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.90%E -3.31%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -7.54%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 03:49
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.90%E -3.31%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -7.54%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 03:50
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.90%E -3.31%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -7.54%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 00:34
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -7.54%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 13:15
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.03%EV -9.60%E -5.61%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -7.54%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -3.35%E -0.907%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 03:50
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 52.57%EV -7.48%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -8.59%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 12:59
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.54%E -4.94%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -9.01%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 13:05
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -3.25%E -1.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -9.64%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 11:29
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.82%EV -7.48%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -9.64%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 03:50
Unibet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -2.73%E -1.48%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -10.69%E -2.52%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 20:09
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -3.25%E -1.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -10.69%E -2.52%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 20:09
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -3.25%E -1.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -10.69%E -2.52%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 20:09
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -3.25%E -1.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -10.69%E -2.52%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 20:09
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -3.25%E -1.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -10.69%E -2.52%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 20:09
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -3.25%E -1.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -10.69%E -2.52%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 20:09
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -3.25%E -1.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -10.69%E -2.52%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 20:09
PointsBet (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -7.48%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -10.69%E -2.52%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -3.35%E -0.907%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-24 03:50
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 52.73%EV -6.95%E -3.95%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -10.69%E -2.52%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -4.66%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-24 03:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.14%EV -4.31%E -2.38%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -11.74%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 20:09
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 51.27%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.97%EV -11.74%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 20:09
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -8.54%E -4.94%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -11.74%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-24 03:49
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -8.54%E -4.94%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -11.74%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-24 03:49
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -10.13%E -5.96%K -14.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -11.74%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-24 00:35
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.80%EV -11.18%E -6.66%K -16.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -11.74%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-24 00:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64%EV -11.71%E -7.01%K -17.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.53%EV -11.74%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -19.03%E -6.14%K -9.06%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-24 03:49
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -5.90%E -3.31%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -13.85%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 20:09
PMU (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -5.90%E -3.31%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -13.85%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 20:09
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.16%EV -6.95%E -3.95%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -13.85%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -12.50%E -3.73%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 20:09
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.16%EV -6.95%E -3.95%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -13.85%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -12.50%E -3.73%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 20:09
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -10.13%E -5.96%K -14.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -15.95%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-24 00:35
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -7.48%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -15.95%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -13.80%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-24 01:45
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 52.05%EV -12.24%E -7.37%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.16%EV -18.05%E -4.63%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.79%EV -12.50%E -3.73%K -5.32%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-24 00:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.34%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.17%0.6%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.75%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.67%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.58%1.7%2026-04-23 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.75%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.67%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.58%1.7%2026-04-23 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.75%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.67%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.58%1.7%2026-04-23 23:25
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.86%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.64%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%1.8%2026-04-24 03:50
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40%2.4%2026-04-24 03:50