La scuola delle quote

Bahia v Santos

Inizio: 2026-04-25 21:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Bahia (Casa)

Previsione 52.87%1.89quota equa
EV -0.082%
Vantaggio -0.044%
Kelly -0.092%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.89

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.82%52.88%52.86%54.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.661.771.761.8960.24%56.46%56.82%52.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Santos (Trasferta)

Previsione 21.01%4.76quota equa
EV +1.07%
Vantaggio +0.223%
Kelly +0.282%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.81

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.81%21.04%21.02%22.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.904.364.404.8125.64%22.95%22.73%20.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.12%3.83quota equa
EV -2.05%
Vantaggio -0.546%
Kelly -0.745%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.97%26.08%26.13%27.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.533.553.7532.26%28.33%28.17%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 54.15%EV -6.95%E -3.95%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.81%EV +1.07%E +0.223%K +0.282%G +0.003%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.04%EV -4.40%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 13:59
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 53.95%EV -8.01%E -4.60%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -1.24%E -0.263%K -0.335%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 14:14
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 53.95%EV -8.01%E -4.60%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -1.24%E -0.263%K -0.335%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 13:54
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 53.00%EV -4.31%E -2.38%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.72%EV -2.71%E -0.585%K -0.746%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.28%EV -4.66%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-24 01:44
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -10.13%E -5.96%K -14.47%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -3.34%E -0.726%K -0.928%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-24 03:10
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 52.02%EV -3.25%E -1.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 13:05
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47%EV -5.90%E -3.31%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -2.05%E -0.546%K -0.745%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 03:49
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 03:50
Codere (IT)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.37%E -3.00%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.99%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 00:35
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -7.48%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.05%E -0.546%K -0.745%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 03:50
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-24 03:50
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.48%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 13:28
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -6.95%E -3.95%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 13:04
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 03:49
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.48%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 03:50
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.48%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 03:50
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.48%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 03:50
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.48%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-24 03:50
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -9.07%E -5.27%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 13:04
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 52.56%EV -4.31%E -2.38%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -6.49%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -4.66%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 16:49
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 52.56%EV -4.31%E -2.38%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -6.49%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -4.66%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 16:49
BetAnything1.81I 55.25%NM 52.56%EV -4.31%E -2.38%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -6.49%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -4.66%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 16:54
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.48%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -6.49%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 12:59
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.48%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.85%EV -6.49%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 12:59
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -0.082%E -0.044%K -0.092%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%EV -7.54%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 20:10
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -0.082%E -0.044%K -0.092%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.98%EV -7.54%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 20:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.54%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.90%E -3.31%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -7.54%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 03:49
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.90%E -3.31%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -7.54%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 03:50
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.90%E -3.31%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -7.54%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 00:34
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -7.54%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 13:15
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.03%EV -9.60%E -5.61%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -7.54%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -3.35%E -0.907%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 03:50
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 52.57%EV -7.48%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -8.59%E -1.98%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 12:59
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.54%E -4.94%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -9.01%E -2.08%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 13:05
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -3.25%E -1.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -9.64%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 11:29
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.82%EV -7.48%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -9.64%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-24 03:50
Unibet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -2.73%E -1.48%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.10%EV -10.69%E -2.52%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 20:09
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -3.25%E -1.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -10.69%E -2.52%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 20:09
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -3.25%E -1.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -10.69%E -2.52%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 20:09
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -3.25%E -1.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -10.69%E -2.52%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 20:09
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -3.25%E -1.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -10.69%E -2.52%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 20:09
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -3.25%E -1.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -10.69%E -2.52%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 20:09
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -3.25%E -1.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -10.69%E -2.52%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 20:09
PointsBet (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -7.48%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -10.69%E -2.52%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -3.35%E -0.907%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-24 03:50
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 52.73%EV -6.95%E -3.95%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%EV -10.69%E -2.52%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -4.66%E -1.28%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-24 03:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.14%EV -4.31%E -2.38%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -11.74%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 20:09
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 51.27%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.97%EV -11.74%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.89%E -2.87%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 20:09
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -8.54%E -4.94%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -11.74%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-24 03:49
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -8.54%E -4.94%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -11.74%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-24 03:49
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -10.13%E -5.96%K -14.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -11.74%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-24 00:35
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.80%EV -11.18%E -6.66%K -16.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -11.74%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-24 00:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64%EV -11.71%E -7.01%K -17.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.53%EV -11.74%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -19.03%E -6.14%K -9.06%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-24 03:49
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -5.90%E -3.31%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -13.85%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 20:09
PMU (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -5.90%E -3.31%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -13.85%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -11.19%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 20:09
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.16%EV -6.95%E -3.95%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -13.85%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -12.50%E -3.73%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 20:09
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.16%EV -6.95%E -3.95%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -13.85%E -3.38%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -12.50%E -3.73%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 20:09
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -10.13%E -5.96%K -14.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -15.95%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -8.58%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-24 00:35
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -7.48%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -15.95%E -3.99%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -13.80%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-24 01:45
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 52.05%EV -12.24%E -7.37%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.16%EV -18.05%E -4.63%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.79%EV -12.50%E -3.73%K -5.32%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-24 00:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.34%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.17%0.6%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.75%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.67%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.58%1.7%2026-04-23 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.75%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.67%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.58%1.7%2026-04-23 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.75%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.67%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.58%1.7%2026-04-23 23:25
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.86%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.64%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%1.8%2026-04-24 03:50
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40%2.4%2026-04-24 03:50