The School of Odds

Bahia v Corinthians

2026-07-26 19:00 UTC — Brazil Série A

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Bahia (Local)

Prediction 44.40%2.25fair odd
EV -4.10%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -3.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%44.32%44.41%45.19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.882.062.102.1653%48%48%46%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Corinthians (Visit)

Prediction 27.50%3.64fair odd
EV -3.19%
Edge -0.905%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.91%27.46%27.62%28.57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.003.323.403.5233%30%29%28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 28.10%3.56fair odd
EV -4.47%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.28%28.22%27.97%29.52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.003.233.253.4033%31%31%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.29%EV -3.19%E -0.905%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.25%EV -4.47%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-17 18:00
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.54%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.47%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 15:14
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.54%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.47%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 15:15
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.87%E -2.77%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 16:39
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.87%E -2.77%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 16:39
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.76%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.47%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 15:19
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.76%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.47%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 15:39
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.76%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -5.94%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-17 17:59
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 44.18%EV -6.76%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -5.88%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 15:15
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.76%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.61%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 15:19
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.76%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.90%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-17 15:34
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.76%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.90%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-17 15:35
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.76%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.90%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-17 15:34
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.76%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.90%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-17 15:34
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.84%EV -8.54%E -4.14%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-17 15:19
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.98%E -4.38%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.49%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.28%E -2.21%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-17 15:14
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -8.98%E -4.38%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.61%E -3.27%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -8.69%E -2.67%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-17 15:18
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -11.20%E -5.60%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -17.49%E -5.83%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -15.71%E -5.24%K -7.86%G +0.000%16.7%2026-07-17 15:19
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.00%EV -13.86%E -7.15%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.72%EV -13.36%E -4.24%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.28%EV -10.09%E -3.15%K -4.59%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-17 15:14
Unibet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.06%EV -14.75%E -7.68%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.03%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -12.90%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-17 15:14
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -15.20%E -7.96%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.97%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.84%EV -12.90%E -4.16%K -6.14%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-17 15:14
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 44.58%EV -16.53%E -8.79%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.94%EV -17.49%E -5.83%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.48%EV -14.31%E -4.69%K -6.98%G +0.000%19.3%2026-07-17 15:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 44.00%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.54%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.46%17.1%2026-07-17 19:04