La escuela de los momios

Bahia v Corinthians

2026-07-26 19:00 UTC — Brazil Série A

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bahia (Local)

Predicción 43.64%2.29momio equitativo
EV -0.498%
Ventaja -0.218%
Kelly -0.389%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.01%43.52%43.65%44.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.162.152.2850.00%46.31%46.51%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Corinthians (Visitante)

Predicción 28.41%3.52momio equitativo
EV -1.98%
Ventaja -0.574%
Kelly -0.808%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.32%28.53%28.32%30.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.253.253.4533.90%30.74%30.77%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.95%3.58momio equitativo
EV -2.19%
Ventaja -0.624%
Kelly -0.874%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.91%27.96%28.03%29.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.313.303.5033.33%30.21%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.53%EV -0.498%E -0.218%K -0.389%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.95%EV -4.82%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.52%EV -4.98%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-25 20:15
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.53%EV -0.498%E -0.218%K -0.389%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.95%EV -4.82%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.52%EV -4.98%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-25 20:15
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.34%EV -2.68%E -1.20%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 03:29
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.34%EV -2.68%E -1.20%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 03:29
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.34%EV -2.68%E -1.20%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 03:29
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.34%EV -2.68%E -1.20%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 03:29
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 42.34%EV -2.68%E -1.20%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 03:29
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.34%EV -2.68%E -1.20%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.05%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 03:34
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.41%EV -3.55%E -1.61%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.30%EV -3.68%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.30%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-24 07:44
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.95%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.19%EV -2.55%E -0.743%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.86%EV -3.02%E -0.871%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-26 03:39
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.95%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.19%EV -2.55%E -0.743%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.86%EV -3.02%E -0.871%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-26 03:39
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 43.95%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.19%EV -2.55%E -0.743%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.86%EV -3.02%E -0.871%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-26 03:39
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 43.77%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.24%EV -3.12%E -0.914%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.99%EV -3.86%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-26 03:40
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.41%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.51%EV -4.82%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -4.98%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-25 19:05
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -2.19%E -0.624%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-24 20:24
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.33%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.54%EV -5.10%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.12%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 21:05
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.40%E -1.000%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 01:00
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 20:15
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 03:29
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -3.99%E -1.81%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -14.76%E -4.92%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -4.98%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 03:25
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -4.86%E -2.23%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 00:34
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.86%E -2.23%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -13.34%E -4.38%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 03:25
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -4.86%E -2.23%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -13.34%E -4.38%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-26 03:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.52%EV -4.86%E -2.23%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 19:39
Codere (IT)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.56%EV -5.30%E -2.44%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -4.82%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -6.38%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 08:05
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.82%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -6.38%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 19:00
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.98%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 02:20
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.98%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.98%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 16:45
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.98%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 16:45
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.98%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 22:10
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 07:39
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 08:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.38%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 16:45
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.38%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 16:45
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.40%E -1.000%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -10.57%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 00:59
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.98%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 19:45
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -10.50%E -3.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -4.98%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-25 23:49
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -10.50%E -3.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -4.98%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-24 20:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.57%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 00:59
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.57%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 07:20
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 08:40
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 08:40
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 08:40
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.17%E -2.87%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 08:40
PMU (FR)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.59%EV -6.61%E -3.09%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -10.50%E -3.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.57%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-25 20:15
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.59%EV -6.61%E -3.09%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -10.50%E -3.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.57%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-25 20:15
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.59%EV -6.61%E -3.09%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -10.50%E -3.33%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -10.57%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-25 20:15
GTbets2.12I 47.17%NM 44.46%EV -7.48%E -3.53%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -1.98%E -0.574%K -0.808%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.22%EV -6.66%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-22 12:59
betano_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.35%E -3.98%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.98%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 04:04
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -8.35%E -3.98%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.98%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 04:04
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.35%E -3.98%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 17:39
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.35%E -3.98%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -4.98%E -1.46%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 23:49
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.35%E -3.98%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -6.24%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 00:59
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -8.35%E -3.98%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -16.16%E -5.39%K -8.08%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-26 01:00
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.60%EV -9.66%E -4.67%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -10.57%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-24 19:04
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.54%E -5.14%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.08%E -2.84%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-23 12:04
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.54%E -5.14%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -11.92%E -3.85%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-24 08:05
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -12.72%E -6.36%K -12.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -7.66%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.57%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-25 19:05
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.05%EV -12.72%E -6.36%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.18%EV -16.19%E -5.49%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.77%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-24 08:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%0.6%2026-07-26 02:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-07-26 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-07-26 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-07-26 01:35
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.60%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%1.0%2026-07-25 17:10
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.25%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.25%2.6%2026-07-26 03:05