The School of OddsBahia v Chapecoense
Head to Head
Bahia (Local)
Prediction 68.40%1.46fair odd
EV -4.24%
Edge -3.03%
Kelly -10.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.55%68.47%68.46%70.49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.281.351.351.4078%74%74%71%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Chapecoense (Visit)
Prediction 11.79%8.48fair odd
EV +6.15%
Edge +0.683%
Kelly +0.769%
Growth +0.047%
assuming max odds 9.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.72%11.77%11.75%14.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
6.007.898.009.0017%13%13%11%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Draw
Prediction 19.80%5.05fair odd
EV +2.98%
Edge +0.574%
Kelly +0.711%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 5.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.18%19.77%19.78%20.99%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.104.724.755.2024%21%21%19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.49%EV -5.61%E -4.06%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.81%EV +6.15%E +0.683%K +0.769%G +0.047% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.71%EV +2.98%E +0.574%K +0.711%G +0.021% | 2.8% | 2026-07-10 14:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.49%EV -5.61%E -4.06%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.81%EV +6.15%E +0.683%K +0.769%G +0.047% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.71%EV +2.98%E +0.574%K +0.711%G +0.021% | 2.8% | 2026-07-10 14:44 |
| 1xBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.20%EV -4.92%E -3.54%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 8.55I 11.70%NM 11.25%EV +0.843%E +0.099%K +0.112%G +0.001% | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.55%EV -2.56%E -0.521%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-10 19:00 |
| Unibet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.88%EV -8.34%E -6.23%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV +0.253%E +0.030%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -2.96%E -0.604%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-10 14:44 |
| Casumo | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.88%EV -8.34%E -6.23%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV +0.253%E +0.030%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -2.96%E -0.604%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-10 14:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.88%EV -8.34%E -6.23%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV +0.253%E +0.030%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -2.96%E -0.604%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-10 14:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.88%EV -8.34%E -6.23%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV +0.253%E +0.030%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -2.96%E -0.604%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-10 14:44 |
| Grosvenor | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.88%EV -8.34%E -6.23%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV +0.253%E +0.030%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -2.96%E -0.604%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-10 14:44 |
| betPARX | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.88%EV -8.34%E -6.23%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV +0.253%E +0.030%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -2.96%E -0.604%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-10 14:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.03%EV -9.03%E -6.79%K -27.35%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.96%EV +0.253%E +0.030%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -2.96%E -0.604%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-10 14:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.03%EV -9.03%E -6.79%K -27.35%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.96%EV +0.253%E +0.030%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -2.96%E -0.604%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-10 14:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.19%EV -9.71%E -7.36%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV +0.253%E +0.030%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -2.96%E -0.604%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-10 14:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.10%EV -11.08%E -8.52%K -36.93%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV +0.253%E +0.030%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-10 14:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.10%EV -11.08%E -8.52%K -36.93%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV +0.253%E +0.030%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-10 14:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.10%EV -11.08%E -8.52%K -36.93%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV +0.253%E +0.030%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-10 14:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.12%EV -7.66%E -5.67%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.24%EV -2.11%E -0.254%K -0.289%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-10 18:53 |
| Coolbet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.29%EV -5.61%E -4.06%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.59%EV -2.70%E -0.327%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV -0.977%E -0.195%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-10 14:40 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV -5.64%E -0.706%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.89%EV -4.94%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-10 14:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV -5.64%E -0.706%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.89%EV -4.94%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-10 14:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.24%E -3.03%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV -5.64%E -0.706%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.89%EV -4.94%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-10 14:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.45%EV -6.29%E -4.59%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -5.64%E -0.706%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +1.00%E +0.197%K +0.245%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 14:39 |
| Fanatics | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.67%EV -6.97%E -5.13%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -5.64%E -0.706%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.23%EV -9.71%E -7.36%K -30.35%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -5.64%E -0.706%K -0.806%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV +1.00%E +0.197%K +0.245%G +0.002% | 7.9% | 2026-07-10 14:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.19%EV -4.92%E -3.54%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV -6.82%E -0.864%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -11.87%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-10 15:49 |
| Betsson | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.19%EV -4.92%E -3.54%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.82%EV -6.82%E -0.864%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -11.87%E -2.67%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-10 15:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.82%EV -6.97%E -5.13%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.14%EV -10.36%E -1.36%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -8.90%E -1.93%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-10 14:29 |
| Neds | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.39%EV -5.61%E -4.06%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -11.54%E -1.54%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.90%E -1.93%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-10 14:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.39%EV -5.61%E -4.06%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -11.54%E -1.54%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -8.90%E -1.93%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-10 14:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -6.97%E -5.13%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -11.54%E -1.54%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-10 14:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.03%E -6.79%K -27.35%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -11.54%E -1.54%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -0.977%E -0.195%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-10 14:44 |
| betfred_uk | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -6.97%E -5.13%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -11.54%E -1.54%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -8.90%E -1.93%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-10 14:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.56%EV -6.97%E -5.13%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.25%EV -11.54%E -1.54%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.19%EV -9.89%E -2.17%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-10 16:14 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -6.97%E -5.13%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -11.54%E -1.54%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -12.86%E -2.92%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -6.97%E -5.13%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -11.54%E -1.54%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -12.86%E -2.92%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -6.97%E -5.13%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -11.54%E -1.54%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -12.86%E -2.92%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-10 18:59 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.09%EV -6.97%E -5.13%K -19.37%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -11.54%E -1.54%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -12.86%E -2.92%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-10 19:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -11.08%E -8.52%K -36.93%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -11.54%E -1.54%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -5.93%E -1.25%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-10 14:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 67.03%EV -10.39%E -7.93%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.54%EV -17.44%E -2.49%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.42%EV -14.84%E -3.45%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-10 14:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.64%EV -11.08%E -8.52%K -36.93%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 12.74%EV -19.80%E -2.91%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.63%EV -16.82%E -4.00%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-07-10 14:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 66.70%EV -10.39%E -7.93%K -33.53%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.44%EV -23.34%E -3.59%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.86%EV -12.86%E -2.92%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-07-10 14:29 |
| Sky Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.79%EV -9.03%E -6.79%K -27.35%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.00%EV -26.28%E -4.21%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.21%EV -14.25%E -3.29%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-10 14:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 65.55%EV -12.45%E -9.72%K -44.45%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 13.98%EV -29.23%E -4.87%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.46%EV -18.80%E -4.59%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-07-10 14:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.32I 75.76%NM 63.28% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 15.02% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 21.70% | 19.7% | 2026-07-10 19:15 |