赔率学院

Bahia v Chapecoense

开赛时间: 2026-07-17 22:30 UTC

最终结果: Bahia 2–0 Chapecoense

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

60 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Bahia (主队)

预测 67.34%1.49公平赔率
EV -2.36%
优势 -1.63%
Kelly -5.25%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.45

博彩公司预测分布
65.62%67.37%67.17%69.12%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.331.391.401.4575.19%72.04%71.43%68.97%MIN均值中位数MAX

Chapecoense (客队)

预测 13.11%7.63公平赔率
EV +8.13%
优势 +0.986%
Kelly +1.12%
增长率 +0.091%

假设最高赔率为 8.25

博彩公司预测分布
11.50%13.02%13.28%14.68%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
6.007.127.008.2516.67%14.05%14.29%12.12%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 19.56%5.11公平赔率
EV +2.87%
优势 +0.545%
Kelly +0.673%
增长率 +0.019%

假设最高赔率为 5.26

博彩公司预测分布
18.44%19.62%19.55%21.05%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
4.334.714.705.2623.09%21.21%21.28%19.01%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (60 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.74%EV -7.08%E -5.13%K -18.62%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.50%EV +8.13%E +0.986%K +1.12%G +0.091%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.76%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-17 22:04
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 68.94%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.32%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.99%EV +5.51%E +0.685%K +0.782%G +0.043%5.06I 19.76%NM 19.07%EV -1.05%E -0.207%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-17 22:19
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.42%E -6.19%K -23.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +4.86%E +0.607%K +0.694%G +0.034%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 21:53
betano_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.42%E -6.19%K -23.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +4.86%E +0.607%K +0.694%G +0.034%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 21:53
FanDuel1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -9.77%E -7.29%K -28.73%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV +4.86%E +0.607%K +0.694%G +0.034%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 22:03
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.19%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.32%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.64%EV -1.04%E -0.138%K -0.159%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 19.17%EV -2.61%E -0.524%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:35
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.19%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.32%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.64%EV -1.04%E -0.138%K -0.159%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 19.17%EV -2.61%E -0.524%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:34
BetAnything1.40I 71.43%NM 68.19%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.32%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.64%EV -1.04%E -0.138%K -0.159%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 19.17%EV -2.61%E -0.524%K -0.656%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-17 21:34
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 67.30%EV -3.03%E -2.11%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.92%EV -1.70%E -0.226%K -0.261%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.78%EV -4.17%E -0.852%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-17 15:29
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 67.30%EV -3.03%E -2.11%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.92%EV -1.70%E -0.226%K -0.261%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.78%EV -4.17%E -0.852%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-17 15:29
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -8.42%E -6.19%K -23.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -1.70%E -0.226%K -0.261%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -4.17%E -0.852%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 21:55
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 67.98%EV -7.75%E -5.66%K -20.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -1.70%E -0.226%K -0.261%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 22:04
PointsBet (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.98%EV -7.75%E -5.66%K -20.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -1.70%E -0.226%K -0.261%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 22:04
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.39%EV -7.08%E -5.13%K -18.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -1.70%E -0.226%K -0.261%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -10.04%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-17 22:04
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -8.42%E -6.19%K -23.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -1.70%E -0.226%K -0.261%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-17 21:13
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.16%EV -9.10%E -6.74%K -25.99%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -1.70%E -0.226%K -0.261%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -8.09%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-17 22:09
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -10.44%E -7.85%K -31.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -1.70%E -0.226%K -0.261%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -12.00%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-17 22:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -10.44%E -7.85%K -31.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -1.70%E -0.226%K -0.261%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -12.00%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-17 22:20
NordicBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.34%EV -5.06%E -3.59%K -12.33%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -3.01%E -0.407%K -0.470%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -12.97%E -2.92%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 22:25
Betsson1.41I 70.92%NM 66.34%EV -5.06%E -3.59%K -12.33%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -3.01%E -0.407%K -0.470%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.02%EV -12.97%E -2.92%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 22:24
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 66.17%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.32%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.78%EV -4.98%E -0.686%K -0.796%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -13.95%E -3.17%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-17 22:24
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.41%EV -3.03%E -2.11%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.66%EV -8.25%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.92%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 17:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.41%EV -3.03%E -2.11%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.66%EV -8.25%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.92%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 17:29
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 66.84%EV -3.71%E -2.59%K -8.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.65%EV -8.25%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.51%EV -4.17%E -0.852%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 22:24
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 66.84%EV -3.71%E -2.59%K -8.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.65%EV -8.25%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.51%EV -4.17%E -0.852%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 22:24
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.69%EV -2.36%E -1.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV -8.25%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -10.04%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 08:10
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.57%EV -3.71%E -2.59%K -8.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV -8.25%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-17 17:30
Codere (IT)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.31%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -8.25%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -4.17%E -0.852%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-17 22:24
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 67.31%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -8.25%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -4.17%E -0.852%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-17 21:24
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.60%EV -5.06%E -3.59%K -12.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -8.25%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -8.09%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 21:44
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 66.60%EV -5.06%E -3.59%K -12.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -8.25%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -8.09%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 21:44
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.60%EV -5.06%E -3.59%K -12.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -8.25%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -8.09%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 21:44
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.60%EV -5.06%E -3.59%K -12.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -8.25%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -8.09%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 21:44
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 66.60%EV -5.06%E -3.59%K -12.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -8.25%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -8.09%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 21:44
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 66.60%EV -5.06%E -3.59%K -12.33%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -8.25%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -8.09%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 21:45
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -8.25%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 22:24
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -7.08%E -5.13%K -18.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -8.25%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -2.22%E -0.444%K -0.555%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-17 15:32
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -8.25%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 22:24
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -8.25%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -8.09%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 21:44
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -5.73%E -4.09%K -14.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -8.25%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -8.09%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 21:39
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -7.08%E -5.13%K -18.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -8.25%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 22:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -7.08%E -5.13%K -18.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -8.25%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -10.04%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-17 21:39
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.42%E -6.19%K -23.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -8.25%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.04%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-17 22:05
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.42%E -6.19%K -23.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -8.25%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.04%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-17 22:04
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.42%E -6.19%K -23.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -8.25%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.04%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-17 22:04
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.42%E -6.19%K -23.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -8.25%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.04%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-17 22:05
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -8.42%E -6.19%K -23.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -8.25%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -12.00%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-17 21:35
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 66.79%EV -10.44%E -7.85%K -31.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.69%EV -8.25%E -1.18%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -15.32%E -3.54%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-17 22:04
GTbets1.43I 69.93%NM 66.04%EV -3.71%E -2.59%K -8.62%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.79%EV -10.22%E -1.49%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.18%EV -8.48%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 17:19
1xBet1.44I 69.44%NM 67.36%EV -3.03%E -2.11%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.83I 14.64%NM 14.20%EV -10.48%E -1.53%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.44%EV +2.87%E +0.545%K +0.673%G +0.019%3.1%2026-07-17 22:23
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -4.38%E -3.09%K -10.43%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.12%EV -13.49%E -2.04%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -10.04%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 17:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV -4.38%E -3.09%K -10.43%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.12%EV -13.49%E -2.04%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -10.04%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 17:29
Betclic (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -9.10%E -6.74%K -25.99%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.63%EV -13.49%E -2.04%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.76%EV -11.02%E -2.42%K -3.10%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-17 22:24
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -8.42%E -6.19%K -23.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.81%E -2.28%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -10.04%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-17 22:24
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -8.42%E -6.19%K -23.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.81%E -2.28%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -10.04%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-17 22:24
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -8.42%E -6.19%K -23.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.81%E -2.28%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -10.04%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-17 22:24
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 66.45%EV -8.42%E -6.19%K -23.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.81%E -2.28%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -10.04%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-17 22:24
Unibet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 66.05%EV -9.77%E -7.29%K -28.73%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.83%EV -16.12%E -2.52%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.12%EV -13.95%E -3.17%K -4.10%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-17 22:24
Winamax (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 66.46%EV -7.75%E -5.66%K -20.94%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -18.08%E -2.89%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-17 22:24
Winamax (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.74%EV -9.77%E -7.29%K -28.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.68%EV -21.36%E -3.56%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -12.00%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-17 22:24
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.65%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.83%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.53%0.4%2026-07-17 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.79%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-07-17 22:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.79%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-07-17 22:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.79%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%0.9%2026-07-17 22:19
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.94%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.72%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.34%1.4%2026-07-17 22:24
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 69.57%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.78%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65%1.9%2026-07-17 22:25