A Escola das Odds

Bahia v Bragantino-SP

Início: 2026-03-18 22:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Bahia (Local)

Previsão 57.08%1.75odd justa
EV -2.39%
Vantagem -1.40%
Kelly -3.37%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.36%57.06%57.01%60.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.381.631.651.7172.46%61.50%60.61%58.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Bragantino-SP (Visitante)

Previsão 17.90%5.59odd justa
EV +5.60%
Vantagem +0.949%
Kelly +1.14%
Crescimento +0.064%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.14%17.81%17.98%19.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.505.165.005.9022.22%19.38%20.00%16.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.02%4.00odd justa
EV -2.42%
Vantagem -0.621%
Kelly -0.835%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.79%25.13%25.01%26.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.703.753.9031.25%27.04%26.67%25.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.03%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.14%EV +5.60%E +0.949%K +1.14%G +0.064%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -11.18%E -3.15%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-18 21:50
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.60%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.87I 17.04%NM 16.47%EV +5.06%E +0.862%K +1.04%G +0.053%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.92%EV -2.92%E -0.753%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 21:50
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.90%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.31%EV +4.70%E +0.804%K +0.970%G +0.046%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -3.67%E -0.954%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 21:50
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.90%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.31%EV +4.70%E +0.804%K +0.970%G +0.046%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -3.67%E -0.954%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 21:50
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 58.90%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.31%EV +4.70%E +0.804%K +0.970%G +0.046%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -3.67%E -0.954%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 21:50
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.96%E -1.74%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.64I 17.73%NM 17.24%EV +0.946%E +0.168%K +0.204%G +0.002%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.58%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-18 21:55
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 58.25%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV +0.230%E +0.041%K +0.050%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-18 21:49
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.35%EV -9.24%E -5.81%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV +0.230%E +0.041%K +0.050%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -7.43%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-18 21:32
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -1.56%E -0.284%K -0.347%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 21:35
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -1.56%E -0.284%K -0.347%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.43%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 21:54
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -8.67%E -5.42%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -1.56%E -0.284%K -0.347%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -9.93%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 21:50
Codere (IT)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.45%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -3.35%E -0.620%K -0.761%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -2.42%E -0.621%K -0.835%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 21:45
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -3.35%E -0.620%K -0.761%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.90%EV -6.42%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 21:50
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 56.97%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.61%EV -3.89%E -0.724%K -0.889%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.42%EV -6.92%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-18 21:20
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.90%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -6.03%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 21:30
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.71%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV -6.03%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-18 21:55
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.03%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 21:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.03%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 21:25
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.03%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 21:24
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -6.03%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 21:54
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.61%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.03%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 21:55
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.58%EV -2.39%E -1.40%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.61%EV -6.93%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.81%EV -2.42%E -0.621%K -0.835%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 21:25
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 56.58%EV -2.39%E -1.40%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.61%EV -6.93%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.81%EV -2.42%E -0.621%K -0.835%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 21:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -6.93%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 21:20
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -6.93%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 21:20
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -8.67%E -5.42%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -6.93%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.43%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-18 21:15
Betclic (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 60.77%EV -21.23%E -15.38%K -55.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.44%EV -8.72%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 22.79%EV -7.93%E -2.15%K -2.96%G +0.000%19.2%2026-03-18 21:43
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 57.24%EV -10.38%E -6.61%K -18.21%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 17.80%EV -9.61%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -9.93%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-18 21:55
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.55%EV -14.38%E -9.59%K -28.76%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 17.39%EV -9.61%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.06%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-18 21:50
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-18 21:55
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-18 21:25
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-18 21:25
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-18 21:25
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-18 21:25
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-18 21:25
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-18 21:25
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 21:25
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 21:25
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 21:55
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-18 21:25
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 21:55
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 21:55
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 21:55
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 21:55
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.67%E -5.42%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -14.93%E -4.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-18 21:34
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -10.38%E -6.61%K -18.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-18 21:35
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -4.10%E -2.44%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -11.40%E -2.30%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.43%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 21:55
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -4.10%E -2.44%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -11.40%E -2.30%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.43%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -6.96%E -4.27%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -12.30%E -2.51%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-18 21:25
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 56.55%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -12.30%E -2.51%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -7.43%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 21:25
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 56.70%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -12.30%E -2.51%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -7.43%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-18 21:25
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.53%EV -9.81%E -6.21%K -16.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -12.30%E -2.51%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-18 21:55
Parions Sport (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.53%EV -13.24%E -8.71%K -25.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.84%EV -12.30%E -2.51%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.63%EV -11.18%E -3.15%K -4.38%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-18 21:55
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.75%EV -2.96%E -1.74%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -14.09%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.93%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 21:10
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.44%EV -8.67%E -5.42%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.81%EV -14.09%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-18 21:25
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.44%EV -8.67%E -5.42%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.81%EV -14.09%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-18 21:25
PMU (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 57.25%EV -16.66%E -11.41%K -36.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.41%EV -14.09%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.33%EV -17.43%E -5.28%K -7.58%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-18 21:35
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 56.74%EV -12.09%E -7.85%K -22.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.99%EV -17.67%E -3.84%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -9.93%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-18 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.36%EV -10.38%E -6.61%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.97%EV -19.46%E -4.32%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.67%EV -19.94%E -6.23%K -9.06%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-18 21:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.76%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.94%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.30%0.1%2026-03-18 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 58.07%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.29%0.1%2026-03-18 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 58.07%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.29%0.1%2026-03-18 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.90%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.21%0.4%2026-03-18 21:55
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.06%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%1.0%2026-03-18 21:55
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%2.2%2026-03-18 21:55