La escuela de los momios

Bahia v Bragantino-SP

Inicio: 2026-03-18 22:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bahia (Local)

Predicción 57.08%1.75momio equitativo
EV -2.39%
Ventaja -1.40%
Kelly -3.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.36%57.06%57.01%60.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.381.631.651.7172.46%61.50%60.61%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Bragantino-SP (Visitante)

Predicción 17.90%5.59momio equitativo
EV +5.60%
Ventaja +0.949%
Kelly +1.14%
Crecimiento +0.064%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.14%17.81%17.98%19.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.165.005.9022.22%19.38%20.00%16.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.02%4.00momio equitativo
EV -2.42%
Ventaja -0.621%
Kelly -0.835%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.79%25.13%25.01%26.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.703.753.9031.25%27.04%26.67%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.03%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.14%EV +5.60%E +0.949%K +1.14%G +0.064%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -11.18%E -3.15%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-18 21:50
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.60%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.87I 17.04%NM 16.47%EV +5.06%E +0.862%K +1.04%G +0.053%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.92%EV -2.92%E -0.753%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 21:50
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.90%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.31%EV +4.70%E +0.804%K +0.970%G +0.046%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -3.67%E -0.954%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 21:50
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.90%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.31%EV +4.70%E +0.804%K +0.970%G +0.046%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -3.67%E -0.954%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 21:50
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 58.90%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.31%EV +4.70%E +0.804%K +0.970%G +0.046%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -3.67%E -0.954%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 21:50
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.96%E -1.74%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.64I 17.73%NM 17.24%EV +0.946%E +0.168%K +0.204%G +0.002%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.58%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-18 21:55
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 58.25%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV +0.230%E +0.041%K +0.050%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-18 21:49
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.35%EV -9.24%E -5.81%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV +0.230%E +0.041%K +0.050%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -7.43%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-18 21:32
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -1.56%E -0.284%K -0.347%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 21:35
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -1.56%E -0.284%K -0.347%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.43%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 21:54
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -8.67%E -5.42%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -1.56%E -0.284%K -0.347%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -9.93%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 21:50
Codere (IT)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.45%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -3.35%E -0.620%K -0.761%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -2.42%E -0.621%K -0.835%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 21:45
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -3.35%E -0.620%K -0.761%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.90%EV -6.42%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 21:50
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 56.97%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.61%EV -3.89%E -0.724%K -0.889%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.42%EV -6.92%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-18 21:20
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.90%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -6.03%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 21:30
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.71%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV -6.03%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-18 21:55
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.03%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 21:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.03%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 21:25
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.03%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 21:24
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -6.03%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 21:54
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.61%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.03%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 21:55
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.58%EV -2.39%E -1.40%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.61%EV -6.93%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.81%EV -2.42%E -0.621%K -0.835%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 21:25
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 56.58%EV -2.39%E -1.40%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.61%EV -6.93%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.81%EV -2.42%E -0.621%K -0.835%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 21:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -6.93%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 21:20
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -6.93%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 21:20
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -8.67%E -5.42%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -6.93%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.43%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-18 21:15
Betclic (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 60.77%EV -21.23%E -15.38%K -55.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.44%EV -8.72%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 22.79%EV -7.93%E -2.15%K -2.96%G +0.000%19.2%2026-03-18 21:43
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 57.24%EV -10.38%E -6.61%K -18.21%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 17.80%EV -9.61%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -9.93%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-18 21:55
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.55%EV -14.38%E -9.59%K -28.76%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 17.39%EV -9.61%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.06%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-18 21:50
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-18 21:55
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-18 21:25
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-18 21:25
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-18 21:25
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-18 21:25
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-18 21:25
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-18 21:25
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 21:25
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 21:25
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 21:55
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-18 21:25
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 21:55
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 21:55
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 21:55
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 21:55
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.67%E -5.42%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -14.93%E -4.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-18 21:34
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -10.38%E -6.61%K -18.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-18 21:35
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -4.10%E -2.44%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -11.40%E -2.30%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.43%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 21:55
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -4.10%E -2.44%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -11.40%E -2.30%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.43%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -6.96%E -4.27%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -12.30%E -2.51%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-18 21:25
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 56.55%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -12.30%E -2.51%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -7.43%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 21:25
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 56.70%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -12.30%E -2.51%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -7.43%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-18 21:25
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.53%EV -9.81%E -6.21%K -16.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -12.30%E -2.51%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-18 21:55
Parions Sport (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.53%EV -13.24%E -8.71%K -25.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.84%EV -12.30%E -2.51%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.63%EV -11.18%E -3.15%K -4.38%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-18 21:55
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.75%EV -2.96%E -1.74%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -14.09%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.93%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 21:10
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.44%EV -8.67%E -5.42%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.81%EV -14.09%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-18 21:25
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.44%EV -8.67%E -5.42%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.81%EV -14.09%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-18 21:25
PMU (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 57.25%EV -16.66%E -11.41%K -36.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.41%EV -14.09%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.33%EV -17.43%E -5.28%K -7.58%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-18 21:35
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 56.74%EV -12.09%E -7.85%K -22.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.99%EV -17.67%E -3.84%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -9.93%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-18 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.36%EV -10.38%E -6.61%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.97%EV -19.46%E -4.32%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.67%EV -19.94%E -6.23%K -9.06%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-18 21:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.76%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.94%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.30%0.1%2026-03-18 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 58.07%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.29%0.1%2026-03-18 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 58.07%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.29%0.1%2026-03-18 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.90%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.21%0.4%2026-03-18 21:55
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.06%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%1.0%2026-03-18 21:55
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%2.2%2026-03-18 21:55