L’École des cotes

Bahia v Bragantino-SP

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-18 22:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Bahia (Local)

Prévision 57.08%1.75cote équitable
EV -2.39%
Avantage -1.40%
Kelly -3.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.36%57.06%57.01%60.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.631.651.7172.46%61.50%60.61%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bragantino-SP (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.90%5.59cote équitable
EV +5.60%
Avantage +0.949%
Kelly +1.14%
Croissance +0.064%

avec la cote maximale 5.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.14%17.81%17.98%19.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.165.005.9022.22%19.38%20.00%16.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.02%4.00cote équitable
EV -2.42%
Avantage -0.621%
Kelly -0.835%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.79%25.13%25.01%26.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.703.753.9031.25%27.04%26.67%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.03%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.14%EV +5.60%E +0.949%K +1.14%G +0.064%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -11.18%E -3.15%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-18 21:50
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.60%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.87I 17.04%NM 16.47%EV +5.06%E +0.862%K +1.04%G +0.053%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.92%EV -2.92%E -0.753%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 21:50
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.90%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.31%EV +4.70%E +0.804%K +0.970%G +0.046%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -3.67%E -0.954%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 21:50
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.90%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.31%EV +4.70%E +0.804%K +0.970%G +0.046%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -3.67%E -0.954%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 21:50
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 58.90%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.31%EV +4.70%E +0.804%K +0.970%G +0.046%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -3.67%E -0.954%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-18 21:50
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.96%E -1.74%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.64I 17.73%NM 17.24%EV +0.946%E +0.168%K +0.204%G +0.002%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.58%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-18 21:55
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 58.25%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV +0.230%E +0.041%K +0.050%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-18 21:49
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.35%EV -9.24%E -5.81%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV +0.230%E +0.041%K +0.050%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -7.43%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-18 21:32
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -1.56%E -0.284%K -0.347%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 21:35
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -1.56%E -0.284%K -0.347%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.43%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 21:54
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -8.67%E -5.42%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -1.56%E -0.284%K -0.347%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -9.93%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 21:50
Codere (IT)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.45%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -3.35%E -0.620%K -0.761%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -2.42%E -0.621%K -0.835%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 21:45
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -3.35%E -0.620%K -0.761%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.90%EV -6.42%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 21:50
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 56.97%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.61%EV -3.89%E -0.724%K -0.889%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.42%EV -6.92%E -1.86%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-18 21:20
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.90%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -6.03%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 21:30
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.71%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV -6.03%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-18 21:55
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.03%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 21:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.03%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 21:25
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.19%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.03%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 21:24
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -6.03%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 21:54
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.61%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.03%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 21:55
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.58%EV -2.39%E -1.40%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.61%EV -6.93%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.81%EV -2.42%E -0.621%K -0.835%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 21:25
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 56.58%EV -2.39%E -1.40%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.61%EV -6.93%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.81%EV -2.42%E -0.621%K -0.835%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-18 21:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -6.93%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 21:20
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 57.05%EV -6.39%E -3.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -6.93%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 21:20
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -8.67%E -5.42%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -6.93%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.43%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-18 21:15
Betclic (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 60.77%EV -21.23%E -15.38%K -55.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.44%EV -8.72%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 22.79%EV -7.93%E -2.15%K -2.96%G +0.000%19.2%2026-03-18 21:43
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 57.24%EV -10.38%E -6.61%K -18.21%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 17.80%EV -9.61%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -9.93%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-18 21:55
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.55%EV -14.38%E -9.59%K -28.76%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 17.39%EV -9.61%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.06%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-18 21:50
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -4.67%E -2.80%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-18 21:55
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-18 21:25
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-18 21:25
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-18 21:25
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-18 21:25
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-18 21:25
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -5.24%E -3.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-18 21:25
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 21:25
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 21:25
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 56.11%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 21:55
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-18 21:25
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 21:55
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 21:55
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 21:55
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -5.82%E -3.52%K -8.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 21:55
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.67%E -5.42%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -14.93%E -4.39%K -6.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-18 21:34
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -10.38%E -6.61%K -18.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -10.51%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -12.43%E -3.55%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-18 21:35
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -4.10%E -2.44%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -11.40%E -2.30%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.43%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 21:55
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -4.10%E -2.44%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -11.40%E -2.30%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.43%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.58%EV -6.96%E -4.27%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -12.30%E -2.51%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.17%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-18 21:25
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 56.55%EV -7.53%E -4.65%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -12.30%E -2.51%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -7.43%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-18 21:25
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 56.70%EV -8.10%E -5.03%K -13.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -12.30%E -2.51%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -7.43%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-18 21:25
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.53%EV -9.81%E -6.21%K -16.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -12.30%E -2.51%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -4.92%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-18 21:55
Parions Sport (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.53%EV -13.24%E -8.71%K -25.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.84%EV -12.30%E -2.51%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.63%EV -11.18%E -3.15%K -4.38%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-18 21:55
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.75%EV -2.96%E -1.74%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -14.09%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.93%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-18 21:10
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.44%EV -8.67%E -5.42%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.81%EV -14.09%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-18 21:25
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.44%EV -8.67%E -5.42%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.81%EV -14.09%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -8.68%E -2.38%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-18 21:25
PMU (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 57.25%EV -16.66%E -11.41%K -36.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.41%EV -14.09%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.33%EV -17.43%E -5.28%K -7.58%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-18 21:35
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 56.74%EV -12.09%E -7.85%K -22.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.99%EV -17.67%E -3.84%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -9.93%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-18 21:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.36%EV -10.38%E -6.61%K -18.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.97%EV -19.46%E -4.32%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.67%EV -19.94%E -6.23%K -9.06%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-18 21:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.76%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.94%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.30%0.1%2026-03-18 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 58.07%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.29%0.1%2026-03-18 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 58.07%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.29%0.1%2026-03-18 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.90%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.88%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.21%0.4%2026-03-18 21:55
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.06%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.06%1.0%2026-03-18 21:55
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%2.2%2026-03-18 21:55