La scuola delle quote

Atletico Paranaense v Cruzeiro

Inizio: 2026-03-18 22:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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55 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Atletico Paranaense (Casa)

Previsione 43.34%2.31quota equa
EV -2.05%
Vantaggio -0.909%
Kelly -1.63%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.26

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.75%43.28%43.18%45.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.902.142.152.2652.63%46.82%46.51%44.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cruzeiro (Trasferta)

Previsione 27.23%3.67quota equa
EV +5.66%
Vantaggio +1.46%
Kelly +1.97%
Crescita +0.111%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.88

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.00%27.27%27.34%29.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.383.403.8832.26%29.59%29.41%25.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.43%3.40quota equa
EV +0.059%
Vantaggio +0.017%
Kelly +0.025%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.12%29.45%29.48%30.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.163.203.4035.71%31.62%31.25%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 45.33%EV -7.25%E -3.39%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 25.00%EV +5.66%E +1.46%K +1.97%G +0.111%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.67%EV -3.77%E -1.15%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-18 22:25
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 43.59%EV -3.79%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.73%EV -1.42%E -0.392%K -0.542%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.68%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-18 22:20
BetOnline.ag2.17I 46.08%NM 43.92%EV -5.95%E -2.74%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -1.96%E -0.546%K -0.756%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.60%EV -5.24%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-18 22:15
LowVig.ag2.17I 46.08%NM 43.92%EV -5.95%E -2.74%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -1.96%E -0.546%K -0.756%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.60%EV -5.24%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-18 22:15
BetAnything2.17I 46.08%NM 43.92%EV -5.95%E -2.74%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -1.96%E -0.546%K -0.756%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.60%EV -5.24%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-18 22:15
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.96%E -0.546%K -0.756%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.83%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-18 22:20
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -1.96%E -0.546%K -0.756%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.83%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-18 22:15
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -1.96%E -0.546%K -0.756%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.77%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-18 22:20
Bovada2.14I 46.73%NM 43.82%EV -7.25%E -3.39%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -3.33%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -7.30%E -2.32%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-18 22:18
GTbets2.22I 45.05%NM 43.25%EV -3.79%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.20%EV -3.87%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.55%EV -4.36%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-18 22:25
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.36%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-18 22:24
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.30%E -2.32%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-18 22:20
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.77%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-18 22:10
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.71%E -3.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-18 22:25
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.71%E -3.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-18 22:25
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.71%E -3.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-18 22:25
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -11.16%E -5.44%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -11.71%E -3.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-18 22:20
Marathon Bet2.13I 46.95%NM 43.82%EV -7.69%E -3.61%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -5.23%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -6.42%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 22:20
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.65%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -5.83%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-18 22:15
Codere (IT)2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.09%E -2.32%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.83%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 22:20
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -5.52%E -2.53%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -10.24%E -3.36%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 22:15
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -5.52%E -2.53%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -10.24%E -3.36%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 22:15
Coolbet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.16%EV -2.05%E -0.909%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.70%EV -6.32%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.15%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-18 08:55
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -2.88%E -0.874%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-18 22:20
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.65%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.77%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 22:24
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.77%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-18 22:15
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.71%E -3.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-18 22:20
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.16%E -5.44%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.71%E -3.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-18 22:20
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.86%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.78%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.36%EV +0.059%E +0.017%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-18 22:20
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 42.86%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.78%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.36%EV +0.059%E +0.017%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-18 22:20
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -4.36%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 22:20
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 43.01%EV -5.95%E -2.74%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -4.36%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 22:05
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -4.36%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 22:15
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -4.36%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-18 22:10
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.77%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-18 22:05
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -11.16%E -5.44%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -8.77%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-18 22:25
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.50%EV -11.16%E -5.44%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.27%EV -10.95%E -3.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -10.24%E -3.36%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-18 22:19
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.65%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -11.50%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.88%E -0.874%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-18 22:20
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.65%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -11.50%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.88%E -0.874%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-18 22:20
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.65%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -11.50%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.88%E -0.874%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-18 22:20
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.65%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -11.50%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.88%E -0.874%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-18 22:20
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.65%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -11.50%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.88%E -0.874%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-18 22:20
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.65%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -11.50%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.88%E -0.874%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-18 22:20
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -11.50%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -7.30%E -2.32%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-18 22:20
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.91%EV -13.32%E -6.66%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -11.50%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.08%EV -11.12%E -3.68%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-18 22:25
Parions Sport (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 43.94%EV -13.76%E -6.91%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.91%EV -11.50%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -11.71%E -3.90%K -5.86%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-18 22:20
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -12.86%E -4.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.36%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-18 10:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.74%EV -6.39%E -2.96%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -12.86%E -4.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -4.36%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-18 22:20
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -12.86%E -4.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -4.36%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 22:20
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 44.01%EV -17.66%E -9.29%K -19.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.13%EV -12.86%E -4.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.86%EV -17.60%E -6.29%K -9.78%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-18 22:20
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -8.12%E -3.83%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -14.22%E -4.51%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -5.83%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-18 22:20
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.05%EV -11.16%E -5.44%K -10.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.02%EV -14.22%E -4.51%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -10.24%E -3.36%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-18 22:20
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -15.58%E -5.03%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -5.83%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-18 22:20
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -15.58%E -5.03%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -5.83%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-18 22:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -13.32%E -6.66%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -15.58%E -5.03%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -17.60%E -6.29%K -9.78%G +0.000%18.0%2026-03-18 22:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 44.07%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.73%0.4%2026-03-18 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.44%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%0.5%2026-03-18 22:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.44%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%0.5%2026-03-18 22:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-03-18 22:25
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.16%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70%2.0%2026-03-18 22:25