La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Atletico Paranaense v Cruzeiro
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Atletico Paranaense (Local)
Predicción 43.34%2.31momio equitativo
EV -2.05%
Ventaja -0.909%
Kelly -1.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.75%43.28%43.18%45.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.142.152.2652.63%46.82%46.51%44.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cruzeiro (Visitante)
Predicción 27.23%3.67momio equitativo
EV +5.66%
Ventaja +1.46%
Kelly +1.97%
Crecimiento +0.111%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.00%27.27%27.34%29.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.383.403.8832.26%29.59%29.41%25.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.43%3.40momio equitativo
EV +0.059%
Ventaja +0.017%
Kelly +0.025%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.12%29.45%29.48%30.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.163.203.4035.71%31.62%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.33%EV -7.25%E -3.39%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 25.00%EV +5.66%E +1.46%K +1.97%G +0.111% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.67%EV -3.77%E -1.15%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-18 22:25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.59%EV -3.79%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.73%EV -1.42%E -0.392%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.68%EV -4.06%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.92%EV -5.95%E -2.74%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -1.96%E -0.546%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.60%EV -5.24%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-18 22:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.92%EV -5.95%E -2.74%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -1.96%E -0.546%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.60%EV -5.24%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-18 22:15 |
| BetAnything | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.92%EV -5.95%E -2.74%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -1.96%E -0.546%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.60%EV -5.24%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-18 22:15 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.96%E -0.546%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.83%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| BetUS | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -1.96%E -0.546%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.83%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-18 22:15 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -1.96%E -0.546%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.77%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| Bovada | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.82%EV -7.25%E -3.39%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -3.33%E -0.937%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -7.30%E -2.32%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-18 22:18 |
| GTbets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.25%EV -3.79%E -1.71%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.20%EV -3.87%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.55%EV -4.36%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-18 22:25 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.36%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-18 22:24 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.30%E -2.32%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.77%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-18 22:10 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.71%E -3.90%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-18 22:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.71%E -3.90%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-18 22:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.71%E -3.90%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-18 22:25 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -11.16%E -5.44%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -4.69%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -11.71%E -3.90%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.82%EV -7.69%E -3.61%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -5.23%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -6.42%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.65%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -5.83%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-18 22:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.09%E -2.32%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.83%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -5.52%E -2.53%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -10.24%E -3.36%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-18 22:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -5.52%E -2.53%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -6.05%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -10.24%E -3.36%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-18 22:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.16%EV -2.05%E -0.909%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.70%EV -6.32%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.15%EV -7.00%E -2.22%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-18 08:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -2.88%E -0.874%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.65%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.77%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-18 22:24 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.77%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-18 22:15 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.71%E -3.90%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| Sky Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.16%E -5.44%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.71%E -3.90%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.86%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.78%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.36%EV +0.059%E +0.017%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.86%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.78%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.36%EV +0.059%E +0.017%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| Bet Right | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -4.36%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| BetRivers | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.01%EV -5.95%E -2.74%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -4.36%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-18 22:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -4.36%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-18 22:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -4.36%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-18 22:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.77%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-18 22:05 |
| Fliff | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -11.16%E -5.44%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -8.77%E -2.83%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-18 22:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.50%EV -11.16%E -5.44%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.27%EV -10.95%E -3.35%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -10.24%E -3.36%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-18 22:19 |
| Unibet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.65%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -11.50%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.88%E -0.874%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| Casumo | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.65%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -11.50%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.88%E -0.874%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.65%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -11.50%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.88%E -0.874%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.65%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -11.50%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.88%E -0.874%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.65%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -11.50%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.88%E -0.874%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| betPARX | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.65%E -2.12%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -11.50%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -2.88%E -0.874%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -11.50%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -7.30%E -2.32%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.91%EV -13.32%E -6.66%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -11.50%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 29.08%EV -11.12%E -3.68%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-18 22:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.94%EV -13.76%E -6.91%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.91%EV -11.50%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -11.71%E -3.90%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -2.49%E -1.11%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -12.86%E -4.02%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.36%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-18 10:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.74%EV -6.39%E -2.96%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -12.86%E -4.02%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -4.36%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -6.82%E -3.17%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -12.86%E -4.02%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -4.36%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 44.01%EV -17.66%E -9.29%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.13%EV -12.86%E -4.02%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.86%EV -17.60%E -6.29%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -8.12%E -3.83%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -14.22%E -4.51%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -5.83%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.05%EV -11.16%E -5.44%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.02%EV -14.22%E -4.51%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -10.24%E -3.36%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -15.58%E -5.03%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -5.83%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.99%E -4.28%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -15.58%E -5.03%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -5.83%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -13.32%E -6.66%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -15.58%E -5.03%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -17.60%E -6.29%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-03-18 22:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.07% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.73% | 0.4% | 2026-03-18 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.44% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71% | 0.5% | 2026-03-18 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.44% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71% | 0.5% | 2026-03-18 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61% | 0.8% | 2026-03-18 22:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.16% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70% | 2.0% | 2026-03-18 22:25 |