Школа коэффициентов

Atletico Paranaense v Botafogo

Начало: 2026-03-29 21:30 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

54 букмекерские конторы (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Atletico Paranaense (Хозяева)

Прогноз 47.07%2.12справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.50%
Преимущество -1.71%
Kelly -3.33%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.05

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
44.94%47.04%47.09%47.97%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.801.961.982.0555.56%51.02%50.51%48.78%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Botafogo (Гости)

Прогноз 24.90%4.02справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.08%
Преимущество +0.507%
Kelly +0.671%
Рост +0.014%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.10

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.69%24.85%24.90%25.91%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.353.743.754.1029.85%26.71%26.67%24.39%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 28.03%3.57справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.90%
Преимущество -0.542%
Kelly -0.759%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.18%28.11%28.01%29.81%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.263.273.5034.72%30.63%30.53%28.57%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (54 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.67%EV -3.97%E -1.95%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%EV +2.08%E +0.507%K +0.671%G +0.014%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60%EV -4.70%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-27 17:30
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 47.67%EV -3.97%E -1.95%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%EV +2.08%E +0.507%K +0.671%G +0.014%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60%EV -4.70%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-27 17:30
BetOnline.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 47.87%EV -6.32%E -3.18%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -1.65%E -0.419%K -0.561%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -4.70%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 19:25
LowVig.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 47.87%EV -6.32%E -3.18%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -1.65%E -0.419%K -0.561%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -4.70%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 19:25
BetAnything1.99I 50.25%NM 47.87%EV -6.32%E -3.18%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -1.65%E -0.419%K -0.561%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -4.70%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 17:30
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -6.80%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -1.65%E -0.419%K -0.561%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 17:29
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -7.27%E -3.69%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -1.65%E -0.419%K -0.561%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 17:30
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -7.27%E -3.69%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -1.65%E -0.419%K -0.561%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 17:29
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -7.27%E -3.69%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -1.65%E -0.419%K -0.561%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 17:29
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -7.27%E -3.69%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -1.65%E -0.419%K -0.561%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 17:30
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -7.27%E -3.69%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -1.65%E -0.419%K -0.561%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-27 17:30
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 47.40%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -2.90%E -0.743%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -6.10%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-27 13:25
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.74%E -3.95%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -2.90%E -0.743%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-27 17:30
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.47%EV -3.15%E -0.809%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -6.10%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.39%EV -8.68%E -4.47%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -4.14%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -10.31%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 17:29
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 47.52%EV -9.15%E -4.74%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -4.14%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.31%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-27 17:30
1xBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.85%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.07%EV -4.64%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.08%EV -4.14%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-27 21:55
GTbets1.98I 50.51%NM 47.63%EV -6.80%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.63%EV -4.64%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -4.70%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-23 00:10
Codere (IT)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.39%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.70%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-27 11:04
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -5.39%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-27 14:00
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.21%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -5.39%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-27 21:40
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.21%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.39%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.31%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 16:05
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 47.42%EV -10.09%E -5.28%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.39%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -11.71%E -3.72%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-27 17:30
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -6.63%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -1.90%E -0.542%K -0.759%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 15:40
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.63%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.70%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-18 14:20
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.19%EV -6.80%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.63%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.10%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 17:25
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -10.09%E -5.28%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -6.63%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-25 19:23
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 47.53%EV -11.03%E -5.84%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -6.63%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -11.71%E -3.72%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-27 17:29
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 47.53%EV -11.03%E -5.84%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -6.63%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -11.71%E -3.72%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-27 17:30
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 46.85%EV -6.32%E -3.18%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.06%EV -7.38%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -6.94%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-27 21:50
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.88%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.10%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-27 13:00
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.88%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 14:19
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.88%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-26 15:45
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.80%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.88%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.10%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-25 19:25
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.80%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.88%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.10%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-25 19:24
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.80%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.88%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.10%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-26 15:44
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -8.21%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.88%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-26 15:45
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.85%EV -8.21%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -9.12%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-27 04:25
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.37%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.70%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-27 10:40
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 46.51%EV -6.80%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -10.37%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-25 19:24
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.21%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.37%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-24 21:35
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.37%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -13.11%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-26 15:39
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.37%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -13.11%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-26 15:39
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.37%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -13.11%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-26 15:40
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.37%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -13.11%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-26 15:39
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -10.09%E -5.28%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -10.37%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.31%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-27 21:50
Betclic (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 47.20%EV -11.03%E -5.84%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.92%EV -10.87%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.88%EV -10.31%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-27 22:33
Parions Sport (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 47.97%EV -14.80%E -8.18%K -18.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.46%EV -11.61%E -3.27%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.57%EV -11.71%E -3.72%K -5.45%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-27 22:34
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 47.97%EV -14.80%E -8.18%K -18.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.46%EV -11.61%E -3.27%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.57%EV -11.71%E -3.72%K -5.45%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-27 22:34
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.20%EV -10.56%E -5.56%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -12.86%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-27 16:10
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.21%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.86%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.11%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-27 09:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -10.09%E -5.28%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -15.35%E -4.51%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.81%EV -19.28%E -6.69%K -10.25%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-27 09:10
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 46.87%EV -13.39%E -7.27%K -15.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.75%EV -16.59%E -4.95%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.38%EV -11.71%E -3.72%K -5.45%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-27 16:10
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.00%EV -15.27%E -8.48%K -19.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.26%EV -16.59%E -4.95%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.74%EV -14.51%E -4.76%K -7.08%G +0.000%18.2%2026-03-27 21:35
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.5%2026-03-28 03:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.19%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-03-28 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.19%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-03-28 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.77%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.63%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.61%2.8%2026-03-28 00:10
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.07%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.74%3.9%2026-03-28 03:05
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 44.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.66%8.0%2026-03-28 02:45