L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Atletico Paranaense v Botafogo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Atletico Paranaense (Local)
Prévision 47.07%2.12cote équitable
EV -3.50%
Avantage -1.71%
Kelly -3.33%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.94%47.04%47.09%47.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.961.982.0555.56%51.02%50.51%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Botafogo (Visiteur)
Prévision 24.90%4.02cote équitable
EV +2.08%
Avantage +0.507%
Kelly +0.671%
Croissance +0.014%
avec la cote maximale 4.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.69%24.85%24.90%25.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.353.743.754.1029.85%26.71%26.67%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.03%3.57cote équitable
EV -1.90%
Avantage -0.542%
Kelly -0.759%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.18%28.11%28.01%29.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.263.273.5034.72%30.63%30.53%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.67%EV -3.97%E -1.95%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%EV +2.08%E +0.507%K +0.671%G +0.014% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60%EV -4.70%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-27 17:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.67%EV -3.97%E -1.95%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%EV +2.08%E +0.507%K +0.671%G +0.014% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.60%EV -4.70%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-27 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.87%EV -6.32%E -3.18%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -1.65%E -0.419%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -4.70%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-25 19:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.87%EV -6.32%E -3.18%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -1.65%E -0.419%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -4.70%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-25 19:25 |
| BetAnything | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.87%EV -6.32%E -3.18%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -1.65%E -0.419%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -4.70%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 17:30 |
| Unibet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -6.80%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -1.65%E -0.419%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-27 17:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -7.27%E -3.69%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -1.65%E -0.419%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-27 17:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -7.27%E -3.69%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -1.65%E -0.419%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-27 17:29 |
| Casumo | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -7.27%E -3.69%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -1.65%E -0.419%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-27 17:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -7.27%E -3.69%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -1.65%E -0.419%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-27 17:30 |
| betPARX | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -7.27%E -3.69%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -1.65%E -0.419%K -0.561%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-27 17:30 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.40%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -2.90%E -0.743%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -6.10%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-27 13:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -7.74%E -3.95%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -2.90%E -0.743%K -1.000%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-27 17:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.47%EV -3.15%E -0.809%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -6.10%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 18:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.39%EV -8.68%E -4.47%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -4.14%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -10.31%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 17:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.52%EV -9.15%E -4.74%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.82%EV -4.14%E -1.08%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -10.31%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-27 17:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.85%EV -3.50%E -1.71%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.07%EV -4.64%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.08%EV -4.14%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-27 21:55 |
| GTbets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.63%EV -6.80%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.63%EV -4.64%E -1.21%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -4.70%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-23 00:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.39%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.70%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-27 11:04 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -5.39%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-27 14:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.21%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -5.39%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-27 21:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.21%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.39%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.31%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 16:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.42%EV -10.09%E -5.28%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.39%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -11.71%E -3.72%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-27 17:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.91%E -2.43%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -6.63%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -1.90%E -0.542%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 15:40 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.63%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.70%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-18 14:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.19%EV -6.80%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.63%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -6.10%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-26 17:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -10.09%E -5.28%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -6.63%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-25 19:23 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.53%EV -11.03%E -5.84%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -6.63%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -11.71%E -3.72%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-27 17:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.53%EV -11.03%E -5.84%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -6.63%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.52%EV -11.71%E -3.72%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-27 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.85%EV -6.32%E -3.18%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.06%EV -7.38%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -6.94%E -2.09%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-27 21:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.88%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.10%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-27 13:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.88%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-18 14:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.88%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-26 15:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.80%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.88%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.10%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-25 19:25 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.80%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.88%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.10%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-25 19:24 |
| Bet Right | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.80%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.88%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.10%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-26 15:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -8.21%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.88%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-26 15:45 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.85%EV -8.21%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -9.12%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.90%E -2.74%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-27 04:25 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.37%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.70%E -1.38%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-27 10:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.51%EV -6.80%E -3.43%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -10.37%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-25 19:24 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.21%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.37%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-24 21:35 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.37%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -13.11%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-26 15:39 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.37%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -13.11%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-26 15:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.37%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -13.11%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-26 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -5.85%E -2.93%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -10.37%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -13.11%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-26 15:39 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -10.09%E -5.28%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -10.37%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.31%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-27 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.20%EV -11.03%E -5.84%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 24.92%EV -10.87%E -3.04%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.88%EV -10.31%E -3.22%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-27 22:33 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 47.97%EV -14.80%E -8.18%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.46%EV -11.61%E -3.27%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.57%EV -11.71%E -3.72%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-27 22:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 47.97%EV -14.80%E -8.18%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.46%EV -11.61%E -3.27%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.57%EV -11.71%E -3.72%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-27 22:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.20%EV -10.56%E -5.56%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -12.86%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -7.50%E -2.27%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-27 16:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.21%E -4.21%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -12.86%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.11%E -4.23%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-27 09:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -10.09%E -5.28%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -15.35%E -4.51%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.81%EV -19.28%E -6.69%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-03-27 09:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 46.87%EV -13.39%E -7.27%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.75%EV -16.59%E -4.95%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.38%EV -11.71%E -3.72%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-03-27 16:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.00%EV -15.27%E -8.48%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.26%EV -16.59%E -4.95%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.74%EV -14.51%E -4.76%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-03-27 21:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.39% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.5% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 1.9% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.19% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 1.9% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.77% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.63% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.61% | 2.8% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.07% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.74% | 3.9% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Kalshi | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.51% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.66% | 8.0% | 2026-03-28 02:45 |