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Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)
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Atletico Paranaense v Atletico Mineiro

Inizio: 2026-10-08 23:00 UTC

Finale: Atletico Paranaense 2–2 Atletico Mineiro

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

52 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Atletico Paranaense (Casa)

Previsione 45.38%2.20quota equa
EV -3.80%
Vantaggio -1.79%
Kelly -3.39%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.12

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.26%45.43%45.32%46.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.902.042.052.1252.63%49.12%48.78%47.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Atletico Mineiro (Trasferta)

Previsione 25.90%3.86quota equa
EV +2.56%
Vantaggio +0.646%
Kelly +0.865%
Crescita +0.022%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.96

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.09%25.77%26.00%27.16%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.623.603.9631.25%27.60%27.78%25.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 28.72%3.48quota equa
EV -2.34%
Vantaggio -0.689%
Kelly -0.976%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.60%28.80%28.68%30.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.193.183.4033.33%31.37%31.45%29.41%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Atletico Paranaense (Casa): 45.38%; Atletico Mineiro (Trasferta): 25.90%; Pareggio: 28.72%. Per Atletico Mineiro (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.86. 6 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.96, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.56%.

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.28%EV -3.80%E -1.79%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.24%EV +2.56%E +0.646%K +0.865%G +0.022%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.48%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-30 13:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.89%EV -3.80%E -1.79%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.63%EV +2.30%E +0.582%K +0.780%G +0.018%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.48%EV -5.21%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-02 23:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.89%EV -3.80%E -1.79%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.63%EV +2.30%E +0.582%K +0.780%G +0.018%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.48%EV -5.21%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-02 23:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.98%EV -6.07%E -2.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV +2.30%E +0.582%K +0.780%G +0.018%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.93%EV -8.66%E -2.72%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.98%EV -6.07%E -2.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV +2.30%E +0.582%K +0.780%G +0.018%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.93%EV -8.66%E -2.72%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 15:14
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.65%EV -5.16%E -2.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.53%EV +0.747%E +0.192%K +0.258%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.09%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-04 23:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.38%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.22%EV -0.548%E -0.143%K -0.193%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.40%EV -12.11%E -3.96%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-30 12:59
GTbets🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.38%EV -5.61%E -2.70%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.04%EV -2.36%E -0.626%K -0.852%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.59%EV -8.37%E -2.62%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 00:09
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -2.88%E -0.768%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-05 11:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -2.88%E -0.768%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-02 23:40
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -2.88%E -0.768%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-02 23:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -2.88%E -0.768%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-02 23:40
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -2.88%E -0.768%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-02 23:40
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -2.88%E -0.768%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-02 23:40
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -2.88%E -0.768%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-02 23:40
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -2.88%E -0.768%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-05 11:45
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -8.34%E -4.13%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.17%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.65%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-05 09:25
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -8.34%E -4.13%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -4.17%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.09%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-05 09:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -11.51%E -5.90%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -4.17%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -8.09%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-04 17:20
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.20%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -5.47%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-05 11:40
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -8.34%E -4.13%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -5.47%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -12.39%E -4.06%K -6.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-02 23:40
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -4.71%E -2.24%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -2.34%E -0.689%K -0.976%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-05 14:04
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -4.71%E -2.24%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -2.34%E -0.689%K -0.976%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-05 14:05
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.21%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-05 05:20
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -8.09%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-05 06:10
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -8.34%E -4.13%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.09%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-05 09:25
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -9.24%E -4.62%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.96%E -3.54%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-04 17:15
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -9.24%E -4.62%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.96%E -3.54%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-04 17:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -9.24%E -4.62%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.96%E -3.54%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-04 17:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -9.24%E -4.62%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.96%E -3.54%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-04 17:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -9.24%E -4.62%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -12.39%E -4.06%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-02 23:40
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -9.24%E -4.62%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -12.39%E -4.06%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-02 23:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -9.24%E -4.62%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -12.39%E -4.06%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-02 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -9.24%E -4.62%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.83%E -4.61%K -6.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-02 23:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.60%EV -10.61%E -5.38%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -6.76%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -12.39%E -4.06%K -6.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-23 00:44
Codere (IT)🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.81%EV -5.16%E -2.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -8.06%E -2.27%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -6.65%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-05 14:40
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -4.71%E -2.24%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -2.34%E -0.689%K -0.976%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-05 14:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -4.71%E -2.24%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.65%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-05 06:25
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.21%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-04 17:13
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.21%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-04 17:13
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.21%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-05 00:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.21%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-05 14:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.21%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-05 00:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -9.35%E -2.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.65%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-05 14:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -9.24%E -4.62%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.35%EV -11.43%E -3.34%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.60%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-05 06:24
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.97%E -3.40%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.65%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-05 14:05
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.24%E -4.62%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -5.21%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-05 00:54
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -11.51%E -5.90%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -6.65%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-27 14:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.05%EV -13.78%E -7.25%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.73%EV -11.94%E -3.51%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -10.96%E -3.54%K -5.22%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-05 06:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.24%E -4.62%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -14.53%E -4.40%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -8.09%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-05 06:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.94%EV -11.06%E -5.64%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -15.83%E -4.87%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.96%EV -9.52%E -3.02%K -4.43%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-05 06:24
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.26%EV -11.51%E -5.90%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.97%EV -17.12%E -5.35%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.77%EV -13.83%E -4.61%K -6.92%G +0.000%15.9%2026-10-05 14:08
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎2.15I 46.51%NM 45.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.57%1.5%2026-10-05 04:15
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 45.66%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%5.3%2026-10-05 13:35
Smarkets◎1.99I 50.25%NM 44.12%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%13.9%2026-10-05 06:25