The School of Odds

Atletico Mineiro v Bragantino-SP

2026-07-29 00:00 UTC — Brazil Série A

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Atletico Mineiro (Local)

Prediction 43.96%2.27fair odd
EV -4.16%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -3.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.37%43.96%43.96%44.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.062.112.122.1848.54%47.41%47.17%45.87%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Bragantino-SP (Visit)

Prediction 27.49%3.64fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -0.677%
Kelly -0.942%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.99%27.49%27.49%27.76%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.303.413.453.5530.30%29.37%28.99%28.17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 28.54%3.50fair odd
EV -2.95%
Edge -0.867%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.42%28.54%28.54%29.19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.153.263.253.4031.75%30.67%30.77%29.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.34%EV -4.16%E -1.91%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.23%EV -2.40%E -0.677%K -0.942%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -2.95%E -0.867%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-26 14:20
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.34%EV -4.16%E -1.91%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.23%EV -2.40%E -0.677%K -0.942%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.43%EV -2.95%E -0.867%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-26 14:20
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -6.80%E -3.21%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.15%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 14:20
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -6.80%E -3.21%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.15%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 14:20
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -6.80%E -3.21%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.15%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 14:20
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -6.80%E -3.21%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.15%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 14:20
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -6.80%E -3.21%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.15%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 14:20
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -6.80%E -3.21%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.15%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 14:20
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -6.80%E -3.21%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.15%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.80%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 14:20
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -6.80%E -3.21%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -7.90%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -10.08%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 14:20
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 44.35%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -5.15%E -1.49%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.23%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 14:20
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 14:19
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 14:20
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 14:20
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -8.56%E -4.11%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -6.53%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -7.23%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 14:20
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.27%EV -9.44%E -4.58%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -7.90%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 14:20
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.27%EV -9.44%E -4.58%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -7.90%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 14:20
PMU (FR)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.27%EV -9.44%E -4.58%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -7.90%E -2.36%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.66%E -2.71%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 14:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.