默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atletico Mineiro v Bragantino-SP

开赛时间: 2026-07-29 00:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

21 家博彩公司 (3 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Atletico Mineiro (主队)

预测 43.89%2.28公平赔率
EV -3.88%
优势 -1.77%
Kelly -3.26%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.19

博彩公司预测分布
43.39%43.89%43.62%44.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.042.112.102.1949.02%47.48%47.62%45.66%最小值均值中位数最大值

Bragantino-SP (客队)

预测 27.55%3.63公平赔率
EV -0.817%
优势 -0.227%
Kelly -0.314%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.60

博彩公司预测分布
26.83%27.55%27.76%27.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.423.433.6030.30%29.20%29.15%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 28.56%3.50公平赔率
EV -2.90%
优势 -0.854%
Kelly -1.21%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.40

博彩公司预测分布
28.35%28.56%28.62%28.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.273.303.4031.25%30.59%30.30%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Atletico Mineiro (主队):43.89%;Bragantino-SP (客队):27.55%;平局:28.56%。 对于“Bragantino-SP (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.63。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.60,期望值为-0.817%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (21 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.51%EV -3.88%E -1.77%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.78%EV -5.50%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.70%EV -5.19%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 00:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.51%EV -3.88%E -1.77%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.78%EV -5.50%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.70%EV -5.19%E -1.56%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 00:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.51%EV -4.32%E -1.98%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -0.817%E -0.227%K -0.314%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.54%EV -2.90%E -0.854%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-27 07:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.51%EV -4.32%E -1.98%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -0.817%E -0.227%K -0.314%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.54%EV -2.90%E -0.854%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-27 07:34
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -6.95%E -3.28%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.08%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 01:20
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.83%E -3.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.57%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.76%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-27 07:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.83%E -3.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.57%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.76%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-27 07:35
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.83%E -3.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.57%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.76%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-27 07:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.83%E -3.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.57%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.76%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-27 07:35
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.83%E -3.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.57%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.76%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-27 07:35
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.83%E -3.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.57%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.76%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-27 07:34
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -7.83%E -3.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -4.95%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.76%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 07:34
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.83%E -3.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.08%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 14:19
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.83%E -3.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.08%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.83%E -3.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.08%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.83%E -3.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.08%E -2.75%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 14:20
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -8.71%E -4.19%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -4.95%E -1.43%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-27 07:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.53%EV -9.14%E -4.42%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.33%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.19%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-27 07:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.51%EV -10.46%E -5.13%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -7.70%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-27 07:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.51%EV -10.46%E -5.13%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -7.70%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-27 07:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.51%EV -10.46%E -5.13%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -7.70%E -2.30%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.62%E -2.69%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-27 07:35
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。