The School of OddsAtletico Mineiro v Bahia
Head to Head
Option 1: Atletico Mineiro (Local)
Odds
1.9252.08%Min
2.0449.09%Mean
2.0249.50%Median
2.1446.73%Max
Consensus probabilities
43.57%2.295Min
45.92%2.177Max
44.72%2.236Mean
44.70%2.237Median
44.77%2.234IQM
44.75%2.235Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.14 under the IQM model: 44.77%
EV -4.20%Edge -1.96%Kelly -3.68%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Bahia (Visit)
Odds
3.0033.33%Min
3.3529.86%Mean
3.3529.85%Median
3.6227.62%Max
Consensus probabilities
26.24%3.811Min
28.54%3.504Max
26.90%3.717Mean
26.84%3.725Median
26.82%3.729IQM
26.86%3.723Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.62 under the IQM model: 26.82%
EV -2.91%Edge -0.805%Kelly -1.11%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
3.0033.33%Min
3.1931.36%Mean
3.1531.75%Median
3.4029.41%Max
Consensus probabilities
27.28%3.665Min
29.52%3.388Max
28.38%3.524Mean
28.46%3.514Median
28.41%3.519IQM
28.39%3.523Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.40 under the IQM model: 28.41%
EV -3.39%Edge -0.998%Kelly -1.41%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Atletico Mineiro (Local) ▼ | Bahia (Visit) | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45% NM 43.18%EV -1.51% E -0.687% K -1.26% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 27.14%EV -6.13% E -1.75% K -2.45% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 29.68%EV -9.08% E -2.84% K -4.13% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-03 18:39 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -3.75% E -1.74% K -3.26% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.92%EV -8.81% E -2.59% K -3.67% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.92%EV -3.39% E -0.998% K -1.41% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-06 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51% NM 43.74%EV -3.75% E -1.74% K -3.26% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.87%EV -6.13% E -1.75% K -2.45% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 29.39%EV -9.08% E -2.84% K -4.13% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-03 21:19 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51% NM 43.74%EV -3.75% E -1.74% K -3.26% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.87%EV -6.13% E -1.75% K -2.45% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 29.39%EV -9.08% E -2.84% K -4.13% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-04 03:19 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51% NM 43.57%EV -3.75% E -1.74% K -3.26% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 27.15%EV -7.47% E -2.17% K -3.05% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 29.27%EV -9.08% E -2.84% K -4.13% G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-03 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51% NM 43.57%EV -3.75% E -1.74% K -3.26% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 27.15%EV -7.47% E -2.17% K -3.05% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 29.27%EV -9.08% E -2.84% K -4.13% G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-03 18:40 |
| 1xBet | 2.14I 46.73% NM 44.85%EV -4.20% E -1.96% K -3.68% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.66%EV -3.45% E -0.959% K -1.33% G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67% NM 28.48%EV -4.25% E -1.26% K -1.79% G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-25 20:20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.12I 47.17% NM 45.00%EV -5.09% E -2.40% K -4.55% G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62% NM 26.35%EV -2.91% E -0.805% K -1.11% G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03% NM 28.65%EV -5.38% E -1.62% K -2.31% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-26 00:30 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.24%EV -5.99% E -2.85% K -5.44% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.39%EV -3.45% E -0.959% K -1.33% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 28.36%EV -4.81% E -1.44% K -2.05% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-25 20:19 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62% NM 44.74%EV -5.99% E -2.85% K -5.44% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.63%EV -8.81% E -2.59% K -3.67% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.63%EV -3.39% E -0.998% K -1.41% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-06 23:58 |
| Bet Right | 2.10I 47.62% NM 44.17%EV -5.99% E -2.85% K -5.44% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.54%EV -12.84% E -3.95% K -5.71% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.28%EV -3.39% E -0.998% K -1.41% G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-26 02:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62% NM 43.57%EV -5.99% E -2.85% K -5.44% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 26.91%EV -8.81% E -2.59% K -3.67% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 29.52%EV -11.92% E -3.84% K -5.68% G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-25 21:20 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62% NM 43.57%EV -5.99% E -2.85% K -5.44% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 26.91%EV -8.81% E -2.59% K -3.67% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 29.52%EV -11.92% E -3.84% K -5.68% G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-25 21:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62% NM 43.57%EV -5.99% E -2.85% K -5.44% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 26.91%EV -8.81% E -2.59% K -3.67% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 29.52%EV -11.92% E -3.84% K -5.68% G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-25 21:30 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62% NM 43.57%EV -5.99% E -2.85% K -5.44% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 26.91%EV -8.81% E -2.59% K -3.67% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 29.52%EV -11.92% E -3.84% K -5.68% G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-26 01:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.09I 47.85% NM 44.29%EV -6.44% E -3.08% K -5.90% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.23%EV -8.81% E -2.59% K -3.67% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.48%EV -7.66% E -2.36% K -3.40% G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-03 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.08I 48.08% NM 44.87%EV -6.88% E -3.31% K -6.37% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.67%EV -6.13% E -1.75% K -2.45% G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49% NM 28.46%EV -6.80% E -2.07% K -2.98% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-25 20:09 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78% NM 44.92%EV -8.23% E -4.01% K -7.84% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.31%EV -6.13% E -1.75% K -2.45% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 28.77%EV -9.08% E -2.84% K -4.13% G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-30 07:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.05I 48.78% NM 44.59%EV -8.23% E -4.01% K -7.84% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 27.29%EV -10.16% E -3.03% K -4.32% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.13%EV -7.66% E -2.36% K -3.40% G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-02 10:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.02I 49.50% NM 44.56%EV -9.57% E -4.74% K -9.38% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 26.87%EV -10.16% E -3.03% K -4.32% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.57%EV -10.50% E -3.33% K -4.88% G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-25 03:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50% NM 44.56%EV -9.57% E -4.74% K -9.38% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 26.87%EV -10.16% E -3.03% K -4.32% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.57%EV -10.50% E -3.33% K -4.88% G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-25 03:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.02I 49.50% NM 44.56%EV -9.57% E -4.74% K -9.38% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 26.87%EV -10.16% E -3.03% K -4.32% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.57%EV -10.50% E -3.33% K -4.88% G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-25 03:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.02I 49.50% NM 44.56%EV -9.57% E -4.74% K -9.38% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 26.87%EV -10.16% E -3.03% K -4.32% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.57%EV -10.50% E -3.33% K -4.88% G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-25 03:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.02I 49.50% NM 44.56%EV -9.57% E -4.74% K -9.38% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 26.87%EV -10.16% E -3.03% K -4.32% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.57%EV -10.50% E -3.33% K -4.88% G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-25 03:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50% NM 44.56%EV -9.57% E -4.74% K -9.38% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 26.87%EV -10.16% E -3.03% K -4.32% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.57%EV -10.50% E -3.33% K -4.88% G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-25 03:39 |
| Casumo | 2.02I 49.50% NM 44.56%EV -9.57% E -4.74% K -9.38% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 26.87%EV -10.16% E -3.03% K -4.32% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.57%EV -10.50% E -3.33% K -4.88% G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-25 03:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.02I 49.50% NM 44.56%EV -9.57% E -4.74% K -9.38% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 26.87%EV -10.16% E -3.03% K -4.32% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.57%EV -10.50% E -3.33% K -4.88% G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-25 03:39 |
| TABtouch | 2.02I 49.50% NM 44.56%EV -9.57% E -4.74% K -9.38% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 26.87%EV -10.16% E -3.03% K -4.32% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.57%EV -10.50% E -3.33% K -4.88% G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-25 03:39 |
| Unibet | 2.02I 49.50% NM 44.56%EV -9.57% E -4.74% K -9.38% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 26.87%EV -10.16% E -3.03% K -4.32% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.57%EV -10.50% E -3.33% K -4.88% G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-25 03:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.02I 49.50% NM 44.56%EV -9.57% E -4.74% K -9.38% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 26.87%EV -10.16% E -3.03% K -4.32% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.57%EV -10.50% E -3.33% K -4.88% G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-25 03:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.02I 49.50% NM 44.56%EV -9.57% E -4.74% K -9.38% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 26.87%EV -10.16% E -3.03% K -4.32% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.57%EV -10.50% E -3.33% K -4.88% G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-25 03:40 |
| BetRivers | 2.02I 49.50% NM 44.56%EV -9.57% E -4.74% K -9.38% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 26.87%EV -10.16% E -3.03% K -4.32% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.57%EV -10.50% E -3.33% K -4.88% G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-25 06:40 |
| betPARX | 2.02I 49.50% NM 44.56%EV -9.57% E -4.74% K -9.38% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 26.87%EV -10.16% E -3.03% K -4.32% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.57%EV -10.50% E -3.33% K -4.88% G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-25 08:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00% NM 45.92%EV -10.47% E -5.23% K -10.47% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.24%EV -6.13% E -1.75% K -2.45% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 27.83%EV -6.24% E -1.89% K -2.71% G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-25 20:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00% NM 45.02%EV -10.47% E -5.23% K -10.47% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 27.70%EV -12.84% E -3.95% K -5.71% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 27.28%EV -6.24% E -1.89% K -2.71% G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-26 02:19 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00% NM 44.64%EV -10.47% E -5.23% K -10.47% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 27.90%EV -14.18% E -4.43% K -6.44% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 27.47%EV -7.66% E -2.36% K -3.40% G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-30 10:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.96I 51.02% NM 44.36%EV -12.26% E -6.25% K -12.77% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 28.04%EV -16.86% E -5.44% K -8.03% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 27.60%EV -10.50% E -3.33% K -4.88% G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-06-03 18:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28% NM 43.88%EV -12.70% E -6.51% K -13.37% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 28.52%EV -19.54% E -6.51% K -9.77% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 27.60%EV -11.92% E -3.84% K -5.68% G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-06-26 02:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.92I 52.08% NM 44.26%EV -14.05% E -7.32% K -15.27% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 27.41%EV -16.86% E -5.44% K -8.03% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 28.33%EV -14.76% E -4.92% K -7.38% G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-06-03 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.92I 52.08% NM 43.86%EV -14.05% E -7.32% K -15.27% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 28.07%EV -19.54% E -6.51% K -9.77% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 28.07%EV -14.76% E -4.92% K -7.38% G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-06-03 18:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36% NM 42.90%EV -14.49% E -7.59% K -15.93% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 27.31%EV -19.54% E -6.51% K -9.77% G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36% NM 29.79%EV -21.86% E -7.95% K -12.49% G +0.000% | 22.1% | 2026-06-26 02:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.90I 52.63% NM 44.60%EV -14.94% E -7.86% K -16.60% G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05% NM 27.16%EV -16.32% E -5.23% K -7.70% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 28.24%EV -14.76% E -4.92% K -7.38% G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-06-03 18:38 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Atletico Mineiro (Local) | Bahia (Visit) | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.14I 46.73% | 3.50I 28.57% | 3.50I 28.57% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.14I 46.73% | 3.50I 28.57% | 3.50I 28.57% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.14I 46.73% | 3.50I 28.57% | 3.50I 28.57% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |