A Escola das Odds

Atletico Mineiro v Bahia

Início: 2026-07-21 22:29 UTC

Final: Atletico Mineiro 1–1 Bahia

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Atletico Mineiro (Local)

Previsão 50.46%1.98odd justa
EV -1.61%
Vantagem -0.824%
Kelly -1.69%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.14%50.44%50.40%51.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.751.851.851.9557.14%54.04%54.05%51.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Bahia (Visitante)

Previsão 23.13%4.32odd justa
EV +0.365%
Vantagem +0.084%
Kelly +0.109%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.34

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.66%23.12%23.16%24.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.604.054.094.3427.78%24.72%24.42%23.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.42%3.79odd justa
EV -1.99%
Vantagem -0.537%
Kelly -0.736%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.17%26.45%26.44%27.71%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.493.503.7130.30%28.66%28.57%26.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 51.16%EV -4.63%E -2.45%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.28%EV +0.365%E +0.084%K +0.109%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.56%EV -3.84%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-21 22:20
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.86%EV -2.11%E -1.09%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.50%EV -0.560%E -0.130%K -0.170%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.64%EV -7.54%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-21 22:25
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.86%EV -2.11%E -1.09%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.50%EV -0.560%E -0.130%K -0.170%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.64%EV -7.54%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-21 22:25
SportsBet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -7.16%E -3.89%K -8.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -0.560%E -0.130%K -0.170%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -7.54%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 22:05
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -9.18%E -5.10%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -0.560%E -0.130%K -0.170%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.54%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-21 22:05
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.41%EV -6.65%E -3.60%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.54%EV -2.41%E -0.571%K -0.749%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -3.58%E -0.981%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 22:20
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.41%EV -6.65%E -3.60%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.54%EV -2.41%E -0.571%K -0.749%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -3.58%E -0.981%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 22:20
BetAnything1.85I 54.05%NM 51.41%EV -6.65%E -3.60%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.54%EV -2.41%E -0.571%K -0.749%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.06%EV -3.58%E -0.981%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 22:25
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.85%EV -4.63%E -2.45%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -2.87%E -0.684%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -10.18%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-21 22:25
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -2.87%E -0.684%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -10.18%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 22:25
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -2.87%E -0.684%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -10.18%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 22:25
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -2.87%E -0.684%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -10.18%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 22:25
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -2.87%E -0.684%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -10.18%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 22:25
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -2.87%E -0.684%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -10.18%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 22:25
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -6.65%E -3.60%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -2.87%E -0.684%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -10.18%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-21 22:10
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 50.86%EV -7.66%E -4.19%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -2.87%E -0.684%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.86%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-21 22:00
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -9.18%E -5.10%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.87%E -0.684%K -0.898%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.18%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-21 21:55
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.94%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.96%EV -4.03%E -0.971%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -3.58%E -0.981%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 22:25
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -7.66%E -4.19%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -4.03%E -0.971%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -7.01%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 22:20
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 50.67%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -5.19%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -3.58%E -0.981%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 22:24
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.03%EV -4.13%E -2.17%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -5.19%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -6.22%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 21:25
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 50.62%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -5.19%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-21 21:35
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.43%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -5.19%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -6.22%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 22:25
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 50.11%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -5.19%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -7.54%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 21:40
betano_uk1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -6.65%E -3.60%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -5.19%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 22:24
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.19%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -7.54%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 21:05
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%EV -7.66%E -4.19%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -5.19%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 22:20
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 49.64%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.19%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -11.50%E -3.43%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-21 22:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -6.65%E -3.60%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -5.19%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -11.50%E -3.43%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-21 22:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.51%EV -11.70%E -6.69%K -15.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -5.19%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -10.18%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-21 22:20
GTbets1.89I 52.91%NM 50.14%EV -4.63%E -2.45%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.17%EV -5.42%E -1.32%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -6.22%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-21 20:15
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.73%EV -1.61%E -0.824%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.12%EV -7.04%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.14%EV -1.99%E -0.537%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-21 22:20
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 19:50
Codere (IT)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-21 19:50
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.65%E -3.60%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.65%E -3.60%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 19:40
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.65%E -3.60%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.65%E -3.60%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 19:40
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.65%E -3.60%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 21:55
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -10.18%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 22:25
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -7.66%E -4.19%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -12.82%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-21 22:25
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -7.66%E -4.19%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -12.82%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-21 22:25
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -7.66%E -4.19%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -12.82%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-21 22:25
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -11.70%E -6.69%K -15.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -7.50%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.18%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-21 21:40
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -8.65%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -8.86%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 22:25
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -5.14%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -8.65%E -2.19%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -8.86%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 22:25
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -6.65%E -3.60%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.81%E -2.52%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -12.82%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-21 22:20
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -6.65%E -3.60%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.81%E -2.52%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -12.82%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-21 22:20
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -6.65%E -3.60%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.81%E -2.52%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -12.82%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-21 22:20
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -6.65%E -3.60%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.81%E -2.52%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -12.82%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-21 22:20
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -11.70%E -6.69%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -9.81%E -2.52%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -12.82%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-21 21:40
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -6.65%E -3.60%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -10.97%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -3.58%E -0.981%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-21 22:25
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 50.29%EV -9.68%E -5.41%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -10.97%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.32%EV -9.65%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-21 22:05
PointsBet (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -6.65%E -3.60%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -2.26%E -0.610%K -0.836%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-21 22:25
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -6.65%E -3.60%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-21 21:00
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.21%EV -8.17%E -4.49%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -6.22%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 19:50
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.48%EV -11.19%E -6.36%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -12.12%E -3.19%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -10.18%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-21 22:00
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.66%E -4.19%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -13.28%E -3.54%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -4.90%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-21 21:00
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -9.18%E -5.10%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -16.75%E -4.65%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.18%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-21 19:05
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 49.84%EV -11.19%E -6.36%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -16.75%E -4.65%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.80%EV -10.18%E -3.00%K -4.24%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-21 19:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 52.01%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.71%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.28%0.1%2026-07-21 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.21%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.59%0.3%2026-07-21 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.14%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-07-21 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.14%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-07-21 22:25
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.46%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.79%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-07-21 22:20
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 52.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.52%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.0%2026-07-21 22:25