A Escola das Odds

Atletico Mineiro v Atletico Paranaense

Início: 2026-04-05 20:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Atletico Mineiro (Local)

Previsão 43.22%2.31odd justa
EV -2.32%
Vantagem -1.03%
Kelly -1.84%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.68%43.31%43.15%45.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.972.122.122.2650.76%47.08%47.17%44.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Atletico Paranaense (Visitante)

Previsão 27.31%3.66odd justa
EV +3.76%
Vantagem +0.990%
Kelly +1.34%
Crescimento +0.051%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.02%27.23%27.37%28.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.473.503.8032.26%28.79%28.57%26.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.47%3.39odd justa
EV +0.205%
Vantagem +0.060%
Kelly +0.085%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.36%29.46%29.48%30.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.903.183.203.4034.48%31.41%31.25%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV +3.76%E +0.990%K +1.34%G +0.051%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 19:44
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.69%EV -8.37%E -3.95%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.83%EV +2.40%E +0.639%K +0.872%G +0.021%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV +0.205%E +0.060%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 20:14
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.69%EV -8.37%E -3.95%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.83%EV +2.40%E +0.639%K +0.872%G +0.021%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV +0.205%E +0.060%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 20:14
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69%EV -10.96%E -5.32%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -0.333%E -0.091%K -0.126%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -2.74%E -0.831%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 20:15
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69%EV -10.96%E -5.32%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -0.333%E -0.091%K -0.126%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -2.74%E -0.831%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 20:14
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69%EV -10.96%E -5.32%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -0.333%E -0.091%K -0.126%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -2.74%E -0.831%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 20:14
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69%EV -10.96%E -5.32%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -0.333%E -0.091%K -0.126%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -2.74%E -0.831%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 20:14
Casumo2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69%EV -10.96%E -5.32%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -0.333%E -0.091%K -0.126%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -2.74%E -0.831%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 20:14
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69%EV -10.96%E -5.32%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -0.333%E -0.091%K -0.126%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -2.74%E -0.831%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 20:15
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 42.98%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.71%EV -1.15%E -0.318%K -0.440%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.31%EV -5.98%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 20:20
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -11.39%E -5.56%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -1.70%E -0.472%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -2.74%E -0.831%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 20:14
GTbets2.13I 46.95%NM 44.83%EV -7.94%E -3.73%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.67%EV -2.24%E -0.627%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.50%EV -1.27%E -0.379%K -0.540%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 20:00
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -12.69%E -6.28%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -3.06%E -0.863%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -12.69%E -6.28%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -3.06%E -0.863%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 20:14
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 20:00
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 20:00
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 20:00
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -2.74%E -0.831%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 20:00
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 20:05
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 20:04
Bovada2.19I 45.66%NM 42.88%EV -5.34%E -2.44%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 20:22
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 20:24
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -13.56%E -6.78%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 20:14
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -13.56%E -6.78%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 20:14
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 45.70%EV -14.85%E -7.54%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -7.16%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 20:14
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 45.70%EV -14.85%E -7.54%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -7.16%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 20:14
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.96%EV -2.32%E -1.03%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.06%EV -5.52%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.98%EV -1.27%E -0.379%K -0.540%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-05 20:20
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.20%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 20:23
Codere (IT)2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.34%E -2.44%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 20:05
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 20:05
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -6.21%E -2.86%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.90%EV -8.05%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 20:19
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 20:00
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -10.11%E -3.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 20:00
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 20:20
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 20:20
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 20:20
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -11.58%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 20:10
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.58%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 20:05
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.58%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 20:05
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -14.53%E -5.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-05 20:05
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -4.05%E -1.82%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.53%E -2.54%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -10.11%E -3.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 20:10
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -4.05%E -1.82%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.53%E -2.54%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -10.11%E -3.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 20:10
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -9.89%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 20:25
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.89%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 20:00
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -11.39%E -5.56%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -9.89%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -10.11%E -3.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 20:05
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.89%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -14.53%E -5.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 20:04
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.50%EV -11.39%E -5.56%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.27%EV -10.71%E -3.28%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -10.11%E -3.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-05 20:03
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 20:04
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.62%E -3.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 20:00
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -11.39%E -5.56%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -15.35%E -4.95%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -10.11%E -3.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-05 20:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.50%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%0.8%2026-04-05 20:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.50%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%0.8%2026-04-05 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.50%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%0.8%2026-04-05 20:25
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.50%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%0.8%2026-04-05 20:20
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.70%1.1%2026-04-05 20:15
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%2.0%2026-04-05 20:20