La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Atletico Mineiro v Atletico Paranaense
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Atletico Mineiro (Local)
Predicción 43.22%2.31momio equitativo
EV -2.32%
Ventaja -1.03%
Kelly -1.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.68%43.31%43.15%45.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.972.122.122.2650.76%47.08%47.17%44.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Atletico Paranaense (Visitante)
Predicción 27.31%3.66momio equitativo
EV +3.76%
Ventaja +0.990%
Kelly +1.34%
Crecimiento +0.051%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.02%27.23%27.37%28.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.473.503.8032.26%28.79%28.57%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.47%3.39momio equitativo
EV +0.205%
Ventaja +0.060%
Kelly +0.085%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.36%29.46%29.48%30.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.183.203.4034.48%31.41%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV +3.76%E +0.990%K +1.34%G +0.051% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 19:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.69%EV -8.37%E -3.95%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.83%EV +2.40%E +0.639%K +0.872%G +0.021% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV +0.205%E +0.060%K +0.085%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-05 20:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.69%EV -8.37%E -3.95%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.83%EV +2.40%E +0.639%K +0.872%G +0.021% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV +0.205%E +0.060%K +0.085%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-05 20:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69%EV -10.96%E -5.32%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -0.333%E -0.091%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -2.74%E -0.831%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 20:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69%EV -10.96%E -5.32%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -0.333%E -0.091%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -2.74%E -0.831%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 20:14 |
| Grosvenor | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69%EV -10.96%E -5.32%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -0.333%E -0.091%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -2.74%E -0.831%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 20:14 |
| Unibet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69%EV -10.96%E -5.32%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -0.333%E -0.091%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -2.74%E -0.831%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 20:14 |
| Casumo | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69%EV -10.96%E -5.32%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -0.333%E -0.091%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -2.74%E -0.831%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 20:14 |
| betPARX | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69%EV -10.96%E -5.32%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -0.333%E -0.091%K -0.126%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -2.74%E -0.831%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-05 20:15 |
| Pinnacle | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.98%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.71%EV -1.15%E -0.318%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.31%EV -5.98%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-05 20:20 |
| BetRivers | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -11.39%E -5.56%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -1.70%E -0.472%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -2.74%E -0.831%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-05 20:14 |
| GTbets | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.83%EV -7.94%E -3.73%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.67%EV -2.24%E -0.627%K -0.870%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.50%EV -1.27%E -0.379%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-05 20:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -12.69%E -6.28%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -3.06%E -0.863%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 20:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -12.69%E -6.28%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -3.06%E -0.863%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 20:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 20:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 20:00 |
| BetAnything | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-05 20:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -2.74%E -0.831%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 20:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-05 20:05 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-05 20:04 |
| Bovada | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.88%EV -5.34%E -2.44%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 20:22 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-05 20:24 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -13.56%E -6.78%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 20:14 |
| TABtouch | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -13.56%E -6.78%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 20:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.70%EV -14.85%E -7.54%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -7.16%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 20:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.70%EV -14.85%E -7.54%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -7.16%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-05 20:14 |
| 1xBet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.96%EV -2.32%E -1.03%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 28.06%EV -5.52%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.98%EV -1.27%E -0.379%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-05 20:20 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.20%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 20:23 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.34%E -2.44%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-05 20:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 20:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -6.21%E -2.86%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.90%EV -8.05%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 20:19 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 20:00 |
| Everygame | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -10.11%E -3.31%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 20:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 20:20 |
| Bet Right | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 20:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 20:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -11.58%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-05 20:10 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.58%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-05 20:05 |
| William Hill | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.58%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-05 20:05 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -14.53%E -5.01%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-05 20:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -4.05%E -1.82%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.53%E -2.54%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -10.11%E -3.31%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 20:10 |
| Betsson | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -4.05%E -1.82%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.53%E -2.54%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -10.11%E -3.31%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 20:10 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -9.89%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 20:25 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.89%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 20:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -11.39%E -5.56%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -9.89%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -10.11%E -3.31%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-05 20:05 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.89%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -14.53%E -5.01%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-05 20:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.50%EV -11.39%E -5.56%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.27%EV -10.71%E -3.28%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -10.11%E -3.31%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-05 20:03 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-05 20:04 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.62%E -3.94%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 20:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -11.39%E -5.56%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -15.35%E -4.95%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -10.11%E -3.31%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-05 20:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.50% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05% | 0.8% | 2026-04-05 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.50% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05% | 0.8% | 2026-04-05 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.50% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05% | 0.8% | 2026-04-05 20:25 |
| Matchbook | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.50% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05% | 0.8% | 2026-04-05 20:20 |
| Kalshi | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.57% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.70% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 20:15 |
| Smarkets | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15% | 2.0% | 2026-04-05 20:20 |