L’École des cotes

Atletico Mineiro v Atletico Paranaense

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 20:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Atletico Mineiro (Local)

Prévision 43.22%2.31cote équitable
EV -2.32%
Avantage -1.03%
Kelly -1.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.68%43.31%43.15%45.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.972.122.122.2650.76%47.08%47.17%44.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atletico Paranaense (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.31%3.66cote équitable
EV +3.76%
Avantage +0.990%
Kelly +1.34%
Croissance +0.051%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.02%27.23%27.37%28.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.473.503.8032.26%28.79%28.57%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.47%3.39cote équitable
EV +0.205%
Avantage +0.060%
Kelly +0.085%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.36%29.46%29.48%30.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.183.203.4034.48%31.41%31.25%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV +3.76%E +0.990%K +1.34%G +0.051%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 19:44
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.69%EV -8.37%E -3.95%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.83%EV +2.40%E +0.639%K +0.872%G +0.021%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV +0.205%E +0.060%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 20:14
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.69%EV -8.37%E -3.95%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.83%EV +2.40%E +0.639%K +0.872%G +0.021%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV +0.205%E +0.060%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-05 20:14
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69%EV -10.96%E -5.32%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -0.333%E -0.091%K -0.126%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -2.74%E -0.831%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 20:15
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69%EV -10.96%E -5.32%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -0.333%E -0.091%K -0.126%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -2.74%E -0.831%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 20:14
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69%EV -10.96%E -5.32%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -0.333%E -0.091%K -0.126%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -2.74%E -0.831%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 20:14
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69%EV -10.96%E -5.32%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -0.333%E -0.091%K -0.126%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -2.74%E -0.831%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 20:14
Casumo2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69%EV -10.96%E -5.32%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -0.333%E -0.091%K -0.126%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -2.74%E -0.831%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 20:14
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69%EV -10.96%E -5.32%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -0.333%E -0.091%K -0.126%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.52%EV -2.74%E -0.831%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 20:15
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 42.98%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.71%EV -1.15%E -0.318%K -0.440%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.31%EV -5.98%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 20:20
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -11.39%E -5.56%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -1.70%E -0.472%K -0.653%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -2.74%E -0.831%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-05 20:14
GTbets2.13I 46.95%NM 44.83%EV -7.94%E -3.73%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.67%EV -2.24%E -0.627%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.50%EV -1.27%E -0.379%K -0.540%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 20:00
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -12.69%E -6.28%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -3.06%E -0.863%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.65%EV -12.69%E -6.28%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -3.06%E -0.863%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 20:14
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 20:00
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 20:00
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 20:00
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -2.74%E -0.831%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 20:00
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 20:05
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 20:04
Bovada2.19I 45.66%NM 42.88%EV -5.34%E -2.44%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 20:22
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-05 20:24
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -13.56%E -6.78%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 20:14
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -13.56%E -6.78%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 20:14
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 45.70%EV -14.85%E -7.54%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -7.16%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 20:14
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 45.70%EV -14.85%E -7.54%K -15.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -4.43%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -7.16%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 20:14
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.96%EV -2.32%E -1.03%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 28.06%EV -5.52%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.98%EV -1.27%E -0.379%K -0.540%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-05 20:20
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.20%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 20:23
Codere (IT)2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.34%E -2.44%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-05 20:05
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 20:05
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%EV -6.21%E -2.86%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -6.07%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.90%EV -8.05%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 20:19
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 20:00
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -2.75%E -1.22%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -10.11%E -3.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 20:00
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 20:20
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 20:20
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 20:20
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -11.58%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 20:10
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.58%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 20:05
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.58%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 20:05
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -7.16%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -14.53%E -5.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-05 20:05
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -4.05%E -1.82%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.53%E -2.54%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -10.11%E -3.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 20:10
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -4.05%E -1.82%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -8.53%E -2.54%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -10.11%E -3.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 20:10
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -9.89%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.22%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 20:25
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.91%E -2.23%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.89%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 20:00
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -11.39%E -5.56%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -9.89%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -10.11%E -3.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 20:05
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.89%E -3.00%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -14.53%E -5.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 20:04
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.50%EV -11.39%E -5.56%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.27%EV -10.71%E -3.28%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -10.11%E -3.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-05 20:03
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -9.23%E -4.40%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -11.26%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -5.69%E -1.78%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-05 20:04
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.07%E -3.29%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.62%E -3.94%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.64%E -2.79%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 20:00
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -11.39%E -5.56%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -15.35%E -4.95%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -10.11%E -3.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-05 20:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.50%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%0.8%2026-04-05 20:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.50%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%0.8%2026-04-05 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.50%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%0.8%2026-04-05 20:25
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.50%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%0.8%2026-04-05 20:20
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.70%1.1%2026-04-05 20:15
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%2.0%2026-04-05 20:20