Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Westerlo v Union Saint-Gilloise

2026-08-08 18:45 UTC — Belgium First Div

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Westerlo (Local)

Prediction 20.86%4.79fair odd
EV +6.38%
Edge +1.25%
Kelly +1.56%
Growth +0.099%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.90%20.86%20.81%22.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.494.505.1025.32%22.26%22.22%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Union Saint-Gilloise (Visit)

Prediction 54.18%1.85fair odd
EV -4.64%
Edge -2.64%
Kelly -6.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.34%54.20%54.25%55.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.691.701.7661.73%59.09%58.82%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.96%4.01fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -0.484%
Kelly -0.650%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.83%24.94%24.94%26.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.663.653.9329.41%27.34%27.40%25.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Westerlo (Local): 20.86%; Union Saint-Gilloise (Visit): 54.18%; Draw: 24.96%. For Westerlo (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.79. 7 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.10, producing a positive expected value of +6.38%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.90%EV +6.38%E +1.25%K +1.56%G +0.099%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.73%EV -6.27%E -3.62%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.37%EV -5.15%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 12:40
Svenska Spel5.10I 19.61%NM 18.90%EV +6.38%E +1.25%K +1.56%G +0.099%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.73%EV -6.27%E -3.62%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.37%EV -5.15%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 12:45
Grosvenor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +4.29%E +0.859%K +1.07%G +0.046%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.76%EV -7.89%E -4.64%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 12:44
Unibet (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV +2.21%E +0.451%K +0.566%G +0.013%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -8.98%E -5.34%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 12:40
Casumo4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV +2.21%E +0.451%K +0.566%G +0.013%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -8.98%E -5.34%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 12:40
Unibet (NL)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV +2.21%E +0.451%K +0.566%G +0.013%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -8.98%E -5.34%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 12:40
betPARX4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV +2.21%E +0.451%K +0.566%G +0.013%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -8.98%E -5.34%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 12:40
Fanatics4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -0.921%E -0.194%K -0.245%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.25%EV -7.35%E -4.30%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -5.15%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-14 20:40
BetRivers4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -1.96%E -0.418%K -0.531%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.92%EV -10.06%E -6.06%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -11.39%E -3.21%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-04 12:40
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -4.05%E -0.880%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.14%EV -5.18%E -2.96%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 18:49
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -4.05%E -0.880%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.18%E -2.96%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -7.64%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 18:45
Betr (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -4.05%E -0.880%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -6.81%E -3.96%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.15%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 07:35
BetMGM4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -4.05%E -0.880%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.10%EV -5.73%E -3.29%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -7.64%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 18:50
NordicBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -4.05%E -0.880%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -5.18%E -2.96%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-31 07:24
Betsson4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -4.05%E -0.880%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -5.18%E -2.96%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-31 07:25
Tipico (DE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -4.05%E -0.880%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.81%E -3.96%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.64%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 22:19
TABtouch4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -4.05%E -0.880%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.84%EV -10.60%E -6.43%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -11.39%E -3.21%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-04 12:44
Unibet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -4.05%E -0.880%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.84%EV -10.60%E -6.43%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -11.39%E -3.21%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-04 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -4.05%E -0.880%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 54.94%EV -11.69%E -7.17%K -18.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.59%EV -12.64%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-04 12:45
1xBet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.52%EV -5.18%E -2.96%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.28%EV -1.90%E -0.484%K -0.650%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 22:20
Unibet (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.27%E -3.62%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.15%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 18:48
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.32%EV -6.81%E -3.96%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-31 07:35
Ladbrokes (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -6.27%E -3.62%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.64%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 18:50
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -7.89%E -4.64%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 18:54
theScore Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.58%EV -8.44%E -4.99%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -7.64%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-03 18:14
PMU (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.68%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.66%EV -12.23%E -7.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.67%EV -13.89%E -4.02%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-04 12:44
Virgin Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 19.68%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.66%EV -12.23%E -7.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.67%EV -13.89%E -4.02%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-04 12:40
LiveScore Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 19.68%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.66%EV -12.23%E -7.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.67%EV -13.89%E -4.02%K -5.67%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-04 12:40
Pinnacle4.48I 22.32%NM 21.21%EV -6.55%E -1.46%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.98%EV -4.64%E -2.64%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.81%EV -4.40%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 16:50
Marathon Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -8.22%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.53%EV -7.35%E -4.30%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -4.15%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 22:19
DraftKings4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -8.22%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.03%EV -7.35%E -4.30%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.64%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-31 20:44
William Hill4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.22%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.89%E -4.64%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-31 08:25
888sport (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.22%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.89%E -4.64%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-31 08:25
888sport4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.22%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.89%E -4.64%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-31 08:24
Mr Green (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.22%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.89%E -4.64%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-31 08:25
Bet Victor4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.22%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.89%E -4.64%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-04 04:29
betano_uk4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.22%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.89%E -4.64%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-04 04:29
Paddy Power4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -8.22%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%EV -9.52%E -5.70%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-31 07:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -8.22%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%EV -9.52%E -5.70%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-31 07:34
betfred_uk4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -9.68%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -7.89%E -4.64%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-31 23:50
Suprabets4.33I 23.09%NM 21.21%EV -9.68%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.03%EV -7.89%E -4.64%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 24.76%EV -7.40%E -1.99%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-31 08:19
LowVig.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -10.31%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.15%EV -5.73%E -3.29%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-03 17:34
BetOnline.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -10.31%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.15%EV -5.73%E -3.29%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-03 17:34
Bovada4.30I 23.26%NM 21.45%EV -10.31%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.62%EV -6.81%E -3.96%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -7.64%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-04 22:22
Unibet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 20.76%EV -10.31%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.11%EV -12.23%E -7.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.13%EV -7.64%E -2.07%K -2.83%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-03 07:29
SportsBet4.30I 23.26%NM 20.62%EV -10.31%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.06%EV -11.14%E -6.80%K -17.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -12.64%E -3.61%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-31 07:35
PlayUp4.25I 23.53%NM 21.18%EV -11.35%E -2.67%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.81%E -3.96%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -15.13%E -4.45%K -6.31%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-04 13:50
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -12.39%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -9.52%E -5.70%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-31 07:59
Betclic (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -12.39%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.13%EV -10.60%E -6.43%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.60%EV -9.39%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-31 18:49
NetBet (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -14.48%E -3.53%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 54.20%EV -12.23%E -7.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -10.14%E -2.82%K -3.90%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-04 19:34
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.56%E -4.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.83%EV -10.06%E -6.06%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -6.40%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-03 20:05
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -16.56%E -4.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.15%EV -12.23%E -7.55%K -19.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.32%EV -15.13%E -4.45%K -6.31%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-31 07:34
Winamax (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.27%EV -17.61%E -4.46%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 53.63%EV -11.14%E -6.80%K -17.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.10%EV -8.89%E -2.44%K -3.36%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-03 20:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi4.76I 21.01%NM 20.62%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.84%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54%1.9%2026-08-04 22:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.28%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%5.9%2026-08-04 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.28%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%5.9%2026-08-04 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.28%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%5.9%2026-08-04 22:45
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%7.1%2026-08-04 22:50