The School of Odds

Westerlo v Union Saint-Gilloise

2026-08-08 18:45 UTC — Belgium First Div

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (0 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Westerlo (Local)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -21.23%
Kelly -26.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.26%0.00%0.00%20.89%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.204.404.404.7124%23%23%21%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Union Saint-Gilloise (Visit)

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -54.64%
Kelly -120.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.11%0.00%0.00%54.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.621.701.671.8362%59%60%55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 0.00%fair odd
EV -100.00%
Edge -27.03%
Kelly -37.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.16%0.00%0.00%27.63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.283.473.483.7030%29%29%27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet4.71I 21.23%NM 20.26%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.15%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.58%4.8%2026-07-14 18:18
Betr (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%6.4%2026-07-14 18:18
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%9.7%2026-07-14 19:04
Paddy Power4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%10.4%2026-07-14 18:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%10.4%2026-07-14 18:19
SportsBet4.30I 23.26%NM 20.75%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.75%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%12.1%2026-07-14 18:15
Unibet (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.55%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.16%15.8%2026-07-14 18:54
Betclic (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 20.52%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.20%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.28%16.0%2026-07-14 18:28
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 20.92%1.64I 60.98%NM 52.29%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.80%16.6%2026-07-14 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-14 18:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-14 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-14 18:20