Language:English
Westerlo v Union Saint-Gilloise
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Westerlo (Local)
Prediction 16.82%5.94fair odd
EV +5.48%
Edge +0.875%
Kelly +1.04%
Growth +0.057%
assuming max odds 6.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.29%16.82%17.02%18.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.525.506.2721.05%18.11%18.18%15.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Union Saint-Gilloise (Visit)
Prediction 60.82%1.64fair odd
EV -3.91%
Edge -2.47%
Kelly -6.74%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.35%60.73%60.67%62.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.531.531.5869.44%65.51%65.36%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.36%4.47fair odd
EV +0.621%
Edge +0.138%
Kelly +0.177%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.51%22.45%22.31%23.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.054.104.5027.03%24.67%24.39%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Westerlo (Local): 16.82%; Union Saint-Gilloise (Visit): 60.82%; Draw: 22.36%. For Westerlo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.94. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.27, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.48%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.27I 15.95%NM 15.29%EV +5.48%E +0.875%K +1.04%G +0.057% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.26%EV -6.34%E -4.12%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.45%EV -4.52%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-08 18:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV +0.941%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.81%EV -4.52%E -2.88%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV +0.941%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.81%EV -4.52%E -2.88%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV +0.941%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.81%EV -4.52%E -2.88%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV +0.941%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -8.17%E -5.41%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -3.85%E -0.896%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV +0.941%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 18:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV +0.941%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV +0.941%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 18:38 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV +0.941%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -8.17%E -5.41%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.24%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.78%EV -5.73%E -3.70%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 18:28 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.24%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.78%EV -5.73%E -3.70%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 18:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -8.17%E -5.41%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -3.85%E -0.896%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -8.17%E -5.41%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -3.85%E -0.896%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.03%EV -5.73%E -3.70%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.81%EV -8.17%E -5.41%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -4.97%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 18:38 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.62I 17.79%NM 17.22%EV -5.45%E -0.970%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.91%E -2.47%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51%EV +0.621%E +0.138%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 3.3% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -5.79%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -5.13%E -3.29%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -5.79%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -5.13%E -3.29%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -5.79%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -5.13%E -3.29%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -5.79%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -5.13%E -3.29%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -5.79%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -4.52%E -2.88%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 18:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -4.52%E -2.88%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-08 18:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -5.13%E -3.29%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -4.52%E -2.88%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 18:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -5.73%E -3.70%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -5.73%E -3.70%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 18:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -5.73%E -3.70%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 18:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.89%EV -6.34%E -4.12%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -4.97%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -5.73%E -3.70%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 18:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -13.91%E -3.61%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.46%EV -10.60%E -7.21%K -22.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.03%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-08 18:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.99%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.24%EV -11.21%E -7.68%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -17.27%E -4.67%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-08 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -12.42%E -8.63%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -15.03%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-08 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -9.15%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -9.38%E -6.30%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 18:31 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -9.15%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.32%EV -10.60%E -7.21%K -22.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.19%EV -10.84%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.15%EV -6.34%E -4.12%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -13.91%E -3.61%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -10.84%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.13%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.81%EV -15.03%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -10.84%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.13%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.81%EV -15.03%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.94%EV -10.84%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.44%EV -8.17%E -5.41%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -15.03%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.08%EV -12.52%E -2.41%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.23%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.08%EV -12.52%E -2.41%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.23%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.08%EV -12.52%E -2.41%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.23%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -14.20%E -2.78%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 18:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.36%EV -14.20%E -2.78%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.05%EV -11.82%E -8.15%K -26.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.59%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 18:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.35%EV -9.99%E -6.75%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-08 18:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -20.09%E -4.23%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -4.52%E -2.88%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -15.03%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-08 18:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.34% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.08% | 4.1% | 2026-08-08 18:40 |