Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Westerlo v Union Saint-Gilloise

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 18:45 UTC

Score final : Westerlo 1–5 Union Saint-Gilloise

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Westerlo (Local)

Prévision 16.82%5.94cote équitable
EV +5.48%
Avantage +0.875%
Kelly +1.04%
Croissance +0.057%

avec la cote maximale 6.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.29%16.82%17.02%18.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.755.525.506.2721.05%18.11%18.18%15.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Union Saint-Gilloise (Visiteur)

Prévision 60.82%1.64cote équitable
EV -3.91%
Avantage -2.47%
Kelly -6.74%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.35%60.73%60.67%62.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.441.531.531.5869.44%65.51%65.36%63.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.36%4.47cote équitable
EV +0.621%
Avantage +0.138%
Kelly +0.177%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.51%22.45%22.31%23.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.704.054.104.5027.03%24.67%24.39%22.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Westerlo (Local) : 16.82% ; Union Saint-Gilloise (Visiteur) : 60.82% ; Match nul : 22.36%. Pour Westerlo (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.94. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.27, soit une espérance positive de +5.48%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯6.27I 15.95%NM 15.29%EV +5.48%E +0.875%K +1.04%G +0.057%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.26%EV -6.34%E -4.12%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.45%EV -4.52%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 18:30
Grosvenor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV +0.941%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.81%EV -4.52%E -2.88%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 18:39
ATG (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV +0.941%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.81%EV -4.52%E -2.88%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV +0.941%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.81%EV -4.52%E -2.88%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 18:39
DraftKings🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV +0.941%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -8.17%E -5.41%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -3.85%E -0.896%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 18:39
Tipico (DE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV +0.941%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 18:29
Bet Victor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV +0.941%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 18:40
betano_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV +0.941%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 18:38
Suprabets🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV +0.941%E +0.157%K +0.188%G +0.002%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -8.17%E -5.41%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 18:30
NordicBet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.24%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.78%EV -5.73%E -3.70%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 18:28
Betsson🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.24%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.78%EV -5.73%E -3.70%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 18:29
LowVig.ag🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -8.17%E -5.41%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -3.85%E -0.896%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -2.42%E -0.418%K -0.505%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -8.17%E -5.41%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -3.85%E -0.896%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.03%EV -5.73%E -3.70%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 18:39
Marathon Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -3.26%E -0.568%K -0.687%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.81%EV -8.17%E -5.41%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -4.97%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 18:38
1xBet🎯5.62I 17.79%NM 17.22%EV -5.45%E -0.970%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -3.91%E -2.47%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51%EV +0.621%E +0.138%K +0.177%G +0.001%3.3%2026-08-08 18:39
Unibet (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -5.79%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -5.13%E -3.29%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 18:39
Casumo🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -5.79%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -5.13%E -3.29%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 18:39
Unibet (NL)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -5.79%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -5.13%E -3.29%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 18:40
betPARX🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -5.79%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -5.13%E -3.29%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 18:40
BetAnything🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -5.79%E -1.03%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 18:40
Coral🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -4.52%E -2.88%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 18:24
BetMGM🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.27%EV -4.52%E -2.88%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-08 18:24
theScore Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -5.13%E -3.29%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 18:40
Fanatics🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -4.52%E -2.88%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 18:24
Coolbet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -5.73%E -3.70%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -5.73%E -3.70%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 18:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -5.73%E -3.70%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 18:24
Unibet (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.89%EV -6.34%E -4.12%K -11.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -4.97%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 18:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -5.73%E -3.70%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 18:39
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 18:25
PlayUp🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -13.91%E -3.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 18:40
Sky Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 60.46%EV -10.60%E -7.21%K -22.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.03%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 18:30
SportsBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 15.99%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 60.24%EV -11.21%E -7.68%K -24.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -17.27%E -4.67%K -6.40%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-08 18:30
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -7.47%E -1.36%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -12.42%E -8.63%K -28.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -15.03%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-08 18:30
Betclic (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -9.15%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -9.38%E -6.30%K -19.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 18:31
Unibet (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -9.15%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.32%EV -10.60%E -7.21%K -22.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-08 18:35
BetRivers🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.19%EV -10.84%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.15%EV -6.34%E -4.12%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -13.91%E -3.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 18:30
TABtouch🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -10.84%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.13%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.81%EV -15.03%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 18:39
Unibet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -10.84%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.13%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.81%EV -15.03%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.94%EV -10.84%E -2.04%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.44%EV -8.17%E -5.41%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -15.03%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.08%EV -12.52%E -2.41%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.23%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.08%EV -12.52%E -2.41%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.23%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 18:39
LiveScore Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.08%EV -12.52%E -2.41%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.23%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -16.15%E -4.31%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 18:39
Winamax (DE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -14.20%E -2.78%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -8.78%E -5.85%K -17.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -6.09%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 18:34
NetBet (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.36%EV -14.20%E -2.78%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.05%EV -11.82%E -8.15%K -26.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.59%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-08 18:39
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 18:39
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.56%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 18:39
Winamax (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -15.88%E -3.18%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.35%EV -9.99%E -6.75%K -20.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -8.32%E -2.03%K -2.68%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 18:35
BoyleSports🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -20.09%E -4.23%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -4.52%E -2.88%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -15.03%E -3.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 18:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.8%2026-08-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.8%2026-08-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.8%2026-08-08 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.8%2026-08-08 18:40
Matchbook7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.8%2026-08-08 18:40
Kalshi5.88I 17.01%NM 16.34%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.08%4.1%2026-08-08 18:40