L’École des cotes

Westerlo v Union Saint-Gilloise

2026-08-08 18:45 UTC — Belgium First Div

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (8 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Westerlo (Local)

Prévision 20.55%4.87cote équitable
EV +8.91%
Avantage +1.68%
Kelly +2.07%
Croissance +0.185%

avec la cote maximale 5.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.62%20.31%20.54%21.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.904.384.355.3025.64%22.86%22.99%18.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Union Saint-Gilloise (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.25%1.88cote équitable
EV -5.21%
Avantage -2.92%
Kelly -6.67%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.99%53.46%53.26%54.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.551.701.701.7864.52%58.82%58.82%56.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.20%3.82cote équitable
EV -0.716%
Avantage -0.189%
Kelly -0.256%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.16%26.23%26.20%27.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.463.403.7930.77%28.89%29.41%26.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV +8.91%E +1.68%K +2.07%G +0.185%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.92%EV -9.47%E -5.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-15 09:45
1xBet4.61I 21.69%NM 20.74%EV -5.27%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.74%E -3.24%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.23%EV -0.716%E -0.189%K -0.256%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-24 12:50
Betr (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -7.53%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -6.80%E -3.89%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.07%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-14 18:18
Marathon Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.53%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -7.87%E -4.55%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.07%E -0.831%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-24 12:45
Unibet (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -7.53%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -7.87%E -4.55%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 20:44
Suprabets4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -7.53%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.64%EV -8.93%E -5.22%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.98%EV -7.53%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 19:03
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -7.53%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -9.47%E -5.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-24 12:30
NordicBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -9.59%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -5.21%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 01:59
Betsson4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -9.59%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -5.21%E -2.92%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -4.38%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 02:00
William Hill4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -9.59%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.80%E -3.89%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-24 14:04
888sport (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -9.59%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.80%E -3.89%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-24 14:00
888sport4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -9.59%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.80%E -3.89%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-24 13:59
Mr Green (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -9.59%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.80%E -3.89%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-24 14:00
Paddy Power4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.59%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%EV -11.06%E -6.63%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-14 18:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.59%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%EV -11.06%E -6.63%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -5.69%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-14 18:19
TABtouch4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -10.61%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -9.47%E -5.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 18:24
PMU (FR)4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -10.61%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -9.47%E -5.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 20:35
Virgin Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -10.61%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -9.47%E -5.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 20:39
Grosvenor4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -10.61%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -9.47%E -5.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 20:39
Unibet (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -10.61%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -9.47%E -5.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 20:40
Casumo4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -10.61%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -9.47%E -5.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 20:39
LeoVegas (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -10.61%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -9.47%E -5.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 20:40
LiveScore Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -10.61%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -9.47%E -5.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 20:40
Unibet (NL)4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -10.61%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -9.47%E -5.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 20:40
ATG (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -10.61%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -9.47%E -5.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 20:40
Svenska Spel4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -10.61%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -9.47%E -5.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 20:40
Unibet4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -10.61%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -9.47%E -5.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 20:50
betPARX4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -10.61%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -9.47%E -5.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 22:38
BetRivers4.35I 22.99%NM 20.67%EV -10.61%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -9.47%E -5.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 23:55
SportsBet4.30I 23.26%NM 20.75%EV -11.64%E -2.71%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.75%EV -11.60%E -6.99%K -17.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -8.31%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-14 18:15
Unibet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 20.45%EV -11.64%E -2.71%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 53.30%EV -12.13%E -7.35%K -18.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -12.24%E -3.65%K -5.21%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-24 18:45
Betclic (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 20.39%EV -11.64%E -2.71%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 53.45%EV -12.66%E -7.72%K -19.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -12.24%E -3.65%K -5.21%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-24 18:49
Winamax (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.25%EV -15.75%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 53.13%EV -12.66%E -7.72%K -19.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.63%EV -10.93%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-14 20:44
NetBet (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 20.38%EV -15.75%E -3.84%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 53.91%EV -17.46%E -11.26%K -31.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.71%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000%19.7%2026-07-24 12:25
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -17.80%E -4.45%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.99%EV -11.06%E -6.63%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.31%EV -13.55%E -4.11%K -5.89%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-14 20:39
Winamax (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 21.56%EV -19.86%E -5.09%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 52.56%EV -14.79%E -9.25%K -24.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.88%EV -14.86%E -4.57%K -6.61%G +0.000%18.9%2026-07-14 20:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 20.92%1.64I 60.98%NM 52.29%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.80%16.6%2026-07-14 18:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-15 07:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-15 07:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-07-15 07:19