Language:English
Westerlo v Standard Liege
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Westerlo (Local)
Prediction 36.52%2.74fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -0.788%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.05%36.71%36.51%38.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.502.502.6842.02%39.95%40.00%37.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Standard Liege (Visit)
Prediction 37.45%2.67fair odd
EV -0.748%
Edge -0.282%
Kelly -0.454%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.49%37.33%37.47%38.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.502.502.6543.48%40.05%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.02%3.84fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -0.574%
Kelly -0.782%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.09%25.96%26.02%27.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.523.553.7630.30%28.38%28.17%26.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Westerlo (Local): 36.52%; Standard Liege (Visit): 37.45%; Draw: 26.02%. For Standard Liege (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.67. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.65, with an expected value of -0.748%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.05%EV -2.11%E -0.788%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.49%EV -8.61%E -3.53%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -7.62%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.05%EV -2.11%E -0.788%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.49%EV -8.61%E -3.53%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -7.62%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 16:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.05%EV -2.11%E -0.788%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.49%EV -8.61%E -3.53%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -7.62%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-12 16:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -2.84%E -1.07%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.92%EV -4.49%E -1.76%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.72%EV -2.16%E -0.574%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-12 16:01 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.43%EV -4.30%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.28%EV -4.12%E -1.61%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.29%EV -5.54%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-12 16:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.33%EV -5.04%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -5.02%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-12 16:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.04%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 16:01 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.25%EV -5.77%E -2.23%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.25%EV -3.37%E -1.31%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-12 15:51 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.25%EV -5.77%E -2.23%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.25%EV -3.37%E -1.31%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-12 15:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.43%EV -6.50%E -2.54%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.62%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 16:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -6.86%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.16%EV -0.748%E -0.282%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -5.02%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -6.86%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.16%EV -0.748%E -0.282%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -5.02%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -6.86%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.16%EV -0.748%E -0.282%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -5.02%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.86%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.78%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -2.42%E -0.645%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-12 16:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.86%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 16:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.86%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 16:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.86%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 16:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.86%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 16:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -6.86%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-12 16:10 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.79%EV -7.96%E -3.16%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -7.62%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-12 16:06 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.42%E -0.645%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-12 16:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.72%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-12 16:01 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.96%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.72%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -5.02%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-12 16:01 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 16:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-12 16:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-12 16:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-12 16:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -14.13%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-12 16:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.57%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -13.86%E -6.02%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.77%EV -10.23%E -2.96%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-12 16:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.70%EV -9.42%E -3.80%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -2.62%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -7.62%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.70%EV -9.42%E -3.80%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -2.62%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -7.62%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.70%EV -9.42%E -3.80%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -2.62%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -7.62%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.70%EV -9.42%E -3.80%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -2.62%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -7.62%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.00%EV -9.42%E -3.80%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -10.86%E -4.56%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.49%EV -12.31%E -3.65%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-12 15:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.29%EV -9.78%E -3.96%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.35%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-12 16:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -10.51%E -4.29%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -0.748%E -0.282%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -10.51%E -4.29%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -1.87%E -0.715%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -10.51%E -4.29%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -1.87%E -0.715%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -10.51%E -4.29%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -2.62%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -10.51%E -4.29%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -7.62%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.75%EV -10.51%E -4.29%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.52%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -8.92%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 16:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.51%E -4.29%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-12 16:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.51%E -4.29%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-12 16:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.51%E -4.29%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-12 16:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.63%EV -11.24%E -4.63%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.86%EV -4.49%E -1.76%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -10.23%E -2.96%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -12.34%E -5.14%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -12.34%E -5.14%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -12.34%E -5.14%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-12 15:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.23%EV -12.34%E -5.14%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.81%EV -13.86%E -6.02%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.96%EV -12.83%E -3.83%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-09-12 16:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.96%EV -13.07%E -5.49%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.96%EV -10.86%E -4.56%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.09%EV -2.42%E -0.645%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-12 15:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.56%EV -13.07%E -5.49%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.76%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -12.83%E -3.83%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.56%EV -13.07%E -5.49%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.76%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -12.83%E -3.83%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.56%EV -13.07%E -5.49%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.76%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -12.83%E -3.83%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-12 15:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.81% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.37% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-09-12 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.81% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.37% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-09-12 16:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.54% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.65% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 0.6% | 2026-09-12 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.71% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74% | 0.9% | 2026-09-12 16:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45% | 2.1% | 2026-09-12 16:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.73% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.21% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.06% | 3.7% | 2026-09-12 16:10 |