Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Westerlo v Standard Liege

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-12 16:15 UTC

Score final : Westerlo 4–2 Standard Liege

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Westerlo (Local)

Prévision 36.52%2.74cote équitable
EV -2.11%
Avantage -0.788%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.05%36.71%36.51%38.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.382.502.502.6842.02%39.95%40.00%37.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Standard Liege (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.45%2.67cote équitable
EV -0.748%
Avantage -0.282%
Kelly -0.454%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.49%37.33%37.47%38.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.502.502.6543.48%40.05%40.00%37.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.02%3.84cote équitable
EV -2.16%
Avantage -0.574%
Kelly -0.782%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.09%25.96%26.02%27.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.523.553.7630.30%28.38%28.17%26.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Westerlo (Local) : 36.52% ; Standard Liege (Visiteur) : 37.45% ; Match nul : 26.02%. Pour Standard Liege (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.67. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.65, pour une espérance de -0.748% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.05%EV -2.11%E -0.788%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.49%EV -8.61%E -3.53%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -7.62%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 16:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.05%EV -2.11%E -0.788%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.49%EV -8.61%E -3.53%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -7.62%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 16:10
BetAnything🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.05%EV -2.11%E -0.788%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.49%EV -8.61%E -3.53%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -7.62%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-12 16:10
Pinnacle🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -2.84%E -1.07%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.92%EV -4.49%E -1.76%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.72%EV -2.16%E -0.574%K -0.782%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-12 16:01
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.43%EV -4.30%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.28%EV -4.12%E -1.61%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.29%EV -5.54%E -1.53%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-12 16:05
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.33%EV -5.04%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -5.02%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 16:00
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.04%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 16:01
Betsson🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.25%EV -5.77%E -2.23%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.25%EV -3.37%E -1.31%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 15:51
NordicBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.25%EV -5.77%E -2.23%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.25%EV -3.37%E -1.31%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 15:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.43%EV -6.50%E -2.54%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -7.62%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 16:00
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -6.86%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.16%EV -0.748%E -0.282%K -0.454%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -5.02%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 15:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -6.86%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.16%EV -0.748%E -0.282%K -0.454%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -5.02%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 15:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -6.86%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.16%EV -0.748%E -0.282%K -0.454%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -5.02%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-12 15:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.86%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.78%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -2.42%E -0.645%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 16:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.86%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 16:05
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.86%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 16:00
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.86%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 16:00
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.86%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 16:10
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -6.86%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 16:10
Suprabets🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.79%EV -7.96%E -3.16%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -7.62%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-12 16:06
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.42%E -0.645%K -0.880%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 16:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -3.72%E -1.01%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 16:01
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.96%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.72%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -5.02%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 16:01
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 16:00
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 16:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 16:10
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -14.13%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-12 16:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.57%EV -8.69%E -3.48%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -13.86%E -6.02%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.77%EV -10.23%E -2.96%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-12 16:01
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.70%EV -9.42%E -3.80%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -2.62%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -7.62%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 15:35
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.70%EV -9.42%E -3.80%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -2.62%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -7.62%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 15:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.70%EV -9.42%E -3.80%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -2.62%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -7.62%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 15:35
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.70%EV -9.42%E -3.80%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -2.62%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -7.62%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-12 15:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.00%EV -9.42%E -3.80%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -10.86%E -4.56%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.49%EV -12.31%E -3.65%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-12 15:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 36.29%EV -9.78%E -3.96%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.35%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 16:10
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -10.51%E -4.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -0.748%E -0.282%K -0.454%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -10.51%E -4.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -1.87%E -0.715%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.23%EV -10.51%E -4.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -1.87%E -0.715%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -10.51%E -4.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -2.62%E -1.01%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -6.32%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -10.51%E -4.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -8.24%E -3.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -7.62%E -2.15%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 15:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.75%EV -10.51%E -4.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.52%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -8.92%E -2.55%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 16:00
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.51%E -4.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 16:10
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.51%E -4.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 16:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -10.51%E -4.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.11%E -4.21%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 16:10
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.63%EV -11.24%E -4.63%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.86%EV -4.49%E -1.76%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -10.23%E -2.96%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-12 15:35
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -12.34%E -5.14%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 15:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -12.34%E -5.14%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 15:35
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -12.34%E -5.14%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.53%E -3.39%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-12 15:45
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.23%EV -12.34%E -5.14%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.81%EV -13.86%E -6.02%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.96%EV -12.83%E -3.83%K -5.46%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-12 16:10
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.96%EV -13.07%E -5.49%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.96%EV -10.86%E -4.56%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.09%EV -2.42%E -0.645%K -0.880%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-12 15:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.56%EV -13.07%E -5.49%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.76%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -12.83%E -3.83%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 15:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.56%EV -13.07%E -5.49%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.76%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -12.83%E -3.83%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 15:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.56%EV -13.07%E -5.49%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.76%EV -6.37%E -2.55%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -12.83%E -3.83%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 15:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.81%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.37%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-09-12 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.81%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.37%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-09-12 16:10
Matchbook◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.54%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.65%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-09-12 16:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.71%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-09-12 16:10
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%2.1%2026-09-12 16:10
Smarkets◎2.70I 37.04%NM 35.73%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.21%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.06%3.7%2026-09-12 16:10