L’École des cotes

Union Saint-Gilloise v KV Mechelen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-10 16:30 UTC

Score final : Union Saint-Gilloise 3–0 KV Mechelen

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Union Saint-Gilloise (Local)

Prévision 70.05%1.43cote équitable
EV -4.73%
Avantage -3.48%
Kelly -13.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.07%70.15%69.94%74.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.211.301.321.3682.64%76.68%75.76%73.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

KV Mechelen (Visiteur)

Prévision 11.49%8.70cote équitable
EV +20.62%
Avantage +1.96%
Kelly +2.17%
Croissance +0.448%

avec la cote maximale 10.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.21%11.47%11.58%13.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.758.458.0010.5014.81%11.83%12.50%9.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 18.46%5.42cote équitable
EV +12.62%
Avantage +2.07%
Kelly +2.47%
Croissance +0.312%

avec la cote maximale 6.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.81%18.38%18.48%20.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.005.205.006.1025.00%19.23%20.00%16.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.94%EV -9.64%E -7.47%K -33.23%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.21%EV +20.62%E +1.96%K +2.17%G +0.448%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.85%EV +12.62%E +2.07%K +2.47%G +0.312%3.4%2026-05-08 21:59
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 74.94%EV -9.64%E -7.47%K -33.23%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.21%EV +20.62%E +1.96%K +2.17%G +0.448%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.85%EV +12.62%E +2.07%K +2.47%G +0.312%3.4%2026-05-08 21:59
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -11.04%E -8.69%K -40.88%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +14.88%E +1.49%K +1.65%G +0.246%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV +10.77%E +1.80%K +2.15%G +0.232%5.4%2026-05-08 21:59
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -11.04%E -8.69%K -40.88%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +14.88%E +1.49%K +1.65%G +0.246%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV +10.77%E +1.80%K +2.15%G +0.232%5.4%2026-05-08 21:59
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -11.74%E -9.32%K -45.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +14.88%E +1.49%K +1.65%G +0.246%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV +7.08%E +1.22%K +1.48%G +0.104%6.6%2026-05-08 22:00
Casumo1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -11.74%E -9.32%K -45.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +14.88%E +1.49%K +1.65%G +0.246%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV +7.08%E +1.22%K +1.48%G +0.104%6.6%2026-05-08 22:00
betPARX1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -11.74%E -9.32%K -45.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +14.88%E +1.49%K +1.65%G +0.246%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV +7.08%E +1.22%K +1.48%G +0.104%6.6%2026-05-08 22:00
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -12.44%E -9.95%K -49.75%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +14.88%E +1.49%K +1.65%G +0.246%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV +7.08%E +1.22%K +1.48%G +0.104%7.2%2026-05-08 21:59
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -12.44%E -9.95%K -49.75%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +14.88%E +1.49%K +1.65%G +0.246%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV +7.08%E +1.22%K +1.48%G +0.104%7.2%2026-05-08 21:59
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -12.44%E -9.95%K -49.75%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +14.88%E +1.49%K +1.65%G +0.246%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV +7.08%E +1.22%K +1.48%G +0.104%7.2%2026-05-08 22:00
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -12.44%E -9.95%K -49.75%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +14.88%E +1.49%K +1.65%G +0.246%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV +7.08%E +1.22%K +1.48%G +0.104%7.2%2026-05-08 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.44%EV -13.84%E -11.25%K -60.17%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV +9.13%E +0.961%K +1.07%G +0.098%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV +6.16%E +1.07%K +1.30%G +0.080%9.2%2026-05-08 22:00
PMU (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -14.54%E -11.92%K -66.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV +9.13%E +0.961%K +1.07%G +0.098%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV +6.16%E +1.07%K +1.30%G +0.080%9.9%2026-05-08 21:59
Virgin Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 74.44%EV -15.24%E -12.59%K -72.57%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.48%EV +9.13%E +0.961%K +1.07%G +0.098%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV +3.39%E +0.605%K +0.737%G +0.025%11.0%2026-05-08 22:00
LiveScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 74.44%EV -15.24%E -12.59%K -72.57%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.48%EV +9.13%E +0.961%K +1.07%G +0.098%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV +3.39%E +0.605%K +0.737%G +0.025%11.0%2026-05-08 21:59
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.22%EV -6.13%E -4.58%K -18.04%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.84%EV +1.09%E +0.124%K +0.140%G +0.002%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.94%EV -1.78%E -0.335%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 11:09
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 71.34%EV -6.13%E -4.58%K -18.04%G +0.000%8.62I 11.60%NM 11.09%EV -0.975%E -0.113%K -0.128%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.57%EV +0.435%E +0.080%K +0.098%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 01:44
Marathon Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -8.23%E -6.29%K -26.56%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.85%EV -1.21%E -0.140%K -0.159%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -4.00%E -0.769%K -0.952%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 11:08
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.44%EV -5.43%E -4.02%K -15.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -2.35%E -0.277%K -0.314%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -11.38%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 01:39
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 69.44%EV -5.43%E -4.02%K -15.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -2.35%E -0.277%K -0.314%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -11.38%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 01:39
Coolbet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -2.35%E -0.277%K -0.314%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 14:05
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -2.35%E -0.277%K -0.314%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 17:25
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.46%EV -7.53%E -5.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV -2.35%E -0.277%K -0.314%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 14:05
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -2.35%E -0.277%K -0.314%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -12.30%E -2.59%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 17:24
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.94%E -6.87%K -29.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -2.35%E -0.277%K -0.314%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-05 20:40
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -8.10%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -3.07%E -0.585%K -0.723%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 16:49
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -5.43%E -4.02%K -15.52%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -8.10%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -3.07%E -0.585%K -0.723%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 02:34
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 70.29%EV -6.13%E -4.58%K -18.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -8.10%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -3.07%E -0.585%K -0.723%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 16:35
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.50%EV -5.43%E -4.02%K -15.52%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -8.10%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 21:34
BetOnline.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -7.53%E -5.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -8.10%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -2.15%E -0.406%K -0.500%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 17:09
LowVig.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -7.53%E -5.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -8.10%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -2.15%E -0.406%K -0.500%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 17:10
BetAnything1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -7.53%E -5.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -8.10%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -2.15%E -0.406%K -0.500%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 17:09
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -8.10%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 13:32
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -8.10%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 16:43
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -8.10%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 13:34
Suprabets1.32I 75.76%NM 70.23%EV -7.53%E -5.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -8.10%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV -5.84%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 16:43
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.10%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -15.07%E -3.28%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-06 17:24
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -9.64%E -7.47%K -33.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -8.10%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 16:59
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.71%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -10.97%E -1.42%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -3.07%E -0.585%K -0.723%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 21:35
NetBet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 69.57%EV -10.34%E -8.08%K -36.91%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.49%EV -10.97%E -1.42%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.95%EV -13.23%E -2.81%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-10 01:44
Unibet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.88%EV -8.94%E -6.87%K -29.78%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.95%EV -12.69%E -1.67%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 21:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -13.84%E -1.85%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 21:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -13.84%E -1.85%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 21:35
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.84%E -1.85%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -11.38%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 16:39
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.84%E -1.85%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -11.38%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 16:39
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.84%E -1.85%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -11.38%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 16:39
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.84%E -1.85%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -11.38%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 16:39
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -13.84%E -1.85%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -12.30%E -2.59%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-05 00:34
Betclic (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 69.35%EV -8.23%E -6.29%K -26.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -13.84%E -1.85%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -9.54%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 21:33
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -13.84%E -1.85%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -15.07%E -3.28%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 01:39
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 69.27%EV -9.64%E -7.47%K -33.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -13.84%E -1.85%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.81%EV -12.30%E -2.59%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-07 16:34
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 69.94%EV -12.44%E -9.95%K -49.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.66%EV -13.84%E -1.85%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.40%EV -12.30%E -2.59%K -3.28%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-09 16:59
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -7.53%E -5.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -19.59%E -2.80%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -5.84%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 21:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 67.07%EV -12.44%E -9.95%K -49.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 11.98%EV -19.59%E -2.80%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.96%EV -26.15%E -6.54%K -8.72%G +0.000%19.3%2026-05-09 16:34
Winamax (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 68.43%EV -8.23%E -6.29%K -26.56%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.28%EV -22.46%E -3.33%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.29%EV -9.54%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-09 21:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 72.29%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.90%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.81%1.0%2026-05-10 02:45
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 72.39%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.38%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.23%1.6%2026-05-10 02:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.05%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.15%2.0%2026-05-10 02:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.05%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.15%2.0%2026-05-10 02:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.05%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.15%2.0%2026-05-10 02:50
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 71.81%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.77%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.43%2.4%2026-05-10 02:49