مدرسة الاحتمالات

Union Saint-Gilloise v KV Mechelen

البداية: 2026-05-10 16:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Union Saint-Gilloise 3–0 KV Mechelen

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Union Saint-Gilloise (المضيف)

التنبؤ 70.05%1.43السعر العادل
EV -4.73%
الأفضلية -3.48%
Kelly -13.14%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.36

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
67.07%70.15%69.94%74.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.211.301.321.3682.64%76.68%75.76%73.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

KV Mechelen (الضيف)

التنبؤ 11.49%8.70السعر العادل
EV +20.62%
الأفضلية +1.96%
Kelly +2.17%
النمو +0.448%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 10.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
9.21%11.47%11.58%13.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.758.458.0010.5014.81%11.83%12.50%9.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 18.46%5.42السعر العادل
EV +12.62%
الأفضلية +2.07%
Kelly +2.47%
النمو +0.312%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.81%18.38%18.48%20.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.005.205.006.1025.00%19.23%20.00%16.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.94%EV -9.64%E -7.47%K -33.23%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.21%EV +20.62%E +1.96%K +2.17%G +0.448%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.85%EV +12.62%E +2.07%K +2.47%G +0.312%3.4%2026-05-08 21:59
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 74.94%EV -9.64%E -7.47%K -33.23%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.21%EV +20.62%E +1.96%K +2.17%G +0.448%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.85%EV +12.62%E +2.07%K +2.47%G +0.312%3.4%2026-05-08 21:59
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -11.04%E -8.69%K -40.88%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +14.88%E +1.49%K +1.65%G +0.246%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV +10.77%E +1.80%K +2.15%G +0.232%5.4%2026-05-08 21:59
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -11.04%E -8.69%K -40.88%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +14.88%E +1.49%K +1.65%G +0.246%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.81%EV +10.77%E +1.80%K +2.15%G +0.232%5.4%2026-05-08 21:59
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -11.74%E -9.32%K -45.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +14.88%E +1.49%K +1.65%G +0.246%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV +7.08%E +1.22%K +1.48%G +0.104%6.6%2026-05-08 22:00
Casumo1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -11.74%E -9.32%K -45.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +14.88%E +1.49%K +1.65%G +0.246%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV +7.08%E +1.22%K +1.48%G +0.104%6.6%2026-05-08 22:00
betPARX1.26I 79.37%NM 74.45%EV -11.74%E -9.32%K -45.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +14.88%E +1.49%K +1.65%G +0.246%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV +7.08%E +1.22%K +1.48%G +0.104%6.6%2026-05-08 22:00
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -12.44%E -9.95%K -49.75%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +14.88%E +1.49%K +1.65%G +0.246%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV +7.08%E +1.22%K +1.48%G +0.104%7.2%2026-05-08 21:59
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -12.44%E -9.95%K -49.75%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +14.88%E +1.49%K +1.65%G +0.246%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV +7.08%E +1.22%K +1.48%G +0.104%7.2%2026-05-08 21:59
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -12.44%E -9.95%K -49.75%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +14.88%E +1.49%K +1.65%G +0.246%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV +7.08%E +1.22%K +1.48%G +0.104%7.2%2026-05-08 22:00
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.60%EV -12.44%E -9.95%K -49.75%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV +14.88%E +1.49%K +1.65%G +0.246%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV +7.08%E +1.22%K +1.48%G +0.104%7.2%2026-05-08 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.44%EV -13.84%E -11.25%K -60.17%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV +9.13%E +0.961%K +1.07%G +0.098%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV +6.16%E +1.07%K +1.30%G +0.080%9.2%2026-05-08 22:00
PMU (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -14.54%E -11.92%K -66.09%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV +9.13%E +0.961%K +1.07%G +0.098%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV +6.16%E +1.07%K +1.30%G +0.080%9.9%2026-05-08 21:59
Virgin Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 74.44%EV -15.24%E -12.59%K -72.57%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.48%EV +9.13%E +0.961%K +1.07%G +0.098%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV +3.39%E +0.605%K +0.737%G +0.025%11.0%2026-05-08 22:00
LiveScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 74.44%EV -15.24%E -12.59%K -72.57%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.48%EV +9.13%E +0.961%K +1.07%G +0.098%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV +3.39%E +0.605%K +0.737%G +0.025%11.0%2026-05-08 21:59
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.22%EV -6.13%E -4.58%K -18.04%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.84%EV +1.09%E +0.124%K +0.140%G +0.002%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.94%EV -1.78%E -0.335%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 11:09
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 71.34%EV -6.13%E -4.58%K -18.04%G +0.000%8.62I 11.60%NM 11.09%EV -0.975%E -0.113%K -0.128%G +0.000%5.44I 18.38%NM 17.57%EV +0.435%E +0.080%K +0.098%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 01:44
Marathon Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -8.23%E -6.29%K -26.56%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.85%EV -1.21%E -0.140%K -0.159%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -4.00%E -0.769%K -0.952%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 11:08
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.44%EV -5.43%E -4.02%K -15.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -2.35%E -0.277%K -0.314%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -11.38%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 01:39
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 69.44%EV -5.43%E -4.02%K -15.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -2.35%E -0.277%K -0.314%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -11.38%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 01:39
Coolbet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -2.35%E -0.277%K -0.314%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 14:05
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -2.35%E -0.277%K -0.314%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 17:25
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.46%EV -7.53%E -5.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV -2.35%E -0.277%K -0.314%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 14:05
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -2.35%E -0.277%K -0.314%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -12.30%E -2.59%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 17:24
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.94%E -6.87%K -29.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -2.35%E -0.277%K -0.314%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-05 20:40
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 69.98%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.90%EV -8.10%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -3.07%E -0.585%K -0.723%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 16:49
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -5.43%E -4.02%K -15.52%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -8.10%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -3.07%E -0.585%K -0.723%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 02:34
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 70.29%EV -6.13%E -4.58%K -18.04%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -8.10%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -3.07%E -0.585%K -0.723%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 16:35
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.50%EV -5.43%E -4.02%K -15.52%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -8.10%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 21:34
BetOnline.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -7.53%E -5.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -8.10%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -2.15%E -0.406%K -0.500%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 17:09
LowVig.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -7.53%E -5.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -8.10%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -2.15%E -0.406%K -0.500%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 17:10
BetAnything1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -7.53%E -5.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -8.10%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.61%EV -2.15%E -0.406%K -0.500%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 17:09
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -8.10%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 13:32
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -8.10%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 16:43
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -8.10%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 13:34
Suprabets1.32I 75.76%NM 70.23%EV -7.53%E -5.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -8.10%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.18%EV -5.84%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 16:43
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.10%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -15.07%E -3.28%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-06 17:24
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -9.64%E -7.47%K -33.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -8.10%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 16:59
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.71%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -10.97%E -1.42%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -3.07%E -0.585%K -0.723%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 21:35
NetBet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 69.57%EV -10.34%E -8.08%K -36.91%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.49%EV -10.97%E -1.42%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.95%EV -13.23%E -2.81%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-10 01:44
Unibet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.88%EV -8.94%E -6.87%K -29.78%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.95%EV -12.69%E -1.67%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 21:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -13.84%E -1.85%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 21:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.73%E -3.48%K -13.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -13.84%E -1.85%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.69%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 21:35
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.84%E -1.85%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -11.38%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 16:39
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.84%E -1.85%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -11.38%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 16:39
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.84%E -1.85%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -11.38%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 16:39
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.84%E -1.85%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -11.38%E -2.37%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 16:39
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -13.84%E -1.85%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -12.30%E -2.59%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-05 00:34
Betclic (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 69.35%EV -8.23%E -6.29%K -26.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -13.84%E -1.85%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -9.54%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 21:33
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -6.83%E -5.14%K -20.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -13.84%E -1.85%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -15.07%E -3.28%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 01:39
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 69.27%EV -9.64%E -7.47%K -33.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -13.84%E -1.85%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.81%EV -12.30%E -2.59%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-07 16:34
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 69.94%EV -12.44%E -9.95%K -49.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.66%EV -13.84%E -1.85%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.40%EV -12.30%E -2.59%K -3.28%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-09 16:59
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -7.53%E -5.71%K -23.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -19.59%E -2.80%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -5.84%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 21:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 67.07%EV -12.44%E -9.95%K -49.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 11.98%EV -19.59%E -2.80%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.96%EV -26.15%E -6.54%K -8.72%G +0.000%19.3%2026-05-09 16:34
Winamax (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 68.43%EV -8.23%E -6.29%K -26.56%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.28%EV -22.46%E -3.33%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.29%EV -9.54%E -1.95%K -2.44%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-09 21:34
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 72.29%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.90%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.81%1.0%2026-05-10 02:45
Matchbook1.36I 73.53%NM 72.39%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.38%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.23%1.6%2026-05-10 02:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.05%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.15%2.0%2026-05-10 02:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.05%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.15%2.0%2026-05-10 02:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.05%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.15%2.0%2026-05-10 02:50
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 71.81%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.77%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.43%2.4%2026-05-10 02:49